OIL Daily Chart
I think crude stays relatively capped, as a few forces are stacking up for the bears.
The first is the same logic that applies to inflation. Just as inflation that stays too high for too long stunts growth, oil that stays elevated for too long starts to stun demand, and we’re rolling out of the high-demand summer months into winter, when demand softens.
On top of that, we’re getting crude through alternative routes now instead of leaning on the Strait of Hormuz, so the gap from the Strait being closed is being recouped. And with the midterms around the corner, there’s probably some incentive to keep the conflict from escalating too far.
Put it together and the forces point to a cap on oil’s upside here.
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— Alan
I think crude stays relatively capped, as a few forces are stacking up for the bears.
The first is the same logic that applies to inflation. Just as inflation that stays too high for too long stunts growth, oil that stays elevated for too long starts to stun demand, and we’re rolling out of the high-demand summer months into winter, when demand softens.
On top of that, we’re getting crude through alternative routes now instead of leaning on the Strait of Hormuz, so the gap from the Strait being closed is being recouped. And with the midterms around the corner, there’s probably some incentive to keep the conflict from escalating too far.
Put it together and the forces point to a cap on oil’s upside here.
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here :
➡️ Get 50% Off VIP Memberships
+ a FREE 50k Evaluation with Top One Futures (Limited availability)
— Alan
❤18👍4🔥3
AI Fears Send Money Fleeing Into Bonds
Another bloody Friday as the big AI names are getting hit, and the AI fears getting overwhelming.
AI has put the brakes on Wall Street’s rally, and investors are reaching for US Treasuries to protect their portfolios. TLT has now bounced about 7% off its October low and is back near 82. The catch is that energy prices are still climbing and stoking inflation at the same time, which leaves the Fed in an uncomfortable stagflationary bind.
I’m personally a long-term believer in AI, but expectations got sky-high, and the market spent months ignoring the Middle East and rising yields, assuming it would blow over. And the war hasn't stopped. So I think the market is facing its consequences.
AI debt markets are wobbling now too. This might be a speed bump, or we might be at the point in the cycle where any news is bad news. Either way, this is why there's real appetitte for “risk-free” Treasuries.
read the full article here.
— Alan
Another bloody Friday as the big AI names are getting hit, and the AI fears getting overwhelming.
AI has put the brakes on Wall Street’s rally, and investors are reaching for US Treasuries to protect their portfolios. TLT has now bounced about 7% off its October low and is back near 82. The catch is that energy prices are still climbing and stoking inflation at the same time, which leaves the Fed in an uncomfortable stagflationary bind.
I’m personally a long-term believer in AI, but expectations got sky-high, and the market spent months ignoring the Middle East and rising yields, assuming it would blow over. And the war hasn't stopped. So I think the market is facing its consequences.
AI debt markets are wobbling now too. This might be a speed bump, or we might be at the point in the cycle where any news is bad news. Either way, this is why there's real appetitte for “risk-free” Treasuries.
read the full article here.
— Alan
👍14❤4
ETH Daily Chart
ETH broke below support last night on cybersecurity concerns, as one of the biggest crypto-houses experienced $6B+ of losses.
Trailing stops behind structure and letting it ride.
I highly recommend you join the VIP Signals as it's on a big discount! You can also snag a 50k eval if you're early and trade it alongside us 💪
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here :
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— Alan
ETH broke below support last night on cybersecurity concerns, as one of the biggest crypto-houses experienced $6B+ of losses.
Trailing stops behind structure and letting it ride.
I highly recommend you join the VIP Signals as it's on a big discount! You can also snag a 50k eval if you're early and trade it alongside us 💪
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here :
➡️ Get 50% Off VIP Memberships
+ a FREE 50k Evaluation with Top One Futures (Limited availability)
— Alan
❤17👍3🫡3
Gold Daily Chart: New yearly lows 💀
Sellers have confidently broken the $4000 an ounce mark, and price failed to hold support.
Simple technical analysis suggests gold is in a bearish trend, and no sign of buying is present.
EdgeFinder view remains neutral, and price remains bearish. I am personally waiting for synergy between these two before taking any short term positions.
- Nick
Sellers have confidently broken the $4000 an ounce mark, and price failed to hold support.
Simple technical analysis suggests gold is in a bearish trend, and no sign of buying is present.
EdgeFinder view remains neutral, and price remains bearish. I am personally waiting for synergy between these two before taking any short term positions.
- Nick
❤31👍7🫡5
EdgeFinder breakdown: super neutral.
TBH: Getting a mixed reading kept me out of gold longs, which would have been painful today.
Waiting for confirmation from EdgeFinder has saved me more than once.
Reminder: 50% OFF for Black Friday is available now!
- Nick
TBH: Getting a mixed reading kept me out of gold longs, which would have been painful today.
Waiting for confirmation from EdgeFinder has saved me more than once.
Reminder: 50% OFF for Black Friday is available now!
- Nick
👍20❤10
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❤7
US Manufacturing PMIs hotter than expected today, adding a bit more bearish bias to the macro setup.
❤16👍4🔥1
🔴 Free Webinar: Trading Strategies for 2027
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With 2026 coming to a close, taking a step back to review market conditions and prepare for the year ahead is essential.
Join Nick Syiek, Chris Pulver, Marko Greguric, Alan Perez, and James Lane for a free live session breaking down our outlook and top trade ideas heading into 2027.
Key Topics Covered:
➡️ The USD rise and the interest rate cycle
➡️ Gold analysis and key price levels
➡️ Stock market positioning near highs
Event Details:
Date: November 9th at 9:30 AM EST (2:30 PM UK)
Location: Private livestream
Access: Free registration required
A full recording will be sent to all registrants, but joining live allows you to ask questions.
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❤9
Oil Dumps 6% as Iran Talks Cap Crude
This morning we saw a de-escalation headline out of Iran, with leadership signaling the go-ahead for continued talks. Normally one side says something and the other walks it back within hours, but today feels different, and crude is pricing it in fast.
Oil has a stack of headwinds here. You have the de-escalation talks easing the supply premium, you have prices high enough to start crushing demand, and there are now alternative supply routes that lean less on the Strait of Hormuz. All of it tilts oil lower.
From a trading standpoint, I wanted to sell up at the 105 handle and didn’t get the fill, so I’m not chasing this drop. I’d rather wait for a pullback and then look for a continuation lower, because I think oil stays capped above 105.
And if this headline gets walked back and oil spikes, which has happened plenty lately, I’ll look to fade that.
read the full article here.
— Alan
This morning we saw a de-escalation headline out of Iran, with leadership signaling the go-ahead for continued talks. Normally one side says something and the other walks it back within hours, but today feels different, and crude is pricing it in fast.
Oil has a stack of headwinds here. You have the de-escalation talks easing the supply premium, you have prices high enough to start crushing demand, and there are now alternative supply routes that lean less on the Strait of Hormuz. All of it tilts oil lower.
From a trading standpoint, I wanted to sell up at the 105 handle and didn’t get the fill, so I’m not chasing this drop. I’d rather wait for a pullback and then look for a continuation lower, because I think oil stays capped above 105.
And if this headline gets walked back and oil spikes, which has happened plenty lately, I’ll look to fade that.
read the full article here.
— Alan
❤10👍9🔥3
ETH Daily Chart
The team and I are still riding the Eth short idea. Despite the flash of risk-on this morning, crypto is still under pressure.
This is the relative weakness I like to see. EdgeFinder still leans bearish on Etherium.
I highly recommend you join the VIP Signals as it's on a big discount! You can also snag a 50k eval if you're early and trade it alongside us 💪
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here :
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+ a FREE 50k Evaluation with Top One Futures (Limited availability)
— Alan
The team and I are still riding the Eth short idea. Despite the flash of risk-on this morning, crypto is still under pressure.
This is the relative weakness I like to see. EdgeFinder still leans bearish on Etherium.
I highly recommend you join the VIP Signals as it's on a big discount! You can also snag a 50k eval if you're early and trade it alongside us 💪
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here :
➡️ Get 50% Off VIP Memberships
+ a FREE 50k Evaluation with Top One Futures (Limited availability)
— Alan
❤15👍3
🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
A central bank that hikes rates can’t see its currency fall on the day of the decision.
A central bank that hikes rates can’t see its currency fall on the day of the decision.
Anonymous Quiz
69%
False
31%
True
❤13👀9👍1
The Nasdaq Is Testing the One Level Everyone's Watching
The Nasdaq is sitting right on its 200-day moving average this morning, and that’s the level the whole market is watching. Institutions, hedge funds, and big money all treat the 200-day as the line between a healthy uptrend and something more serious.
The backdrop is getting heavier, with wars, soaring sovereign debt, and trade tensions, and stress showing from Japanese and French bonds to sliding emerging-market currencies. The one trade keeping everyone optimistic was AI, and it’s cracking.
I don’t think you commit to either side yet. If the Nasdaq holds, the Santa rally and the buy-the-dip crowd stay in control. If it flushes below, the next real support is down near 26,000, and at that point we’re under the 200-day in bearish territory. And if AI and tech do unwind, the biggest beneficiary is probably bonds.
The EdgeFinder is neutral, so I’m in no rush to commit to a direction.
read the full article here.
— Alan
The Nasdaq is sitting right on its 200-day moving average this morning, and that’s the level the whole market is watching. Institutions, hedge funds, and big money all treat the 200-day as the line between a healthy uptrend and something more serious.
The backdrop is getting heavier, with wars, soaring sovereign debt, and trade tensions, and stress showing from Japanese and French bonds to sliding emerging-market currencies. The one trade keeping everyone optimistic was AI, and it’s cracking.
I don’t think you commit to either side yet. If the Nasdaq holds, the Santa rally and the buy-the-dip crowd stay in control. If it flushes below, the next real support is down near 26,000, and at that point we’re under the 200-day in bearish territory. And if AI and tech do unwind, the biggest beneficiary is probably bonds.
The EdgeFinder is neutral, so I’m in no rush to commit to a direction.
read the full article here.
— Alan
❤18👍2
Gold 4 Hour Chart
I'm receptive to a continued bounce in Gold so I could ultimately fade it.
The current macro currently supports another round of rate hikes if needed, a bearish headwind for Gold. EdgeFinder also supports the idea, currently printing a bearish reading of -7
Though, I'm not in any rush to pursue the trade. I'll let you know if/when I execute, along with my trade plan.
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here :
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— Alan
I'm receptive to a continued bounce in Gold so I could ultimately fade it.
The current macro currently supports another round of rate hikes if needed, a bearish headwind for Gold. EdgeFinder also supports the idea, currently printing a bearish reading of -7
Though, I'm not in any rush to pursue the trade. I'll let you know if/when I execute, along with my trade plan.
If you want updates / alerts of new trades being taken, join our VIP group here :
➡️ Get 50% Off VIP Memberships
+ a FREE 50k Evaluation with Top One Futures (Limited availability)
— Alan
❤19👍19👀4
🔔 Closing Bell - Question of the Day
A standard stop-loss can’t fill at a price worse than the level you set.
A standard stop-loss can’t fill at a price worse than the level you set.
Anonymous Quiz
68%
A) False
32%
B) True
🔥9❤3
Super clean signal on EdgeFinder. Russell is flying! 📈
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EdgeFinder is 50% off for Black Friday right now.
+ get a free Top One Futures 50K evaluation account with your purchase! (Limited availability)
If you have questions about our Black Friday offers, please message here
❤10🔥4👍3