Additional activity linked to Engels-2 Airbase has been detected. Departures of 1 Tu-160 and additional Tu-95MS from there are expected later on in the night.

Launches of Geran-2 drones from Tsumbulova Test Site, Oryol Oblast, and Kacha Airbase, Crimea, have been recorded.

The ones from Tsumbulova are already approaching Ukrainian airspace.

Additional launches of Geran-2 drones have been recorded from:

Khalino Airbase, Kursk Oblast.
Makiivka, Donetsk Oblast.
Cape Chauda, Crimea
Hvardiivske Airbase, Crimea
Shatalovo Airbase, Smolensk Oblast
Navlya Test Site, Bryansk Oblast

(not all of these are confirmed)

There is a high risk of launches of Iskander-M ballistic missiles from Voronezh and Rostov Oblasts in the coming hours.

Launches of Geran-2 drones have now been reported from 10 directions, each with one launch.

The airspace in the area of the Tu-95MS launch lines in Saratov Oblast has been closed for civilian aircraft.

There are currently at least 60 Geran-2/Gebera drones detected in Ukrainian airspace.

Launches of Geran-2/Gerbera drones have now taken place from all launch locations.

Repeated launches have been reported from four of these locations.

~64 drones detected in Ukrainian airspace.

5 Tu-95MS and 1 Tu-160 carried out launch maneuvers. We will find out if these are real in the next 90 minutes.

Additionally, Kalibrs missile launches were recorded from the Black Sea.

I won't be able to cover these missile strikes live, sorry. I will post about the consequences of the strikes afterwards, though. It looks like most/all missiles will fly to western Ukraine.

2 Kinzhal missiles to Kyiv

Past Kyiv to Zhytomyr Oblast

Flying further to Rivne Oblast

Over Rivne Oblast, flying towards Lviv City

1 minute from Lviv

30 seconds

Explosions were heard in Lviv around 1 minute ago

The two explosions heard in Lviv

Kh-101 cruise missiles are now impacting Lviv. 5 more are flying in from the south.

Lviv is getting hit very hard. Several more impacts in the city.

Gerans have also been actively hitting targets.