Last night, Russia attacked the city of Izmail, Odesa Oblast, with around a dozen Geran-2 drones. The main target was once again the port, where fires subsequently broke out.
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Last night, Russia attacked Kyiv Oblast with at least 25 Geran-2 drones.
Approximately 15 drones attacked the city of Bila Tserkva, with the main target being an industrial facility. Another ~10 drones attacked an unknown target west of the town of Dymer.
Approximately 15 drones attacked the city of Bila Tserkva, with the main target being an industrial facility. Another ~10 drones attacked an unknown target west of the town of Dymer.
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Consequences of Russian KAB glide-bomb strikes on the Sumykhimprom Chemical Plant in Sumy Oblast.
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Consequences of a Rusisan KAB-1500 strike on the city centre of Slovyansk.
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AMK Mapping
Ballistic missile attack on Ukraine right now. 4 Tornado-S rockets impacted a target near Zaporizhzhia city. Voltage drops were recorded. 2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles impacted a target near Synelnykove, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Additionally, at leastโฆ
Russia has now launched its second part to today's attack, which is expected to involve more than 300 Geran-2/Gerbera drones.
Currently, approximately 60 new drones are detected in Ukrainian airspace, most of which appear to be flying to Kyiv Oblast. Repeated launches have taken place.
There is a threat of a large attack involving strategic aviation, the Black Sea Fleet, Iskander-M ballistic missiles, and other missiles of various types for the next 3 days as well.
Currently, approximately 60 new drones are detected in Ukrainian airspace, most of which appear to be flying to Kyiv Oblast. Repeated launches have taken place.
There is a threat of a large attack involving strategic aviation, the Black Sea Fleet, Iskander-M ballistic missiles, and other missiles of various types for the next 3 days as well.
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A number of Tu-95MS strategic bombers are airborne from either Olenya Airbase or Engels-2 Airbase. Its unclear if they are redeploying or conducting a combat flight as of now.
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4-6 Tu-95MS departed from Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast, flying south. It's still unclear whether they are redeploying or planning to carry out a combat sortie. It is a very odd time for a missile attack to take place.
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Reminder: There is a threat of 1-2 Oreshnik IRBMs being launched against Ukraine in the near future, as reported last week. If this does occur, its more likely that it would occur alongside a large-scale missile attack. The highest threat is to Kyiv, Lviv, and Starokostyantyniv Airbase.
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AMK Mapping
4-6 Tu-95MS departed from Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast, flying south. It's still unclear whether they are redeploying or planning to carry out a combat sortie. It is a very odd time for a missile attack to take place.
6 Tu-95MS are confirmed airborne from Olenya Airbase
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AMK Mapping
6 Tu-95MS are confirmed airborne from Olenya Airbase
The Tu-95MS are redeploying to Engels-2 Airbase.
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Over the last 24 hours, another large-scale, combined Russian missile and drone attack was carried out on Ukraine.
Missiles launched:
~20 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched from 4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers at their launch lines over the northern Caspian Sea.
~12 Iskander-K cruise missiles launched from OTRK installations in western Crimea.
~10 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations northwest of Klintsy, Bryansk Oblast.
~4 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations near Taganrog, Rostov Oblast.
~3 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations near Liski, Voronezh Oblast.
~2 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installation(s) near Millerovo, Rostov Oblast.
~2 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installation(s) in Crimea.
~1 Iskander-K cruise missiles launched from Rostov Oblast.
~1 Kh-59/69 cruise missile launched from a Su-35 north of Melitopol, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
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Total missiles launched:
~21 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles
~20 Kh-101 cruise missiles
~13 Iskander-K cruise missiles
~1 Kh-59/69 cruise missile
~55 missiles in total.
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Ukrainian air defence work:
As of the time of writing, it appears that Ukrainian air defence was able to intercept at least 14 Kh-101 cruise missiles, 5 Iskander-K cruise missiles, and 3 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles.
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Targets were hit across Ukraine, including:
- "Mayak" Defence Plant, Kyiv Oblast (50.48636, 30.50618) by ~7 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles.
- Bila Tserkva Thermal Power Plant, Kyiv Oblast (49.79685, 30.18746) by ~2 Kh-101 cruise missiles.
- Cherkasy Thermal Power Plant, Cherkasy Oblast (49.38992, 32.06659) by ~2 Iskander-K cruise missiles.
- Unknown target in Kropyvnytskyi, Kirovohrad Oblast by ~2 Kh-101 cruise missiles and ~2 Iskander-K cruise missiles.
- Dnepropress Heavy Hydraulic Press Plant, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (48.39373, 35.00303) by ~4 Iskander-M/S-400s.
- Odesa Container Ship Jetty, Odesa Oblast (46.48889, 30.75929) by ~2 Iskander-M/S-400s.
- Unknown target in Nemyshlianskyi District, Kharkiv Oblast, by ~3 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles.
- Unknown target southeast of Dnipro by ~2 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles.
- Unknown target in northwestern Kherson Oblast by ~1 Iskander-K cruise missile.
- Unknown target northwest of Vilnyansk, Zaporizhzhia Oblast by ~1 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles.
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Keep in mind, the numbers of missiles launched may be slightly higher than what I've listed, as the number of missiles detected is sometimes lower than actual launches.
Missiles launched:
~20 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched from 4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers at their launch lines over the northern Caspian Sea.
~12 Iskander-K cruise missiles launched from OTRK installations in western Crimea.
~10 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations northwest of Klintsy, Bryansk Oblast.
~4 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations near Taganrog, Rostov Oblast.
~3 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations near Liski, Voronezh Oblast.
~2 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installation(s) near Millerovo, Rostov Oblast.
~2 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installation(s) in Crimea.
~1 Iskander-K cruise missiles launched from Rostov Oblast.
~1 Kh-59/69 cruise missile launched from a Su-35 north of Melitopol, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
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Total missiles launched:
~21 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles
~20 Kh-101 cruise missiles
~13 Iskander-K cruise missiles
~1 Kh-59/69 cruise missile
~55 missiles in total.
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Ukrainian air defence work:
As of the time of writing, it appears that Ukrainian air defence was able to intercept at least 14 Kh-101 cruise missiles, 5 Iskander-K cruise missiles, and 3 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles.
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Targets were hit across Ukraine, including:
- "Mayak" Defence Plant, Kyiv Oblast (50.48636, 30.50618) by ~7 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles.
- Bila Tserkva Thermal Power Plant, Kyiv Oblast (49.79685, 30.18746) by ~2 Kh-101 cruise missiles.
- Cherkasy Thermal Power Plant, Cherkasy Oblast (49.38992, 32.06659) by ~2 Iskander-K cruise missiles.
- Unknown target in Kropyvnytskyi, Kirovohrad Oblast by ~2 Kh-101 cruise missiles and ~2 Iskander-K cruise missiles.
- Dnepropress Heavy Hydraulic Press Plant, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast (48.39373, 35.00303) by ~4 Iskander-M/S-400s.
- Odesa Container Ship Jetty, Odesa Oblast (46.48889, 30.75929) by ~2 Iskander-M/S-400s.
- Unknown target in Nemyshlianskyi District, Kharkiv Oblast, by ~3 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles.
- Unknown target southeast of Dnipro by ~2 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles.
- Unknown target in northwestern Kherson Oblast by ~1 Iskander-K cruise missile.
- Unknown target northwest of Vilnyansk, Zaporizhzhia Oblast by ~1 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles.
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Keep in mind, the numbers of missiles launched may be slightly higher than what I've listed, as the number of missiles detected is sometimes lower than actual launches.
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