Situation on the Rai-Oleksandrivka direction, Donetsk Oblast:

Russian forces continue their offensive operations in the direction of Slovyansk-Kramatorsk, and have made additional advances in four different areas.

In the southwest, Russian forces continued their assault operations in Markove and improved their positions in the central part of the village following prolonged fighting.

To the north, the Russians continued clearing the pocket in the Minkivka area, recapturing positions in the forest there, as well as some parts of southern Minkivka. Additionally, they were able to secure a number of positions along the eastern bank of the Siverskyi-Donets Canal, and are using these positions to intensify their infiltrations across the canal into the village of Tykhonivka.

Further north, Russian forces completed the capture of the village of Dibrova, and continued their infiltrations across the canal into the eastern part of Malynivka and the surrounding areas. Fighting also continues for the forests north of Fedorivka Druha and the central part of Nykyforivka.

+ ~1.37 km² in favour of Russia.

Interactive map: amkmapping.com

The first communications between Engels-2 Airbase and command and control in Moscow have been recorded. Currently this is just a command and control frequency, not a combat one, but it signals what is to come tonight.

Well, it turns out this is a combat frequency: 4331 kHz. This is the frequency they used for the last two attacks.

Ukrainian channels are all sleeping apparently, as they aren't reporting the "threat of a combat mission for tonight" lmao.

The first large launches of Geran-2/Gerbera drones are reported from several locations.

Unconfirmed as of now.

Apparently the communications are between Engels-2 Airbase and command and control in Moscow. Might explain the lack of reporting. But the timing lines up. We can probably expect 2 Tu-160M strategic bombers to depart from Ukrainka Airbase in the far east and begin flying west to their launch lines any time in the next 30 minutes.

Possible Tu-160M strategic bomber departures from Ukrainka Airbase, far east.

There have only been around a dozen drones launched across a couple of areas. No mass launches yet.

Early warning alerts for Kiryat Shmona, northern Israel, due to Hezbollah rocket launches.

Sirens in northern Israel

Iron dome launches

2 interceptions over northern Israel.

Iskander-M threat from Bryansk.

High threat to Kyiv.

Probably S-300 air defence launches, targeting Ukrainian drones.

Missile in Chernihiv Oblast

Disappeared near Snovsk, Chernihiv Oblast. This was indeed an Iskander-M ballistic missile.

Never mind, it was an S-300. It was detected in Bryansk Oblast and disappeared between Horodnya and Snovsk, Chernihiv Oblast. Targeting Ukrainian drones as they enter Russian airspace.

Missile of an unidentified type to Hlukhiv, Sumy Oblast.

Cruise missile. Might be Iskander-K

Nevermind. Disappeared.