The result of a Geran drone strike on the BRSM-Nafta LLC oil depot in Pereyaslav, Kyiv Oblast.

Update on last night's missile attacks on Kyiv:

8 modified S-400 ground-to-ground missiles were launched from 2 launchers in Bryansk Oblast towards Kyiv, not 6 like the Ukrainian Air Force claimed.

4 targeted the "AB TECHNOLOGIES" industrial equipment factory (50.432642, 30.625185), while the other 4 targeted PJSC "House-Building Plant No. 3" (50.41417, 30.42745).

One of the missiles targeting the "AB TECHNOLOGIES" industrial equipment factory missed, landing in the middle of the highway. This is because modified S-400 missiles have a high circular error probable (CEP), meaning they frequently miss their targets.

As a I mentioned earlier, none of the missiles were shot down as Ukraine has completely run out of Patriot interceptors for defending Kyiv. Additionally, the usage of modified S-400 missiles rather than Iskander-M may explain why sirens didn't sound until after the missiles impacted.

The attached image shows a crater in a highway near the "AB TECHNOLOGIES" industrial equipment factory after one of the modified S-400 missiles missed its target.

Reuters reports that Russia has halted the reception of grain at the ports of Azov, Rostov-on-Don, and Taganrog, due to the threat of Ukrainian drone strikes on ships.

Rosmorrechflot (the Russian Maritime Register) has also reportedly suspended all movement through the Sea of Azov-Don Canal.

KAB glide-bomb over Sumy City

3 KABs. Falling now

Explosions in Sumy

A large fire seen burning at the "AB TECHNOLOGIES" industrial equipment factory in Kyiv this morning, following 3 strikes by Russian modified S-400 ground-to-ground missiles.

Russian Geran-3 jet-drone strike on Chernihiv City this morning.

From now on, anyone who links me that one Ted Postol video on Patriots in my comments is getting automatically muted.

Like, yes, I get it, you need some confirmation bias from one person. Continue to consume that if that's what you need to keep yourself comfy and happy, but I don't need to see it hundreds of times under every single post I make about air defence. It's been nearly 6 months of this and its getting ridiculous.

I could probably find a dozen other people who disagree with him who have the same qualifications and you wouldn't believe. I know he's wrong because I have seen the interception rates on ballistics with my own eyes.

Russian operator controlled Geran-2/4 drones struck two Ukrainian fuel depots in the town of Hubynykha, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, and in Zaporizhzhia City.

A Russian Geran-2/4 drone struck a cargo ship at the Yuzhnyi Port in Odesa Oblast.

The Russian Ministry of Defence issued a statement claiming that this ship was carrying military equipment for the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

They also stated that additional strikes were carried out on ports in Odesa Oblast.

Let me make this clear, because this has always been a point of debate:

From my observations, the interception rate of Iskander-M ballistic missiles when they are targeting Kyiv is around 30%. If you include regions where there are no Patriot systems, then the number will be much lower.

Additionally, I have been able to confirm a total of 5 Zircon interceptions and 2 Kinzhal interceptions so far during the war. I'm fairly confident about the figures on Zircons, but I expect the number for Kinzhals is a bit higher. Either way, for these two missiles, interceptions are incredible low, and are usually based on luck with where the Patriot systems are stationed (the closer to the missile terminal trajectory, the higher chance of interception).

2 Su-34s covered by a Su-35 are flying from Kerch, Crimea, to the western Black Sea.

They may launch cruise missiles at Odesa Oblast.

They're now flying northwest to Armyansk, Crimea. They will likely fly further to Russian-controlled Kherson Oblast to launch KAB glide-bombs at Ukrainian-controlled Kherson Oblast.

Update: flying northwest past Armyansk to the Skadovsk area of Kherson Oblast.