Forwarded from Hudson War Mapping - Reporting on the Ukraine War
Geolocated confirmed vehicle losses have been compiled and released for August 2026. Credit to HeyHeyHayden and LostArmour.
In total, Russia lost 31 armoured vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 205.
A ratio of 1:6.6 in favour of Russia.
Excluding armoured cars and MRAPs, which Ukraine use in a large number behind the front whilst Russia barely does at all,
Russia lost 30 vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 98.
A ratio of 1:3.3 in favour of Russia.
In regard to self-propelled artillery, which is an important indicator of capacity to inflict attrition, Russia lost 10 vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 39.
A ratio of 1:3.9 in favour of Russia.
No major changes in ratios compared to previous months. Unfortunately, Ukraine is continually on the wrong end of a huge attritional mismatch against a far larger power with a fully mobilised domestic war economy.
In total, Russia lost 31 armoured vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 205.
A ratio of 1:6.6 in favour of Russia.
Excluding armoured cars and MRAPs, which Ukraine use in a large number behind the front whilst Russia barely does at all,
Russia lost 30 vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 98.
A ratio of 1:3.3 in favour of Russia.
In regard to self-propelled artillery, which is an important indicator of capacity to inflict attrition, Russia lost 10 vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 39.
A ratio of 1:3.9 in favour of Russia.
No major changes in ratios compared to previous months. Unfortunately, Ukraine is continually on the wrong end of a huge attritional mismatch against a far larger power with a fully mobilised domestic war economy.
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Forwarded from HeyHeyHayden (HeyHeyHayden)
One thing I will mention is the growing number of strikes taking place in and around the fortress belt in Donetsk Oblast.
Following Russia effectively taking control of Kostyantynivka (bar some fighting in the outermost streets) and pushing the frontline up and over the Siverksyi-Donets canal their drone operators have been able to move forward and are now in a position to launch constant strikes. Drones are constantly surveying the cities and surrounding areas, leading to many vehicles being detected in their hiding places or as they try travel along the roads.
As has happened with all town/city battles over the past two years, over time Ukraine will be forced to decrease and eventually stop their vehicle usage as it will simply be too dangerous to try operate artillery or tanks within the cities, whilst other vehicles will be constantly struck as they attempt to get into or out of these localities. They can try to maintain stable supply and reinforcement but as happened with Kostyantynivka and Pokrovsk/Myrnorhad they will incur a constant number of vehicle losses each day just to achieve this, which will escalate over time as the frontline moves closer and alternative routes are cut. These vehicle losses add up and every day spent trying to hold the localities will result in a higher cost, eventually leading to Ukraine being forced to switch to an on-foot or drone only supply. This will buy them more time but is not a solution, as drones are simply not capable/flexible enough to make up for proper vehicle supply chains, whilst soldiers on foot is too manpower intensive and costly to maintain.
Now all this is a long way off, certainly not until 2027 for Slovyansk and Kramatorsk, but we are in the beginning stages of this cycle. Keep an eye out for an increase in vehicle losses (both military and civilian/generic) in and around the fortress cities as the frontline closes in and the supply pressure starts to mount.
Following Russia effectively taking control of Kostyantynivka (bar some fighting in the outermost streets) and pushing the frontline up and over the Siverksyi-Donets canal their drone operators have been able to move forward and are now in a position to launch constant strikes. Drones are constantly surveying the cities and surrounding areas, leading to many vehicles being detected in their hiding places or as they try travel along the roads.
As has happened with all town/city battles over the past two years, over time Ukraine will be forced to decrease and eventually stop their vehicle usage as it will simply be too dangerous to try operate artillery or tanks within the cities, whilst other vehicles will be constantly struck as they attempt to get into or out of these localities. They can try to maintain stable supply and reinforcement but as happened with Kostyantynivka and Pokrovsk/Myrnorhad they will incur a constant number of vehicle losses each day just to achieve this, which will escalate over time as the frontline moves closer and alternative routes are cut. These vehicle losses add up and every day spent trying to hold the localities will result in a higher cost, eventually leading to Ukraine being forced to switch to an on-foot or drone only supply. This will buy them more time but is not a solution, as drones are simply not capable/flexible enough to make up for proper vehicle supply chains, whilst soldiers on foot is too manpower intensive and costly to maintain.
Now all this is a long way off, certainly not until 2027 for Slovyansk and Kramatorsk, but we are in the beginning stages of this cycle. Keep an eye out for an increase in vehicle losses (both military and civilian/generic) in and around the fortress cities as the frontline closes in and the supply pressure starts to mount.
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Situation on the Dobropillya direction, Donetsk Oblast:
Over the last two weeks, Russian forces continued their assault operations in the Dobropillya direction, making new advances and deepening their DRG infiltrations.
In the northeast, Russian forces recaptured most of Kucheriv Yar along with the positions in the forests to the south, allowing them to begin infiltrating north towards the village of Vesele. Other assault groups continued infiltrations towards Zolotyi Kolodyaz and into Rubizhne, while DRGs were detected operating along the railway line northwest of Rubizhne.
To the southwest, Russian forces improved their positions along the railway lines west of Novyi Donbas and continued attacking Ukrainian positions in the fields to the south. Other Russian assault groups continued infiltrating the northeastern part of Dobropillya, while DRGs are infiltrating north to the outskirts of Bilozerske and west to Svyatohorivka. Ukrainian forces are actively counterattacking in Dobropillya, trying to clear the city from Russian infiltrators.
To the south, Russian forces cleared the remaining parts of Shevchenko and began assault operations on Matyasheve. Other assault groups continued fighting for Bilytske, Chernihivka, Krasnopodillya and Dobropillya village. Russian DRGs were also detected in the vicinity of Nadiya, while fighting continued for the treelines northeast of Myrne. Meanwhile, Ukrainian forces cleared some positions south of Hulive from earlier Russian infiltrations, while Russian forces continued assault operations west along the southern bank of the Hrishynka River.
+ ~12.53 kmยฒ in favour of Russia.
+ ~3.27 kmยฒ in favour of Ukraine.
Interactive map: amkmapping.com
Over the last two weeks, Russian forces continued their assault operations in the Dobropillya direction, making new advances and deepening their DRG infiltrations.
In the northeast, Russian forces recaptured most of Kucheriv Yar along with the positions in the forests to the south, allowing them to begin infiltrating north towards the village of Vesele. Other assault groups continued infiltrations towards Zolotyi Kolodyaz and into Rubizhne, while DRGs were detected operating along the railway line northwest of Rubizhne.
To the southwest, Russian forces improved their positions along the railway lines west of Novyi Donbas and continued attacking Ukrainian positions in the fields to the south. Other Russian assault groups continued infiltrating the northeastern part of Dobropillya, while DRGs are infiltrating north to the outskirts of Bilozerske and west to Svyatohorivka. Ukrainian forces are actively counterattacking in Dobropillya, trying to clear the city from Russian infiltrators.
To the south, Russian forces cleared the remaining parts of Shevchenko and began assault operations on Matyasheve. Other assault groups continued fighting for Bilytske, Chernihivka, Krasnopodillya and Dobropillya village. Russian DRGs were also detected in the vicinity of Nadiya, while fighting continued for the treelines northeast of Myrne. Meanwhile, Ukrainian forces cleared some positions south of Hulive from earlier Russian infiltrations, while Russian forces continued assault operations west along the southern bank of the Hrishynka River.
+ ~12.53 kmยฒ in favour of Russia.
+ ~3.27 kmยฒ in favour of Ukraine.
Interactive map: amkmapping.com
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Overnight, Russia carried out an attack on Odesa Oblast using Geran-2 drones and Geran-4 jet-drones.
The explosions were partially masked by a large thunderstorm hitting the region at the time (as seen in the video), although strikes were recorded targeting the Chornomorsk Port area, as well as border crossings and ferry terminals along the Ukraine-Romania international border near Orlivka and the city of Izmail.
The explosions were partially masked by a large thunderstorm hitting the region at the time (as seen in the video), although strikes were recorded targeting the Chornomorsk Port area, as well as border crossings and ferry terminals along the Ukraine-Romania international border near Orlivka and the city of Izmail.
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Russia continued to heavily attack the town of Novodonetske, Donetsk Oblast, with drones overnight (including Geran-2 drones), resulting in large fires breaking out.
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Ukrainian long-range drones attacked the Ryazan Oil Refinery this morning, resulting in multiple large fires breaking out.
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Forwarded from WillyOAM
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Ukrainian NABU (National anti-corruption bureau) & SAPO (specialised anti-corruption prosecutors office) have stormed the headquarters of the prosecutor general of Ukraine.
Kyiv independent reports that Prosecutor General Ruslan Kravchenko could be implicated and NABU has detained the deputy head of the international cooperation department of the prosecutor generals office.
This comes after the shootout between GUR & SBU in Kyiv, and a suspect drone strike on the SBU headquarters.
There's limited, but in-depth reporting that there's increased factional fighting among elites over the division of the profits from the scam call centres.
With some figures suggesting this network of scam calls employs 60,000 people and makes $1 billion a month
Kyiv independent reports that Prosecutor General Ruslan Kravchenko could be implicated and NABU has detained the deputy head of the international cooperation department of the prosecutor generals office.
This comes after the shootout between GUR & SBU in Kyiv, and a suspect drone strike on the SBU headquarters.
There's limited, but in-depth reporting that there's increased factional fighting among elites over the division of the profits from the scam call centres.
With some figures suggesting this network of scam calls employs 60,000 people and makes $1 billion a month
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I removed an earlier post I made about an AI generated video of a Ukrainian flag being raised over the Kinburn Spit after it came to my attention that it was misleading.
I was under the impression that it was posted by a Ukrainian military channel, and reposted by @union_klen, but apparently it was sent to them via DMs by a scammer.
This video was not an attempt by the Ukrainian military to deceive people into thinking a landing operation on Kinburn Spit had taken place, but instead a random person trying to trick a small channel. The post made it sound like this was them criticising the Ukrainian military for using AI (which has happened before with other units such as Skala), but instead they were making fun of the scammer who sent it to them.
Apologies for the confusion.
I was under the impression that it was posted by a Ukrainian military channel, and reposted by @union_klen, but apparently it was sent to them via DMs by a scammer.
This video was not an attempt by the Ukrainian military to deceive people into thinking a landing operation on Kinburn Spit had taken place, but instead a random person trying to trick a small channel. The post made it sound like this was them criticising the Ukrainian military for using AI (which has happened before with other units such as Skala), but instead they were making fun of the scammer who sent it to them.
Apologies for the confusion.
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There will be some major Lyman developments soon ๐
Can't say much right now, but I will write more when I can.
Can't say much right now, but I will write more when I can.
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Russian KAB glide-bomb strikes heavily damaged the main highway bridge in the centre of Kramatorsk.
This is the first main bridge in Kramatorsk to be targeted so far.
This is the first main bridge in Kramatorsk to be targeted so far.
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This is a very misleading, and even outright false statement.
1. That is according to Ukrainian government-controlled sources (Deepstate) and the Ukrainian general staff. Actual independent open sources do not report anything near what you are saying.
2. Ukraine carried out 70 long-range strikes, now try guess how many Russia carried out? Spoiler alert, itโs about 10 times more, according to Ukrainian media themselves. If you want to claim Russia is losing, then you canโt just look at figures from one side that are the most comfortable to you.
3. Again, only according to Ukrainian government-controlled sources. Most truly independent mappers have actually reported an increase in the rate of Russian advances in recent months.
4. โAt the current pace of advance, blah blah blahโ weโre almost 5 years into this war and weโre still parroting this fucking ridiculous linear warfare claim?? How many times does it have to be said that advances in a war of attrition are NOT linear. They also arenโt even the main indicator of who is winning an attritional war. Remember how it went from โat the current rate of advance Russia will need 1,000 years to take Kyivโ, to โ500 yearsโ to now โ90 yearsโ. Thatโs decreasing precisely because advances arenโt linear. This claim is fucking absurd and itโs a blatant misrepresentation of reality.
Ignoring the uncomfortable realities and underestimating your enemy only makes the situation even worse.
1. That is according to Ukrainian government-controlled sources (Deepstate) and the Ukrainian general staff. Actual independent open sources do not report anything near what you are saying.
2. Ukraine carried out 70 long-range strikes, now try guess how many Russia carried out? Spoiler alert, itโs about 10 times more, according to Ukrainian media themselves. If you want to claim Russia is losing, then you canโt just look at figures from one side that are the most comfortable to you.
3. Again, only according to Ukrainian government-controlled sources. Most truly independent mappers have actually reported an increase in the rate of Russian advances in recent months.
4. โAt the current pace of advance, blah blah blahโ weโre almost 5 years into this war and weโre still parroting this fucking ridiculous linear warfare claim?? How many times does it have to be said that advances in a war of attrition are NOT linear. They also arenโt even the main indicator of who is winning an attritional war. Remember how it went from โat the current rate of advance Russia will need 1,000 years to take Kyivโ, to โ500 yearsโ to now โ90 yearsโ. Thatโs decreasing precisely because advances arenโt linear. This claim is fucking absurd and itโs a blatant misrepresentation of reality.
Ignoring the uncomfortable realities and underestimating your enemy only makes the situation even worse.
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Russian FPV drones continue to race through the streets of Slovyansk, hitting Ukrainian military vehicles used for logistics.
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AMK Mapping
There will be some major Lyman developments soon ๐ Can't say much right now, but I will write more when I can.
โ๏ธThe Russian salient north of Lyman has officially been cleared by Ukrainian forces.
Over the last week, the remaining Russian formations withdrew from their bridgehead west of the Nitrius River, and then further east towards the Zherebets River. Ukrainian forces have recaptured the villages of Shandryholove, Serednje, Zelena Dolnya, Derylove, and Novomykhailivka, and most of the forests between them.
Right now, Ukrainian forces are attempting to reach the Zherebets River from several different directions. The main thrust is taking place down the gullies from the direction of Nove, where they are approaching the villages of Ivanivka and Terny. Other assault groups are actively fighting for Kolodyazi and are close to establishing full control over it, while attacks are taking place along the gullies on the flanks of the settlement.
Meanwhile, on the far left flank of this counteroffensive, Ukrainian forces recaptured the village of Novomykhailivka and are expanding their zone of infiltration along the gulley towards Novolyubivka. Some small groups of soldiers have managed to cross over into Luhansk Oblast and are attempting to capture some positions in the forests there. On the far right flank of this push, Ukrainian forces are intensifying their infiltrations into Zarichne, expanding the grey-zone in the northern streets, and are now trying to cross the Zherebets River and recapture the strongpoints at the Torske Fish Farm.
With this Russian salient now gone, the threat of encirclement for Lyman has been eliminated, and significant pressure on Slovyansk and Borova has been alleviated. Over a year of Russian progress and offensive operations has now been completely reversed. I will make a more in-depth analysis post on the tactical-level and strategic implications of this counteroffensive later.
+ ~151.88 kmยฒ in favour of Ukraine.
Interactive map: amkmapping.com
NOTE: the sources I used for this include my own information from the ground, multiple Russian channels, and an analysis of Sentinel-2 satellite imagery. The information from the ground included was not used to identify the current frontline configuration. The only part of that information I took into account for this update was the fact that the salient had been cleared, which is confirmed by open sources. The majority of this information was gathered from open sources, and it does not break Ukraine's OPSEC regime.
Over the last week, the remaining Russian formations withdrew from their bridgehead west of the Nitrius River, and then further east towards the Zherebets River. Ukrainian forces have recaptured the villages of Shandryholove, Serednje, Zelena Dolnya, Derylove, and Novomykhailivka, and most of the forests between them.
Right now, Ukrainian forces are attempting to reach the Zherebets River from several different directions. The main thrust is taking place down the gullies from the direction of Nove, where they are approaching the villages of Ivanivka and Terny. Other assault groups are actively fighting for Kolodyazi and are close to establishing full control over it, while attacks are taking place along the gullies on the flanks of the settlement.
Meanwhile, on the far left flank of this counteroffensive, Ukrainian forces recaptured the village of Novomykhailivka and are expanding their zone of infiltration along the gulley towards Novolyubivka. Some small groups of soldiers have managed to cross over into Luhansk Oblast and are attempting to capture some positions in the forests there. On the far right flank of this push, Ukrainian forces are intensifying their infiltrations into Zarichne, expanding the grey-zone in the northern streets, and are now trying to cross the Zherebets River and recapture the strongpoints at the Torske Fish Farm.
With this Russian salient now gone, the threat of encirclement for Lyman has been eliminated, and significant pressure on Slovyansk and Borova has been alleviated. Over a year of Russian progress and offensive operations has now been completely reversed. I will make a more in-depth analysis post on the tactical-level and strategic implications of this counteroffensive later.
+ ~151.88 kmยฒ in favour of Ukraine.
Interactive map: amkmapping.com
NOTE: the sources I used for this include my own information from the ground, multiple Russian channels, and an analysis of Sentinel-2 satellite imagery. The information from the ground included was not used to identify the current frontline configuration. The only part of that information I took into account for this update was the fact that the salient had been cleared, which is confirmed by open sources. The majority of this information was gathered from open sources, and it does not break Ukraine's OPSEC regime.
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