For the last 12 hours, Russia has been carrying out one of the largest Geran-2/4/5 drone attacks on Ukraine since the beginning of the year.

At least 400 Geran-2 drones and 80 Geran-4/5 jet-drones have been used, targeting railway infrastructure, warehouse facilities, electrical substation, data centres, and port infrastructure across several different regions of southern, central, and western Ukraine.

Explosions were heard in/near the following locations:

- Pavlohrad, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
- Dnipro, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
- Kryvyi Rih, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
- Shyroke, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
- Zaporizhzhia City
- Svitlodovsk, Kirovohrad Oblast
- Oleksandriya, Kirovohrad Oblast
- Bandurivka, Kirovohrad Oblast
- Znamyanka, Kirovohrad Oblast
- Kanatove, Kirovohrad Oblast
- Kropyvnytskyi, Kirovohrad Oblast
- Bobrynets, Kirovohrad Oblast
- Mykolaiv City
- Velykodolyns'ke, Odesa Oblast
- Izmail, Odesa Oblast
- Reni, Odesa Oblast
- Uman, Cherkasy Oblast
- Smila, Cherkasy Oblast
- Cherkasy Oblast
- Kryzhopil, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Sutysky, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Zhmerynka, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Kozyatyn, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Vinnytsia City
- Kam'yanets'-Podil's'kyi, Khmelnytskyi Oblast
- Starokostyantyniv, Khmelnytskyi Oblast
- Shepetivka, Khmelnytskyi Oblast
- Slavuta, Khmelnytskyi Oblast
- Chabany, Kyiv Oblast
- Hlevakha, Kyiv Oblast
- Irpin, Kyiv Oblast
- Nalyvaikivka, Kyiv Oblast
- Ripky, Chernihiv Oblast
- Lebedyn, Sumy Oblast
- Rokytne, Rivne Oblast
- Rivne City
- Lutsk, Volyn Oblast
- Ivano-Frankivsk City
- Chortkiv, Ternopil Oblast
- Kolomyya, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast

A large fire broke out in Vinnytsia City following multiple Russian Geran-2 drone strikes last night. The target may have been railway infrastructure.

Explosions were also heard in the towns/cities of Kozyatyn, Zhmerynka, Sutysky, and Kryzhopil during the night.

Power outages occurred in the city of Chornomorsk, Odesa Oblast, last night, following a Russian Geran-4/5 jet-drone strike on an electrical substation there.

It is far too early to speak of an imminent capture of Dobropillya town by the Russian army, but it is incorrect to refer to these as mere infiltrations. Russian forces are currently building up their troops on the outskirts and in the outlying districts of the town, in preparation for a subsequent major assault on the centre of Dobropillya. They do not wish to repeat the mistakes made at Lyman.
Ukrainian forces are few in number within the town, but as there is no siege in place (contrary to what the Russian Ministry of Defence erroneously claims), the Ukrainian command continues to send troops to halt the Russian advance. Consequently, Russian troops are moving further west and from the north to establish a siege by cutting off the roads leading into Dobropillya and, in a manner similar to what happened in Kostiantynivka, to force a Ukrainian withdrawal. 🇺🇦🇷🇺

I largely agree with this. While the term "infiltration" can be used for pretty much any assault, the number of Russian soldiers within Dobropillya city has certainly increased recently, particularly in the southwestern residential blocks and industrial zone. The situation isn't critical for Ukraine yet, but it is certainly heading in that direction, and Russia seems to be fully committed on taking the city before winter. Whether that ends up happening or not, I'm not sure. I think there is a reasonable argument for both outcomes.

However, what's become clear is that Russia has shifted their primary offensive axis away from Slovyansk-Kramatorsk to Dobropoillya-Druzhkivka - at least for the Autumn period.

It looks like it will be a foggy night and morning today and tomorrow in many areas of Ukraine.
FPVs, Mavics, Vampires, and interceptors will have it especially hard, and Russian infiltrators might slip through more than other days, especially considering that there's still greenery.

The US military has developed new strike plans that include potentially using the so-called “mother of all bombs” to target Iranian energy infrastructure and nuclear sites should President Donald Trump give the order to resume combat operations either before or after the midterm elections, according to multiple US officials familiar with the matter to CNN.

It seems that the numbers I provided for the attack on Kropyvnytskyi and Kirovohrad Oblast were major undercounts.

Local authorities report that nearly 360 drones were used in the attack, striking at least 26 different locations. However, it's likely that a large portion of these were drones transiting through Kirovohrad Oblast to other regions of Ukraine.

Nevertheless, this was still by far the largest attack on Kirovohrad Oblast since the beginning of the war, with well over 100 drones used to attack the region itself. At least three civilians were killed and six other injured, and the attack lasted over 10 hours.

Zelensky announced that Ukraine will resume strikes on Russian oil refineries, following Trump's earlier request for an energy ceasefire.

He also accused the U.S. of cutting off Starlink and Starshield access for political purposes, stating that the restrictions were not due to any technical issues. Starlink and Starshield restrictions have since been lifted, which Ukraine uses for these mid-to-long-range strikes.

Russian Geran-4 jet-drone strikes on a claimed Ukrainian GUR radar system on Snake Island in the western Black Sea.

The Ukrainian Navy claims that an overnight Neptune cruise missile attack on the Borisoglebsk Airbase in Voronezh Oblast destroyed 6 Russian Su-34M aircraft.

Fighterbomber indicates that there is some truth to this claim.

The Ukrainian Navy has updated their post to say that the 6 aircraft were "struck", rather than destroyed, indicating that some or all of the aircraft were only damaged.

New high-resolution satellite imagery indicates that at least three Russian Su-34M aircraft were destroyed by the Ukrainian Neptune cruise missile strikes on Borisoglebsk Airbase in Voronezh Oblast.

Image credit: @avivector