A few seconds ago, a Russian Su-35 fighter jet tried to shoot down a Ukrainian Su-24/Mirage-2000 aircraft flying near Chuhuiv, Kharkiv Oblast, with an R-37/77 air-to-air missile.
It's possible that the Ukrainian aircraft was going to launch Storm Shadow cruise missiles at border regions of Russia.
It's possible that the Ukrainian aircraft was going to launch Storm Shadow cruise missiles at border regions of Russia.
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness (๐ค๐ค๐ค)
โก๏ธ๐ช๐น๐ท๐บ Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has announced that Ethiopia has received 12 Russian-made Su-35 fighter jets, with four S-400 air defence systems expected to follow.
He described the delivery as a โfirst batchโ and a milestone in strengthening national security and pre-emptive deterrence against aggression.
Abiy said President Vladimir Putin helped ensure delivery of the fourth-generation Su-35 jets a year ahead of schedule, under a prior agreement with the Russian government.
@wfwitness
He described the delivery as a โfirst batchโ and a milestone in strengthening national security and pre-emptive deterrence against aggression.
Abiy said President Vladimir Putin helped ensure delivery of the fourth-generation Su-35 jets a year ahead of schedule, under a prior agreement with the Russian government.
@wfwitness
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness (๐ค๐ค๐ค)
โก๏ธ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ต๐ธ Israeli Army Radio: Political considerations have again shaped security decisions in Hebron, where a 10โday operation described as a failure yielding only four weapons, with the political echelon refusing to withdraw before the elections and agreeing to do so only afterwards.
It described the 10โday operation in Hebron, a city it called โfull of weaponsโ, as a failure after only four weapons were seized.
Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz promised โthe Jenin refugee camp model is coming to Hebronโ, and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the โsuccessful and aggressive modelโ used in the refugee camps would be applied in Hebron.
@wfwitness
It described the 10โday operation in Hebron, a city it called โfull of weaponsโ, as a failure after only four weapons were seized.
Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz promised โthe Jenin refugee camp model is coming to Hebronโ, and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the โsuccessful and aggressive modelโ used in the refugee camps would be applied in Hebron.
@wfwitness
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AMK Mapping
โ๏ธThe next Russian large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine involving strategic bombers is expected to take place in the next 48 hours: A record number of Russian Tu-160M modernised strategic bombers are now equipped with Kh-101 cruise missilesโฆ
Small update on the upcoming combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine:
7 more Tu-95MS strategic bombers are redeploying from Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East to Olenya and Engels-2 Airbases, supported by three IL-78 aerial refuelers. They will land at Olenya and Engels-2 Airbases in the next few hours. As I said earlier, all of these aircraft are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles.
5 Tu-160M strategic bombers remain ready at Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East. All five are equipped with 10-12 Kh-101 cruise missiles each. This, combined with the Tu-95s, could indicate over 70 Kh-101 cruise missiles will be launched.
These were the final preparations for the attack.
I still think it's likely that the attack will take place tonight, although this is not yet confirmed. I will update this again later on.
7 more Tu-95MS strategic bombers are redeploying from Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East to Olenya and Engels-2 Airbases, supported by three IL-78 aerial refuelers. They will land at Olenya and Engels-2 Airbases in the next few hours. As I said earlier, all of these aircraft are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles.
5 Tu-160M strategic bombers remain ready at Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East. All five are equipped with 10-12 Kh-101 cruise missiles each. This, combined with the Tu-95s, could indicate over 70 Kh-101 cruise missiles will be launched.
These were the final preparations for the attack.
I still think it's likely that the attack will take place tonight, although this is not yet confirmed. I will update this again later on.
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AMK Mapping
Small update on the upcoming combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine: 7 more Tu-95MS strategic bombers are redeploying from Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East to Olenya and Engels-2 Airbases, supported by three IL-78 aerial refuelers. They will land atโฆ
โ๏ธRussiaโs large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine will take place tonight.
5 Tu-160M strategic bombers have departed from Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East and are flying west to their launch lines in western Vologda Oblast, which they are expected to reach in around 6 hours. It will take a little under 2 more hours after that for the missiles to enter Ukrainian airspace.
Communications between Olenya Airbase and strategic command and control in Moscow on combat frequencies have also been recorded. Itโs expected that up to 10 Tu-95MS strategic bombers will depart from Olenya Airbase in around 4.5 hours from now. Not all of these aircraft will launch Kh-101 cruise missiles, as some will be conducting training missions alongside the ones actually launching missiles. They will probably conduct launch maneuvers at around the same time as the Tu-160s.
As I mentioned before, the highest threat is to the western regions of Ukraine, where energy infrastructure will likely be targeted by Kh-101 cruise missiles. This especially includes Rivne Oblast, Volyn Oblast, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast, Chernivtsi Oblast, and Lviv Oblast. Itโs like that the eastern half of Ukraine will be targeted by ground-launched missiles (ballistics, Zircons, and Oniks) beforehand. Kalibr cruise missiles will also likely be launched from the Black Sea or Caspian Sea at some point.
5 Tu-160M strategic bombers have departed from Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East and are flying west to their launch lines in western Vologda Oblast, which they are expected to reach in around 6 hours. It will take a little under 2 more hours after that for the missiles to enter Ukrainian airspace.
Communications between Olenya Airbase and strategic command and control in Moscow on combat frequencies have also been recorded. Itโs expected that up to 10 Tu-95MS strategic bombers will depart from Olenya Airbase in around 4.5 hours from now. Not all of these aircraft will launch Kh-101 cruise missiles, as some will be conducting training missions alongside the ones actually launching missiles. They will probably conduct launch maneuvers at around the same time as the Tu-160s.
As I mentioned before, the highest threat is to the western regions of Ukraine, where energy infrastructure will likely be targeted by Kh-101 cruise missiles. This especially includes Rivne Oblast, Volyn Oblast, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast, Chernivtsi Oblast, and Lviv Oblast. Itโs like that the eastern half of Ukraine will be targeted by ground-launched missiles (ballistics, Zircons, and Oniks) beforehand. Kalibr cruise missiles will also likely be launched from the Black Sea or Caspian Sea at some point.
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Protesters stormed a building in the town of Petropavlivska Borshchahivka on the western outskirts of Kyiv, where at least 14 people - primarily forcibly mobilised men - were reportedly being held hostage by personnel from the 1st Corps of the National Guard "Azov". Among those in the building was a child who was allegedly beaten with a shovel.
A bus arrived at the scene to transport around 12 of the individuals being held, resulting in the protesters attempting to overturn the vehicle. Rapid Operational Response Unit (KORD) personnel dispersed the protests, with reports of gunfire and explosions being heard amid the clashes. Communications disruptions were also reported in the area.
President Office Head Kyrylo Budanov arrived at the scene, stating that he was trying to "figure out what the hell is going on." The event is under investigation by the National Guard.
A bus arrived at the scene to transport around 12 of the individuals being held, resulting in the protesters attempting to overturn the vehicle. Rapid Operational Response Unit (KORD) personnel dispersed the protests, with reports of gunfire and explosions being heard amid the clashes. Communications disruptions were also reported in the area.
President Office Head Kyrylo Budanov arrived at the scene, stating that he was trying to "figure out what the hell is going on." The event is under investigation by the National Guard.
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The U.S. Air Force is carrying out new airstrikes against Iranian surface-to-air missile launchers on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz.
Earlier, repeated air defence activity was reported from the island, with the IRGC claiming that two U.S. MQM-170 and one MQ-9 "Reaper" drones were shot down. American airstrikes are probably targeting the same surface-to-air missile launchers used to target these drones.
Air defence activity is also reported at Omidiyeh Airbase in southwestern Iran.
Earlier, repeated air defence activity was reported from the island, with the IRGC claiming that two U.S. MQM-170 and one MQ-9 "Reaper" drones were shot down. American airstrikes are probably targeting the same surface-to-air missile launchers used to target these drones.
Air defence activity is also reported at Omidiyeh Airbase in southwestern Iran.
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AMK Mapping
The U.S. Air Force is carrying out new airstrikes against Iranian surface-to-air missile launchers on Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz. Earlier, repeated air defence activity was reported from the island, with the IRGC claiming that two U.S. MQM-170โฆ
This is not a resumption of the regional war btw.
That will happen after the midterms - in my opinion, later this month.
That will happen after the midterms - in my opinion, later this month.
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The IRGC is attacking vessels in the Strait of Hormuz with anti-ship cruise missiles or drones.
Explosions were heard southwest of Qeshm Island.
Explosions were heard southwest of Qeshm Island.
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AMK Mapping
โ๏ธRussiaโs large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine will take place tonight. 5 Tu-160M strategic bombers have departed from Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East and are flying west to their launch lines in western Vologda Oblast, which theyโฆ
Ahead of the missile attack, Russia has launched yet another large-scale attack on Ukraine using Geran-2 drones and Geran-4/5 jet-drones. Over 250 drones have been launched in the last 8 hours, over two-thirds of which were Geran-2 drones.
The primary target has been energy infrastructure, which will be hit even harder once the missiles start flying later tonight. Among the targets hit were the Dnัstrovska Hydroelectric Power Plant and Chernivtsi 330 kV electrical substation in Chernivtsi Oblast, as well as the Zhytomyr 330 kV substation - both in western Ukraine. Widespread power outages have affected both Zhytomyr and Chernivtsi Oblasts, with most of Zhytomyr City being left without electricity.
During this attack (which is still ongoing), explosions were heard in/near the following locations:
- Nadvirna, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast
- Kitsman, Chernivtsi Oblast
- Novodnistrovs'k, Chernivtsi Oblast
- Khmelnytskyi City
- Sharhorod, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Kryzhopil, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Vinnytsia City
- Tal'ne, Cherkasy Oblast
- Kaniv, Cherkasy Oblast
- Cherkasy City
- Kyiv City
- Pukhivka, Kyiv Oblast
- Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast
- Hlevakha, Kyiv Oblast
- Luhyny, Zhytomyr Oblast
- Zhytomyr City
- Manevychi, Volyn Oblast
- Poltava City
- Shakhtarske, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
- Dnipro, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
- Troyandy, Zaporizhzhia Oblast
- Vilnyansk, Zaporizhzhia Oblast
- Nyzy, Sumy Oblast
- Sumy City
The primary target has been energy infrastructure, which will be hit even harder once the missiles start flying later tonight. Among the targets hit were the Dnัstrovska Hydroelectric Power Plant and Chernivtsi 330 kV electrical substation in Chernivtsi Oblast, as well as the Zhytomyr 330 kV substation - both in western Ukraine. Widespread power outages have affected both Zhytomyr and Chernivtsi Oblasts, with most of Zhytomyr City being left without electricity.
During this attack (which is still ongoing), explosions were heard in/near the following locations:
- Nadvirna, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast
- Kitsman, Chernivtsi Oblast
- Novodnistrovs'k, Chernivtsi Oblast
- Khmelnytskyi City
- Sharhorod, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Kryzhopil, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Vinnytsia City
- Tal'ne, Cherkasy Oblast
- Kaniv, Cherkasy Oblast
- Cherkasy City
- Kyiv City
- Pukhivka, Kyiv Oblast
- Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast
- Hlevakha, Kyiv Oblast
- Luhyny, Zhytomyr Oblast
- Zhytomyr City
- Manevychi, Volyn Oblast
- Poltava City
- Shakhtarske, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
- Dnipro, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
- Troyandy, Zaporizhzhia Oblast
- Vilnyansk, Zaporizhzhia Oblast
- Nyzy, Sumy Oblast
- Sumy City
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According to available information, ballistic missiles and other ground launched systems will be used in 1-2 hours from now, approximately between 1:30-2:30am local time.
Up to 30 missiles (RM-48U, Iskander-M, Oniks-M, & Zircon) could be used in total. The highest threat is to Kyiv City, Kyiv Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Kharkiv Oblast, and Poltava Oblast.
Up to 30 missiles (RM-48U, Iskander-M, Oniks-M, & Zircon) could be used in total. The highest threat is to Kyiv City, Kyiv Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Kharkiv Oblast, and Poltava Oblast.
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AMK Mapping
According to available information, ballistic missiles and other ground launched systems will be used in 1-2 hours from now, approximately between 1:30-2:30am local time. Up to 30 missiles (RM-48U, Iskander-M, Oniks-M, & Zircon) could be used in total. Theโฆ
There is also the possibility of up to 10 Kn-23 ballistic missiles being launched from near Liski, Voronezh Oblast, in around this same timeframe.
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Currently, approximately 40 Geran-2/4/5 drones are detected in Ukrainian airspace.
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Sorry, got the timing wrong on the strategic bombers. The Tu-95MS are expected to take off from Olenya Airbase in around an hour.
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Some of the Tu-95MS strategic bombers are already airborne from Olenya Airbase, having taken off a few minutes ago.
They are flying south to their launch lines in western Vologda Oblast, which they will reach in around 1.5 hours. The 5 Tu-160M strategic bombers are expected to reach these same launch lines at around the same time.
From there, it will take a little under 2 hours for the Kh-101 cruise missiles to enter Ukrainian airspace. Up to 70 missiles will be launched in waves towards Ukraine.
They are flying south to their launch lines in western Vologda Oblast, which they will reach in around 1.5 hours. The 5 Tu-160M strategic bombers are expected to reach these same launch lines at around the same time.
From there, it will take a little under 2 hours for the Kh-101 cruise missiles to enter Ukrainian airspace. Up to 70 missiles will be launched in waves towards Ukraine.
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AMK Mapping
Some of the Tu-95MS strategic bombers are already airborne from Olenya Airbase, having taken off a few minutes ago. They are flying south to their launch lines in western Vologda Oblast, which they will reach in around 1.5 hours. The 5 Tu-160M strategicโฆ
At least 6 Tu-95MS are airborne.
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Approximate flight routes of the Russian Tu-95MS and Tu-160M strategic bombers airborne right now.
They will reach the launch lines in western Vologda Oblast in around 90 minutes, and launch 50-70 Kh-101 cruise missiles towards Ukraine (Sumy/Kharkiv Oblasts) in several waves.
They will reach the launch lines in western Vologda Oblast in around 90 minutes, and launch 50-70 Kh-101 cruise missiles towards Ukraine (Sumy/Kharkiv Oblasts) in several waves.
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