⚡️🇪🇹🇷🇺 Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has announced that Ethiopia has received 12 Russian-made Su-35 fighter jets, with four S-400 air defence systems expected to follow.

He described the delivery as a “first batch” and a milestone in strengthening national security and pre-emptive deterrence against aggression.

Abiy said President Vladimir Putin helped ensure delivery of the fourth-generation Su-35 jets a year ahead of schedule, under a prior agreement with the Russian government.

@wfwitness

⚡️🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israeli Army Radio: Political considerations have again shaped security decisions in Hebron, where a 10‑day operation described as a failure yielding only four weapons, with the political echelon refusing to withdraw before the elections and agreeing to do so only afterwards.

It described the 10‑day operation in Hebron, a city it called “full of weapons”, as a failure after only four weapons were seized.

Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz promised “the Jenin refugee camp model is coming to Hebron”, and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the “successful and aggressive model” used in the refugee camps would be applied in Hebron.

@wfwitness

The IRGC is conducting ballistic missile test launches from near Hamedan, western Iran.

Small update on the upcoming combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine:

7 more Tu-95MS strategic bombers are redeploying from Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East to Olenya and Engels-2 Airbases, supported by three IL-78 aerial refuelers. They will land at Olenya and Engels-2 Airbases in the next few hours. As I said earlier, all of these aircraft are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles.

5 Tu-160M strategic bombers remain ready at Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East. All five are equipped with 10-12 Kh-101 cruise missiles each. This, combined with the Tu-95s, could indicate over 70 Kh-101 cruise missiles will be launched.

These were the final preparations for the attack.

I still think it's likely that the attack will take place tonight, although this is not yet confirmed. I will update this again later on.

❗️Russia’s large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine will take place tonight.

5 Tu-160M strategic bombers have departed from Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East and are flying west to their launch lines in western Vologda Oblast, which they are expected to reach in around 6 hours. It will take a little under 2 more hours after that for the missiles to enter Ukrainian airspace.

Communications between Olenya Airbase and strategic command and control in Moscow on combat frequencies have also been recorded. It’s expected that up to 10 Tu-95MS strategic bombers will depart from Olenya Airbase in around 4.5 hours from now. Not all of these aircraft will launch Kh-101 cruise missiles, as some will be conducting training missions alongside the ones actually launching missiles. They will probably conduct launch maneuvers at around the same time as the Tu-160s.

As I mentioned before, the highest threat is to the western regions of Ukraine, where energy infrastructure will likely be targeted by Kh-101 cruise missiles. This especially includes Rivne Oblast, Volyn Oblast, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast, Chernivtsi Oblast, and Lviv Oblast. It’s like that the eastern half of Ukraine will be targeted by ground-launched missiles (ballistics, Zircons, and Oniks) beforehand. Kalibr cruise missiles will also likely be launched from the Black Sea or Caspian Sea at some point.