Situation northeast of Dobropillya - information from the ground:

Russian infiltrations, using both small assault groups and DRG groups, continue deep into the Ukrainian tactical rear. This has resulted in a deterioration of the situation for Ukraine near Bilozerske, and a slightly less critical situation further east. Active clearing operations by Ukrainian forces continue.

Russian infiltrations originate largely from the Novyi Donbas - Nove Shakhove area. The western routes lead towards Bilozerske, while the eastern routes lead towards Zolotyi Kolodyaz and the Novovodyane-Blahodat area.

In the Bilozerske area, small Russian infiltration groups have intensified their movements along the railway line and through the treelines north of Hannivka, resulting in an expansion of the grey-zone up to the outskirts of Bilozerske and into Vesele Pole, where they seem to be actually contesting entire areas now, rather than just entering a given position and moving around constantly to avoid being detected. Approximately 15 Russian soldiers were detected within Bilozerske in total a little over a week ago. A portion of them have been holding the southeastern-most high-rise building (48.53124, 37.07267) of the city for over two months since September 2, which I reported on at the time. From the railway line, some small infiltrators move north into the Novovodyane and Blahodat areas, where significant combat occurred a couple of weeks ago, although it seems the Russian presence here has decreased substantially due to repeated Ukrainian clearing operations.

In the Zolotyi Kolodyaz area, Russian infiltrators have been moving in small groups from areas east of Vilne, bypassing Vilne and Rubizhne through the indicated routes, and into the western part of Zolotyi Kolodyaz, where they have only sporadically been detected in recent weeks. The main Russian goal does not seem to be holding positions in the town, but rather moving further northwest through the town towards the highway, and then even further towards Blahodat and Vesela Hora, where individual groups continue to be sporadically detected.

The reason why I still have most of these infiltration areas as "Ukrainian-controlled", but within the infiltration zone (separate to the grey-zone), is because in most of these routes, Russian soldiers are not stopping to take and hold positions, but rather simply moving through towards their target destination up to 17 km away from the nearest Russian-controlled territory. There is still an overwhelming majority of consolidated Ukrainian positions in these areas, which are used to try disrupt these infiltration operations along the way. Also, in my opinion, a large portion of these small infiltration groups are DRGs, which do not have the task of taking and holding territory, but rather carrying out reconnaissance and sabotage missions behind Ukrainian lines. I have added grey-zones only in areas where Russian forces are actively contesting portions of territory, and not just hopping between positions to try avoid being detected.

One of the main reasons why these infiltrators are able to conduct such deep movements - besides the obvious lack of soldiers concentrated along the frontline due to heavy drone usage making this impossible - is how Ukrainian reconnaissance drones are being used. Ukrainian drones primarily survey the actual grey-zone and Russian-controlled territory. This means that there is a certain point where the Russian infiltrators reach an area deep enough where there are substantially less Ukrainian drones in the air searching the land for Russian soldiers, making it much less likely for them to be detected. The number of Russian soldiers in a series of DRG groups, for example, may decrease quite a lot due to heavy casualties as they move through the grey-zone, but once they reach an area a few kilometres from the grey-zone, they could suffer zero additional casualties all the way up to their maximum infiltration depth of around 17 km.

#Ukrainemap

The Ukrainian Toretsk counterattacks of 2025 might be one of the most forgotten battles of this war.

I don't know how many of you guys remember them, but they were extremely unexpected.

Now that that's over, we wait for the resumption of the regional war in the Middle East.

I expect the U.S. will start a new bombing campaign in the coming days/weeks, and Iran will immediately retaliate by hitting the gulf states and U.S. bases.

The IRGC released footage showing the interception of a U.S. MQ-9 “Reaper” drone over the Strait of Hormuz today.

The IRGC is conducting new ballistic test launches from near Shiraz, southern Iran.

Approximately 4 Russian S8000 Banderol cruise missiles struck the city of Kremenchuk, Poltava Oblast, and the neighbouring city of Svitlodovsk, Kirovohrad Oblast, a little over an hour ago.

The 14 year old boy who took part in protests against a reported Azov detention facility near Kyiv, and his parents, have been added to the been added to the controversial Ukrainian "Myrotvorets" list, where their personal information, including address, phone numbers, and passport information, were doxxed. This is the same boy who was reportedly beaten with a shovel by soldiers after throwing rocks at Azov personnel.

The boy was added to the list for allegedly taking "actions aimed at undermining Ukraine's defense capabilities and disrupting mobilization measures in the interests of the Russian-fascist invaders", calling for attacks on Ukrainian military personnel, attacking Ukrainian servicemen, and obstructing the Ukrainian military's actions "to protect the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the country". They allege that he injured Azov personnel after throwing rocks at them, and caused damage exceeding 10s of millions of Hryvnias.

The child's parents were added to the list for "Non-fulfilment of parental responsibilities for the maintenance and upbringing of minor children, which led to serious consequences." Despite them not taking part in any of the protest actions, their personal information, including including address, phone numbers, and passport information, were doxxed to the public.

The Myrotvorets list is a database of individuals they consider enemies of Ukraine, who they claim are working against Ukraine's national interests. It has been repeatedly criticised by human rights organisations as violating press freedoms and endangering journalists. Some critics have characterised Myrotvorets as a "kill list", and alleged it is funded by the Ukrainian SBU.

I have blurred out their personal information for obvious reasons.

After nearly 3 months of intense battles, the Russian offensive into Orikhiv has failed, and the city is now back under full Ukrainian control.

Fighting has since shifted to the Novodanylivka area, where Ukrainian forces are attempting to increase their presence within the grey-zone and dislodge Russian forces from the southern half of the village. A stalemate remains in Mala Tokmachka, with Ukrainian forces controlling approximately half of the town.

#Ukrainemap

Axios reports that, following the Republican defeat in the midterm elections, the U.S. is completing preparations for their next wave of strikes on Iran, and is sending more military assets to the Middle East in preparation for the potential order to be given.

One of Trump's former advisors told Axios "It's one thing to lose the midterms. But Trump doesn't want to look like a loser twice."

Ansarallah published footage showing wreckage from a downed Saudi "Wing Loong II" drone in the Taizz Governorate of Yemen.