Two Russian Tu-22m3 strategic bombers are redeploying from Belaya Airbase, Irkutsk Oblast, to Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast.

If they subsequently fly to Dyagilevo Airbase in Ryazan Oblast to be equipped with Kh-22/32 supersonic cruise missile, then Russia will have potentially 4 Tu-22m3 ready for a combat mission.

This threat is relevant for tonight as well.

It’s difficult to say when this attack will happen, as Russia may be waiting for some repairs to be done on the power plants in Kyiv before hitting them again.

The Israeli Army Radio reports that the Israeli central command has ordered Israeli forces to stop informing Palestinian Authority security forces in the West Bank in advance about IDF raids into West Bank towns and cities.

The IRGC claims that their air defences shot down another U.S. MQ-1C drone over Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz.

They allege this is the 16th drone of this type to be intercepted since the beginning of the war.

An oil tanker likely struck an Iranian naval mine off the coast of Oman in the Strait of Hormuz.

The vessel has since continued its voyage, and no injuries among the crew are reported.

The U.S. has informed the Ukrainian GUR about this upcoming missile attack. It is expected to take place within the next 36 hours (i.e tonight or tomorrow night).

It could involve up to 24 Kalibr cruise missiles and up to 40 ground-launched ballistic and cruise missiles, including Zircons, Oniks-Ms, Iskander-Ms, Iskander-Ks, and Kn-23s. Strategic bombers will not take part in the attack.

The highest threat is to Kyiv, Vinnytsia, Dnipropetrovsk, Kirovohrad, Poltava, and Kharkiv Oblasts, as well as Kyiv City.

Energy infrastructure will be the primary target.

Iskander-M threat from Bryansk

Missile to Chernihiv Oblast

Possibly RM-48U modified S-400

2 missiles

4 missiles. Flying to eastern Kyiv

80 km away

Repeated launches from Bryansk

Impacts in eastern Kyiv

4 impacts total

2 more incoming

2 more impacts

2 more impacts in eastern Kyiv. Same location.