AMK Mapping
A Russian Su-35 fighter flying over western Luhansk Oblast just attempted to shoot down Ukrainian tactical aircraft flying near the Donetsk-Kharkiv Regional border with an R-37/77 air-to-air missile.
A second attempt at shooting down the Ukrainian tactical aircraft was made. The Ukrainian aircraft are flying southwest away from the frontline.
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A series of strong explosions have been heard across Zaporizhzhia City.
No aerial targets are detected in the area, so its unclear what's causing this.
No aerial targets are detected in the area, so its unclear what's causing this.
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AMK Mapping
A series of strong explosions have been heard across Zaporizhzhia City. No aerial targets are detected in the area, so its unclear what's causing this.
A drone has appeared, flying along the indicated arrow. Two more explosions have since been heard.
Its still unclear what's being targeted and what the cause of the explosions are.
Its still unclear what's being targeted and what the cause of the explosions are.
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Footage of the explosions in Zaporizhzhia City.
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The initial unknown explosions were also likely caused by Tornado-S rockets. Ukrainian radars seemingly malfunctioned, resulting in the aerial targets not being detected and sirens not sounding..
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Ukrainian FPV drones carried out another series of strikes on valuable Russian rear assets, including:
- A radar system for the S-350 "Vityaz" medium-range surface-to-air missile system near the village of Novooleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast.
- A Tor-M2KM short-range surface-to-air missile system near the city of Melitopol, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
- The Tuapse Oil Refinery in Krasnodar Krai.
- A radar system for the S-350 "Vityaz" medium-range surface-to-air missile system near the village of Novooleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast.
- A Tor-M2KM short-range surface-to-air missile system near the city of Melitopol, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
- The Tuapse Oil Refinery in Krasnodar Krai.
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness (SneakyCookie)
⚡🇷🇺🇺🇦 The oil depot of Tuapse continued to burn this morning following a large drone strike.
Previous footage from the fire showed nearly 10 separate impacts suggesting that the local air defense was saturated or too thin to repell the attack.
@wfwitness
Previous footage from the fire showed nearly 10 separate impacts suggesting that the local air defense was saturated or too thin to repell the attack.
@wfwitness
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AMK Mapping
2-4 Russian Tu-22m3 strategic bombers are airborne from Olenya Airbase, flying south. It's unclear if this is a combat mission, a training mission, or a redeployment. They are communicating to ground controllers on a frequency that has been used for combat…
Yesterday's Russian Tu-22m3 flight involved two bombers redeploying from Olenya Airbase in Murmansk Oblast, to Soltsy-2 Airbase in Novgorod Oblast. Soltsy-2 Airbase is increasingly being used by Russian Tu-22m3 strategic bombers.
From there, they carried out a training mission in the Baltic Sea alongside two Su-35S fighters, where they flew close to Danish Airspace, resulting in Denmark scrambling two JAS 39 Gripen fighters and two F-35A fighters.
Hopefully the Russian Ministry of Defence will release footage of the training mission so we can see how many Kh-22/32 cruise missiles the bombers are equipped with (if any).
From there, they carried out a training mission in the Baltic Sea alongside two Su-35S fighters, where they flew close to Danish Airspace, resulting in Denmark scrambling two JAS 39 Gripen fighters and two F-35A fighters.
Hopefully the Russian Ministry of Defence will release footage of the training mission so we can see how many Kh-22/32 cruise missiles the bombers are equipped with (if any).
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Ukrainian sources report increased Russian assault operations and strikes on Ukrainian positions in the Krasnopillya direction, Sumy Oblast.
During the 32-hour Easter truce, Russian forces moved drone operators and artillery closer to the frontline, which is now being used to support these new intensified cross-border assault operations.
This operation, like all the other border crossings, from Vovchansk (at least up until recently) to Hlukhiv, has the primary goal of drawing Ukrainian reinforcements away from more important sectors of the frontline to facilitate further Russian advances there, rather than capture and permanently hold large swaths of territory. I call it the "Whack-a-mole" strategy. It takes advantage of a lack of Ukrainian reserves to plug gaps and manpower shortages along the frontline.
Tactically speaking, Ukraine losing 50 km² in southern Sumy Oblast is WORSE than them using 5 km² in the Kostyantynivka direction.
During the 32-hour Easter truce, Russian forces moved drone operators and artillery closer to the frontline, which is now being used to support these new intensified cross-border assault operations.
This operation, like all the other border crossings, from Vovchansk (at least up until recently) to Hlukhiv, has the primary goal of drawing Ukrainian reinforcements away from more important sectors of the frontline to facilitate further Russian advances there, rather than capture and permanently hold large swaths of territory. I call it the "Whack-a-mole" strategy. It takes advantage of a lack of Ukrainian reserves to plug gaps and manpower shortages along the frontline.
Tactically speaking, Ukraine losing 50 km² in southern Sumy Oblast is WORSE than them using 5 km² in the Kostyantynivka direction.
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Convoys of the Israeli-backed "Popular Forces" Palestinian armed group are seen patrolling parts of Rafah, southern Gaza Strip, including along the Philidelphi Corridor near Israeli military bases.
This confirms their continues presence well outside of their controlled zones, under the protection of the IDF. The Popular Forces has ~500-700 Palestinian fighters, and is funded by Israel to help combat Hamas and other Pro-Hamas armed groups. They operate in both southern and northern Gaza.
This confirms their continues presence well outside of their controlled zones, under the protection of the IDF. The Popular Forces has ~500-700 Palestinian fighters, and is funded by Israel to help combat Hamas and other Pro-Hamas armed groups. They operate in both southern and northern Gaza.
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AMK Mapping
Yesterday's Russian Tu-22m3 flight involved two bombers redeploying from Olenya Airbase in Murmansk Oblast, to Soltsy-2 Airbase in Novgorod Oblast. Soltsy-2 Airbase is increasingly being used by Russian Tu-22m3 strategic bombers. From there, they carried…
Footage released by the Russian MOD of yesterday's Tu-22m3 training mission over the Baltic Sea confirms that both strategic bombers that took part were each equipped with one Kh-22 cruise missile in the weapons bay.
Tu-22m3s can carry a maximum of 3 Kh-22/32 cruise missiles - one under each wing and a third in the weapons bay. These aircraft (which are currently stationed back at Soltsy-2 Airbase in Novgorod Oblast) are equipped with the older, less accurate Kh-22 cruise missile.
It is possible that these missiles will be used in the next large-scale combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine.
Tu-22m3s can carry a maximum of 3 Kh-22/32 cruise missiles - one under each wing and a third in the weapons bay. These aircraft (which are currently stationed back at Soltsy-2 Airbase in Novgorod Oblast) are equipped with the older, less accurate Kh-22 cruise missile.
It is possible that these missiles will be used in the next large-scale combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine.
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There is an increased threat of a large-scale combined Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine for the next 48 hours.
If this attack does take place, it will not involve Tu-95MS or Tu-160M strategic bombers. However, it may involve Tu-22m3 strategic bomber as at least two Tu-22m3s are equipped with one Kh-22 cruise missile each at Soltsy-2 Airbase, Novgorod Oblast.
The main missiles involved would likely be Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Kalibr cruise missiles, as well as possibly Kh-59/69 cruise missiles and Iskander-K cruise missiles.
If this attack does not take place, the next combined missile attack (which in theory would occur any day from Saturday onwards) will probably involve Tu-95MS and Tu-160M strategic bombers as well as the aforementioned other missiles.
If this attack does take place, it will not involve Tu-95MS or Tu-160M strategic bombers. However, it may involve Tu-22m3 strategic bomber as at least two Tu-22m3s are equipped with one Kh-22 cruise missile each at Soltsy-2 Airbase, Novgorod Oblast.
The main missiles involved would likely be Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Kalibr cruise missiles, as well as possibly Kh-59/69 cruise missiles and Iskander-K cruise missiles.
If this attack does not take place, the next combined missile attack (which in theory would occur any day from Saturday onwards) will probably involve Tu-95MS and Tu-160M strategic bombers as well as the aforementioned other missiles.
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