Yesterday's Russian Tu-22m3 flight involved two bombers redeploying from Olenya Airbase in Murmansk Oblast, to Soltsy-2 Airbase in Novgorod Oblast. Soltsy-2 Airbase is increasingly being used by Russian Tu-22m3 strategic bombers.

From there, they carried out a training mission in the Baltic Sea alongside two Su-35S fighters, where they flew close to Danish Airspace, resulting in Denmark scrambling two JAS 39 Gripen fighters and two F-35A fighters.

Hopefully the Russian Ministry of Defence will release footage of the training mission so we can see how many Kh-22/32 cruise missiles the bombers are equipped with (if any).

Ukrainian sources report increased Russian assault operations and strikes on Ukrainian positions in the Krasnopillya direction, Sumy Oblast.

During the 32-hour Easter truce, Russian forces moved drone operators and artillery closer to the frontline, which is now being used to support these new intensified cross-border assault operations.

This operation, like all the other border crossings, from Vovchansk (at least up until recently) to Hlukhiv, has the primary goal of drawing Ukrainian reinforcements away from more important sectors of the frontline to facilitate further Russian advances there, rather than capture and permanently hold large swaths of territory. I call it the "Whack-a-mole" strategy. It takes advantage of a lack of Ukrainian reserves to plug gaps and manpower shortages along the frontline.

Tactically speaking, Ukraine losing 50 km² in southern Sumy Oblast is WORSE than them using 5 km² in the Kostyantynivka direction.

There is an increased threat of a large-scale combined Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine for the next 48 hours.

If this attack does take place, it will not involve Tu-95MS or Tu-160M strategic bombers. However, it may involve Tu-22m3 strategic bomber as at least two Tu-22m3s are equipped with one Kh-22 cruise missile each at Soltsy-2 Airbase, Novgorod Oblast.

The main missiles involved would likely be Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Kalibr cruise missiles, as well as possibly Kh-59/69 cruise missiles and Iskander-K cruise missiles.

If this attack does not take place, the next combined missile attack (which in theory would occur any day from Saturday onwards) will probably involve Tu-95MS and Tu-160M strategic bombers as well as the aforementioned other missiles.

A Ukrainian channel debunks the claims of Ukrainian electronic warfare being used to down Russian Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles.

The debris shown falling in the video is almost certainly from a rare Patriot PAC-3 interception, which I have reported on in the past.

One of the targets of the KAB glide-bomb strikes on Slovyansk was the Slovyansk Secondary School No. 12.

Coordinates: 48.856312, 37.600897

S-400 launch from Kursk Oblast targeting Ukrainian avation over Sumy Oblast

Interception attempt was made. All clear for now.

HIMARS are attacking Belgorod right now. Russian S-300 air defence is operating over Belgorod City.

One interception seen over Belgorod City.

S-300 is also operating over Shebekino, Belgorod Oblast.

A Russian Su-35 flying over eastern Belgorod Oblast just attempted to shoot down a Ukrainian tactical aircraft flying south of Chuhuiv, Kharkiv Oblast, with an R-37/77 air-to-air missile.

Another attempt is being made now, this time over Sumy Oblast by a Su-35 in Kursk Oblast.