Activity on Russian strategic aviation frequencies has just been recorded. It is unclear if this is a combat frequency, or just communications with strategic command and control in Moscow.

Either way, a combined attack on Ukraine tonight is practically certainly going to take place now.

The activity is on a combat frequency.

Currently, a minimum of 30 Geran-2/Gerbera drones are detected in Ukrainian airspace.

The number of Russian Geran-2/Gerbera drones detected in Ukrainian airspace has increased to ~35.

Two Russian Tu-160M strategic bombers will likely depart from Ukrainka Airbase, Amur Oblast in the next 90 minutes.

The number of Russian Geran-2/Gerbera drones detected in Ukrainian airspace has increased to ~40.

Any reports of Tu-160M strategic bombers departing from Engels-2 Airbase are false. These are being mixed up with Su-34s flying on combat missions.

Reports of Tu-95MS and Tu-22m3 departures from Olenya Airbase are also likely false. Just putting this out there, as there's a lot of fake info circulating right now...

We probably wont see any departures of Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase for at least another 2.5 hours. Tu-22m3s, Iskanders and Kalibrs could be used at any time from 1 hour from now onwards.

4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers departed from Olenya Airbase a short time ago, earlier than expected. They are flying south and will likely carry out launch maneuvers of Kh-101 cruise missiles from above the northern Caspian Sea in approximately 4.5 hours.

The first wave of drone attacks aimed at exhausting Ukrainian air defence is over. The wave consisted mostly of Gerbera decoy drones. The second wave is now beginning, and will consist of ~40% Gerberas and ~60% Gerans.

Only ~20 drones are detected in Ukrainian airspace right now, however this number will soon increase significantly.

I'm living rent free in his head 🤣🤣

There are likely 2 Tu-160M strategic bombers in the air right now, flying west towards their launch lines in Volgograd Oblast/Caspian Sea.

Edit: This is now confirmed

For the next 5 hours, there is a high threat of Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile launches, especially for Kyiv.

At least 18 Geran-2 drones attacked the city of Shostka, Sumy Oblast, in a unusually short but large attack.

Explosions were heard in Dnipro from a small Geran-2 drone attack.

Explosions were also head in the city of Bohodukhiv, Kharkiv Oblast, from Russian Geran-2 drone strikes.

Explosions in Snovsk, Chernihiv Oblast. Geran-2 drone strikes.