Now that Ukraine is making the headlines again, I would like to make something clear:

There will be no article 5 response from NATO. Anyone telling you otherwise is engagement and hype farming. We don't even know if this was intentional, or if the drone was affected by electronic warfare.

Even if it was intentional, NATO is not about to declare war on Russia because a single drone struck a building, killing no one. Use your brains, people. There is zero incentive for a NATO-Russia war.

According to Armchair Copelord, any Russian MOD claim is automatically fact, and any Russian channel saying otherwise is either controlled by the SBU or mapping off Ukrainian claims. If EVERY SINGLE mapper (both Russian and Ukrainian) disagrees with you, then maybe you're incorrect.

But apparently I'm a Ukrainian propagandist on Monday, and a Russian propagandist on Tuesday. Same goes for @Suriyak_maps who is routinely attacked by this clown.

I'm done being respectful to this idiot, and refraining from calling him out. You can only act like this for so long before I give up trying to discuss things with you. My recent conversation with Armchair Warlord in DMs really opened my eyes up to how he views things, and his lack of intellectual honesty.

Armchair Warlord has been nice to me in the past, but this is just getting ridiculous. Him attacking @Suriyak_maps also pathetic. I cannot believe anyone takes this guy seriously when he bases ALL of his claims on Russian MOD reports, while ignoring EVERYTHING else by characterising it as Ukrainian propaganda.

Hezbollah released footage showing an FPV drone strike on an IDF communications centre on the Israel-Lebanon border.

Despite Israel's advances in southern Lebanon, Hezbollah's strikes on northern Israel itself are only getting more and more common.

Hezbollah released footage showing FPV drone strikes on two more Israeli Iron Dome launchers, this time near the town of Margaliot, northern Israel.

This brings the total visually confirmed FPV drone strikes on Iron Dome launchers to 6.

Hezbollah released footage showing FPV drone strikes on two Israeli vehicles, including one Humvee, near the town of Naqoura on the Israel-Lebanon border.

The first vehicle is seen burning in a ditch on the side of the road after the drone strike.

Hezbollah released footage showing an FPV drone strike on a tent set up for Israeli soldiers on the Israel-Lebanon border.

It doesn't appear that there were any IDF soldiers inside the tent at the time of the strike.

Hezbollah released footage showing an FPV drone strike on an IDF excavator in the city of Khiam, southern Lebanon.

Dobropillia direction.

In general, the situation remains stable.

Particularly, the 1st Corps “Azov” continues to hold well their sector of responsibility, with its soldiers saying that the Corps system in this case is working greatly well.
The strategy that they are using is defense with some counterattacks here and there in the gray zone.

The Russian 51st Army seems to be now exhausted, but Ukrainian infantry is also not in a perfect state, with the most exhaustion being felt in the Kucheriv Yar - Nykanorivka (Zapovidne) belt.
Because of their exhaustion, the Russians moved in some elements of the 41st Army in the Dobropillia direction.

In Rodynske, the situation continues to worsen for the Ukrainians left in the town: the significance of the positions and ruins they hold is under question, and the red zone might be expanded soon to most of Rodynske.
Russian forces also established their own drone positions in the town, which signals that Rodynske is, more or less, at its last breaths.

In Bilytske, the situation is better: Ukrainian presence is still overwhelming compared to Russia’s, but conducting routine clearings (its worked well until now) is becoming harder and harder because of Russian drones (their pilots have been moving closer lately) and KABs.

In general, the placed obstacles like ditches and barbed wire continue to prove extremely effective in countering Russian movements, and are praised by the fighters.
It’s also noted by them how the vegetation is currently giving them an advantage in infiltrations.

I think the Ukrainian presence in western Rodynske is probably very small now, maybe a couple dozen soldiers.

But I agree on Bilytske, there is no solid Russian control there, or on the fields outside the city.

Also, Playfra reported yesterday that Ukraine completed the withdrawal of their remaining drone operators from Kostyantynivka.

I think we can expect some significant Russian advances there in the near future, as consolidation becomes easier.

The Pro-Russian version of NAFO tries to lecture others on map methodology, while he bases all of his claims on Russian MOD reports.

Why does almost every single Russian channel contradict the Russian MOD? Surely they aren't ALL controlled by the SBU? 🤣🤣

The only reason why these people don't like OSINT is because it completely dismantles the narrative of which ever side they support.

And meanwhile on Pro-Ukraine twitter, they are hallucinating another Ukrainian counteroffensive.

This information space is completely fucked.

Yesterday afternoon, two more Ukrainian An-72 military cargo aircraft departed from an airbase in western Ukraine (same one as last time), and landed at a NATO airport, where they were loaded with military cargo.

One of these aircraft has since returned to the airbase in western Ukraine, while the other still remains at the NATO airport. During the flight, they were escorted by Mi-8 helicopters, as seen in the attached video.

❗️Russia likely plans to launch a large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine tonight, between 11pm and 6am.

6 Tu-95MS strategic bombers are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at OIenya and Engels-2 Airbases. The ones at Engels-2 will likely fly back to Olenya this afternoon ahead of the attack.

2 Tu-160M strategic bombers are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Ukrainka Airbase in the far east.

The Tu-160s would likely take off at around 9:30pm tonight (around 10 hours from now), while the Tu-95MS would likely take off at around 11:30pm (around 12 hours from now).

In addition to this, the following could be used:

- Iskander-M ballistic missiles (from Voronezh, Bryansk, Kursk, and Rostov Oblasts, as well as Crimea).
- Iskander-K cruise missiles (from Kursk and Rostov Oblasts).
- Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles (from Kursk Oblast).
- Kh-22/32 cruise missiles from Tu-22m3 strategic bombers (from launch lines over Bryansk Oblast)
- Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles from MiG-31K fighters at Savasleika Airbase.
- Kalibr cruise missiles from one frigate and one corvette at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai.

The highest threat is to Kyiv City, Kyiv Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Zhytomyr Oblast, Rivne Oblast, Khmelnytskyi Oblast, Lviv Oblast, and Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast.

In my opinion, the main target of this attack will be Ukraine's military-industrial complex, and possibly various airbase in Kyiv Oblast and western Ukraine. I personally doubt that major decision-making centres will be targeted, but we will see.