I think the Ukrainian presence in western Rodynske is probably very small now, maybe a couple dozen soldiers.

But I agree on Bilytske, there is no solid Russian control there, or on the fields outside the city.

Also, Playfra reported yesterday that Ukraine completed the withdrawal of their remaining drone operators from Kostyantynivka.

I think we can expect some significant Russian advances there in the near future, as consolidation becomes easier.

The Pro-Russian version of NAFO tries to lecture others on map methodology, while he bases all of his claims on Russian MOD reports.

Why does almost every single Russian channel contradict the Russian MOD? Surely they aren't ALL controlled by the SBU? 🤣🤣

The only reason why these people don't like OSINT is because it completely dismantles the narrative of which ever side they support.

And meanwhile on Pro-Ukraine twitter, they are hallucinating another Ukrainian counteroffensive.

This information space is completely fucked.

Yesterday afternoon, two more Ukrainian An-72 military cargo aircraft departed from an airbase in western Ukraine (same one as last time), and landed at a NATO airport, where they were loaded with military cargo.

One of these aircraft has since returned to the airbase in western Ukraine, while the other still remains at the NATO airport. During the flight, they were escorted by Mi-8 helicopters, as seen in the attached video.

❗️Russia likely plans to launch a large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine tonight, between 11pm and 6am.

6 Tu-95MS strategic bombers are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at OIenya and Engels-2 Airbases. The ones at Engels-2 will likely fly back to Olenya this afternoon ahead of the attack.

2 Tu-160M strategic bombers are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Ukrainka Airbase in the far east.

The Tu-160s would likely take off at around 9:30pm tonight (around 10 hours from now), while the Tu-95MS would likely take off at around 11:30pm (around 12 hours from now).

In addition to this, the following could be used:

- Iskander-M ballistic missiles (from Voronezh, Bryansk, Kursk, and Rostov Oblasts, as well as Crimea).
- Iskander-K cruise missiles (from Kursk and Rostov Oblasts).
- Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles (from Kursk Oblast).
- Kh-22/32 cruise missiles from Tu-22m3 strategic bombers (from launch lines over Bryansk Oblast)
- Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles from MiG-31K fighters at Savasleika Airbase.
- Kalibr cruise missiles from one frigate and one corvette at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai.

The highest threat is to Kyiv City, Kyiv Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Zhytomyr Oblast, Rivne Oblast, Khmelnytskyi Oblast, Lviv Oblast, and Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast.

In my opinion, the main target of this attack will be Ukraine's military-industrial complex, and possibly various airbase in Kyiv Oblast and western Ukraine. I personally doubt that major decision-making centres will be targeted, but we will see.

A short time ago, a Russian Kh-59/69 cruise missile launched by a Su-34/35 over Zaporizhzhia Oblast impacted Kanatove Airbase in Kirovohrad Oblast.

According to unconfirmed information, Ukraine has received additional PAC-3 interceptors and missiles for IRIS-T systems, ahead of the upcoming combined Russian missile and drone attack.

As I mentioned before, the attack will likely take place tonight, so we will see if this is true or not based on the interception rate and patterns.

The main part of the missile attack tonight may have been postponed.

Earlier, 8 Iskander-K cruise missiles and 2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles attacked Kyiv Oblast (more info on that later). There is no activity on Russian strategic bomber frequencies and very few drones detected in Ukrainian airspace.

Hezbollah released footage showing an FPV drone strike on an Israeli Humvee vehicle near the town of Manara, northern Israel.

Hezbollah attacked the city of Kiryat Shmona and areas west of Safed, northern Israel, with rockets.

Hezbollah released footage showing the launch of "Paveh" long-range cruise missiles towards IDF positions in southern Lebanon.

Hezbollah released footage showing an FPV drone strike on an Israeli Namer armoured personnel carrier in the town of Taybeh, southern Lebanon.

Hezbollah released footage showing FPV drone strikes on two Israeli Merkava tanks in the town of Rchaf, southern Lebanon. It is unclear if the second drone hit its target.

Notably, a number of incomplete anti-drone nets are visible in the town. Hezbollah drones were able to maneuver through them to strike their targets.