Update: the Su-34 dodged the Patriot missile and escaped back to Melitopol, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

The Su-34, covered by a Su-35, are now flying east over the Sea of Azov, back towards Rostov Oblast and then their home airbase.

Mass launches of Russian Geran-2/Gerbera drones continue from launch sites Smolensk Oblast, Oryol Oblast, Bryansk Oblast, Kursk Oblast, Rostov Oblast, Krasnodar Krai, and Crimea.

The departure of 2 Tu-160M strategic bombers that I reported on earlier has been confirmed.

They took off over 2 hours ago, and are still flying west to their launch lines.

Departures of up to 4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase is expected in the next 30 minutes.

Following Netanyahu's statement saying that he spoke to Trump, warning that Israel will strike Beirut if Hezbollah does not stop attacking Israel with rockets, Hezbollah launched a salvo of rockets towards Metula, northern Israel.

A series of explosions were heard, and the Iron Dome is operating.

This was a ballistic missile targeting IDF positions in southern Lebanon. A failed interception attempt was carried out. The IDF claims it impacted next to Israeli positions, resulting in no casualties.

Up to 16 Kalibr cruise missiles were launched from 2 Buyan-M corvettes at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai.

They will likely enter Ukrainian airspace in the next 40 minutes.

From now onwards, there is a high threat of Iskander-M ballistic missile launches, specifically from Bryansk, Voronezh, Rostov, and Kursk Oblasts.

Sorry, these launches were from the Caspian Sea, not the Black Sea. They will enter Ukrainian airspace in the next 60-80 minutes.

Currently, only around 50 Geran-2 and Gerbera drones are detected in Ukrainian airspace. Around 60% of these are Gerbera decoy drones.

22+ fly in a chain from Chernihiv Oblast, past Chornobyl, to Zhytomyr Oblast, along the border with Belarus.

7+ fly from Okhtyrka, Sumy Oblast, to Poltava.

12+ are scattered in southern Kharkiv Oblast, flying in various different directions.

5+ are flying northwest past the Kherson-Dnipropetrovsk border to Kryvyi Rih.

1-2 are flying west along the Kirovohrad-Mykolaiv border.

More launches are expected in the near future. Ukraine is not currently using aviation to shoot down these drones, as they plan to use them on the cruise missiles later.

Iran's parliament speaker issued a statement saying that Iran intends to attack Israel if their strikes on Lebanon do not halt.

Explosions in Shostka, Sumy Oblast. Russian Geran-2 drones are attacking the city.

Earlier, Russian Geran-2 drones also attacked Snovsk (Chernihiv Oblast) and Mykolaiv City

3+ Geran-3 jet drones are now entering Chernihiv Oblast after being launched from Tsumbulova, Oryol Oblast.

4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers are airborne from Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast. They took off around 30 minutes ago, and are flying south to their launch lines in Vologda/Saratov/Volgograd Oblast.

3 (not 2) Tu-160M strategic bombers continue their flight westwards from Ukrainka Airbase to their launch lines.

Ukrainian F-16s, MiG-29s, and Mirage-2000s are now airborne to help shoot down Russian Kalibr cruise missiles.

The Kalibrs are expected to enter Ukrainian airspace in the next 25 minutes.

The 6 strategic bombers are all flying to Vologda Oblast, where they are expected to launch Kh-101 cruise missiles in the next 60-90 minutes. They should all arrive at the launch lines at around the same time.

Activity related to Tu-22m3 strategic bombers is recorded at Olenya Airbase. They may take off in the coming hours to launch Kh-22/32 cruise missiles.

The airspace over parts of southwestern Ryazan and eastern Tambov Oblast has been temporarily closed to civilian aircraft.

Russian MiG-31K fighters may launch Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles later tonight.