— 🇺🇸/🇮🇱 NEW: U.S. servicemembers sent to defend Israel had their phones bugged and wiretapped – New York Times

@Middle_East_Spectator

May vehicle losses have been released.

28-159, giving a ratio of 1:5.6

Excluding armoured cars and MRAPs, 26-73, at a ratio of 1:2.8

SPG losses (6-27) continue to show the trend of attrition, and the overall prognosis, is extremely poor for Ukraine.

(Credit HeyHeyHayden)

These are all visually confirmed losses.

So, while you see sources like ISW and Deepstate showing supposed net Ukraine gains for May (even this is not the case), the rate of attrition continues to favour Russia, as evidenced here.

The Israel Broadcasting Authority, citing the IDF, reports that 4 reserve Israeli soldiers were injured by a recent Hezbollah FPV drone strike in southern Lebanon.

Well, the Ukrainian presence in Zirka (Prosyana/Komar direction) has been confirmed. @Suriyak_maps reported this a couple of days ago, and yesterday's Sentinel-2 imagery shows Russian KAB glide-bomb strikes west of the village, as well as near Hrushivske and Tolstoi.

Zirka is situated east of the Mokri Yaly River, meaning some Ukrainian soldiers have managed to penetrate 9 km behind Russian lines from Andriivka-Klevtsove and cross the river. The village is currently contested, alongside Zelenyi Hai, Novokhatske, Tolstoi, and Piddubne. A large grey-zone has formed, where both sides are present in overlapping positions. It is not clear which side has the upper hand in terms of manpower quantities in this grey-zone.

We might see a further Russian withdrawal from Ivanivka in the near future due to the risk of encirclement, and the elimination of the threat of a Russian flanking attack around Novopavlivka. At the same time, Ukrainian infiltrations towards Myrne put Russian forces currently attacking the Oleksandrohrad area at risk of being cut off too.

This area has long been a vulnerable area for Russia, as Ukraine controls the majority of the surrounding dominant heights. It is situated in lower-lying grounds and is surrounded on 3 sides by rivers, making it difficult to resupply, especially in today's drone-dominated war.

I expect that once Russia stabilises the Ternove-Berezove-Sichneve-Novoselivka sector, they will begin assault operations northwards from the tactical heights at Voskresenka to help stabilise this line too. They recently redeployed elements of the 120th Naval Infantry Division (recently upgraded from the 336th Naval Infantry Brigade) from the Dobropillya direction to approximately the Voskresenka area, so they may take part in any future counterattacks here.

Last night, Russia once again attacked targets in Rivne Oblast with multiple Geran-2 drones. The target was something near the city of Sarny.

Hezbollah rocket launches from Lebanon to northeastern Israel.

Sirens in northeastern Israel

Several rockets were intercepted over northeastern Israel.

Ukrainian Su-24s are airborne in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. There is a threat of Storm Shadow cruise missiles for Crimea, Rostov Oblast, Krasnodar Krai, Donetsk Oblast, and Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

2 Russian Tu-95MS carried out launch maneuvers from Samara Oblast, as they were redeploying from Ukrainka Airbase in the far east to Engels-2 Airbase.

These launches were likely simulated with electronic warfare, but we will know for certain in the next 100 minutes.