Tu-22m3 strategic bombers are airborne over the Black Sea.
They may launch Kh-22/32 cruise missiles towards Odesa Oblast.
They may launch Kh-22/32 cruise missiles towards Odesa Oblast.
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A Russian reconnaissance drone is operating off the coast of Chornomorsk, Odesa Oblast. There is a high threat to this city.
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If the older Kh-22 cruise missile is launched, it may miss its target due to its lower accuracy. Therefore, there is a much higher threat to residential areas.
Odesa Oblast residents reading this: It's better to take extra precaution today. Respond to all alerts.
Odesa Oblast residents reading this: It's better to take extra precaution today. Respond to all alerts.
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A Su-35 is escorting the Tu-22m3s over the Black Sea towards their launch lines.
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The Tu-22m3s carried out launch maneuvers and are now returning east.
We will know if these launches were simulated or not soon.
We will know if these launches were simulated or not soon.
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No missiles are detected. The Tu-22m3 may be carrying out a training mission over Crimea.
Forwarded from Hudson War Mapping - Reporting on the Ukraine War
Vehicle losses have been released for the month of July. Credit to HeyHeyHayden for compiling and geolocation credit to Lostarmour for geolocations.
Russia lost 36 vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 184, a ratio of 1:5.1
Excluding Armoured cars and MRAPs, Russia lost 33 vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 89, a ratio of 1:2.7.
In terms of Self propelled artillery, which is a good indicator of attritional capacity, Russia lost 6 pieces whilst Ukraine lost 38. A ratio of 1:6.3.
Russia lost 36 vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 184, a ratio of 1:5.1
Excluding Armoured cars and MRAPs, Russia lost 33 vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 89, a ratio of 1:2.7.
In terms of Self propelled artillery, which is a good indicator of attritional capacity, Russia lost 6 pieces whilst Ukraine lost 38. A ratio of 1:6.3.
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Hudson War Mapping - Reporting on the Ukraine War
Vehicle losses have been released for the month of July. Credit to HeyHeyHayden for compiling and geolocation credit to Lostarmour for geolocations. Russia lost 36 vehicles whilst Ukraine lost 184, a ratio of 1:5.1 Excluding Armoured cars and MRAPs, Russiaโฆ
Keep in mind, this only includes armoured vehicles (not cars), and only counts visually confirmed losses.
Last night, Russia carried out a large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Odesa Oblast:
The following was launched:
~4 Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations northeast of Simferopol, Crimea.
~3 Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations in western Crimea.
~4 Kh-31A supersonic cruise missiles launched from 2 Su-30 fighters near Sevastopol.
~2 P-800 Oniks supersonic cruise missiles launched from K-300P Bastion-P launcher(s) near Belbek Airbase, Crimea.
~4 Banderol jet-drones launched from Crimea.
~4 Geran-3/4 jet-drones launched from Crimea.
~50+ geran-2 drones launched from Crimea.
-----------------------
Total missiles launched:
~7 Iskander-M ballistic missiles
~4 Kh-31A supersonic cruise missiles
~2 P-800 Oniks supersonic cruise missiles.
-----------------------
Ukrainian air defence work:
None of the missiles were shot down. Some/most of the Banderol jet-drones and a portion of the Geran-2 drones were shot down.
-----------------------
Exact targets for this attack are still being clarified, but its known that the following locations were hit:
- The town of Mayaky (possibly the Mayaky Bridge) by ~3 Iskander-Ms.
- The vicinity of Velykodolynske by ~2 Kh-31As.
- Two different locations in Odesa by ~1 Iskander-M each.
- The town of Kryzhanivka by ~2 Iskander-Ms and ~2 Kh-31As.
- The vicinity of Nova Dofinivka by ~2 P-800 Oniks.
-----------------------
Keep in mind, the numbers of missiles launched may be slightly higher than what I've listed, as the number of missiles detected is sometimes lower than actual launches. These numbers may be adjusted in the coming hours as more information comes available.
This was one of the largest single attacks on Odesa Oblast since the beginning of the war.
The following was launched:
~4 Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations northeast of Simferopol, Crimea.
~3 Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations in western Crimea.
~4 Kh-31A supersonic cruise missiles launched from 2 Su-30 fighters near Sevastopol.
~2 P-800 Oniks supersonic cruise missiles launched from K-300P Bastion-P launcher(s) near Belbek Airbase, Crimea.
~4 Banderol jet-drones launched from Crimea.
~4 Geran-3/4 jet-drones launched from Crimea.
~50+ geran-2 drones launched from Crimea.
-----------------------
Total missiles launched:
~7 Iskander-M ballistic missiles
~4 Kh-31A supersonic cruise missiles
~2 P-800 Oniks supersonic cruise missiles.
-----------------------
Ukrainian air defence work:
None of the missiles were shot down. Some/most of the Banderol jet-drones and a portion of the Geran-2 drones were shot down.
-----------------------
Exact targets for this attack are still being clarified, but its known that the following locations were hit:
- The town of Mayaky (possibly the Mayaky Bridge) by ~3 Iskander-Ms.
- The vicinity of Velykodolynske by ~2 Kh-31As.
- Two different locations in Odesa by ~1 Iskander-M each.
- The town of Kryzhanivka by ~2 Iskander-Ms and ~2 Kh-31As.
- The vicinity of Nova Dofinivka by ~2 P-800 Oniks.
-----------------------
Keep in mind, the numbers of missiles launched may be slightly higher than what I've listed, as the number of missiles detected is sometimes lower than actual launches. These numbers may be adjusted in the coming hours as more information comes available.
This was one of the largest single attacks on Odesa Oblast since the beginning of the war.
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AMK Mapping
There is a threat of a repeated Russian ballistic missile attack on Kyiv for the next several days. During last night's attack, only 8 out of ~30 accumulated Iskander-M ballistic missiles were used. Additionally, they did not use any Zircon hypersonic cruiseโฆ
The threat of a repeated Russian large-scale ballistic missile attack on Kyiv is especially relevant for tonight, between 12am and 3am local time.
There is a high threat for Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast. Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles will both likely be used.
This is not to say that the attack will 100% occur tonight, but a lot of signs point towards that. I will update if more information becomes available.
There is a high threat for Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast. Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles will both likely be used.
This is not to say that the attack will 100% occur tonight, but a lot of signs point towards that. I will update if more information becomes available.
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Power flashes and large fires are seen in Odesa tonight as a result of Russia's large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on the city.
Among the targets were port infrastructure and electrical substations.
Among the targets were port infrastructure and electrical substations.
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At least 15 Russian Geran-2 drones impacted the Odesa Port overnight, as a part of one of the largest attacks on the region since the beginning of the war.
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Ukraine attempted another attack on Russia using FP-5 "Flamingo" cruise missiles overnight.
At least three missiles were launched, but they were once again shot down, this time over Tambov and Voronezh Oblasts. They flew on the same predictable route as yesterday's missiles.
This means that 10 out of the last 11 Flamingo attacks since July 1 have resulted in all missiles being shot down, with only one attack resulting in a single impact in Kirov.
At least three missiles were launched, but they were once again shot down, this time over Tambov and Voronezh Oblasts. They flew on the same predictable route as yesterday's missiles.
This means that 10 out of the last 11 Flamingo attacks since July 1 have resulted in all missiles being shot down, with only one attack resulting in a single impact in Kirov.
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AMK Mapping
Deepstate continues to prolong the battle of Chasiv Yar in the information space, despite the OFFICIAL Ukrainian General Staff map showing the city as under full Russian control for multiple weeks.
Here's some other information you might find useful, that comes exclusively from Ukrainian soldiers and other military sources who have permitted me to post this, involving areas where Deepstate is purposefully withholding the true situation
Vovchansk direction: Russian forces have full control over Vovchansk, have cleared out the last pockets of Ukrainian resistance in Vilcha, and have almost captured the village of Lyman. There are no Ukrainian positions in Vovchansk itself anymore.
Kupyansk direction: Eastern Kupyansk is under full Russian control. Most of Kucherivka is under Russian control. Most of central Kupyansk is under Russian control. Most of northern Kupyansk is under Russian control. Heavy fighting is underway for the northwestern suburbs, where Ukrainian forces are counterattacking. (Note: Some of this information is from a little over a month ago, so it may not accurately reflect the current situation anymore).
Slovyansk direction: No specific information on control here, but I can confirm Russian infiltrations and the expansion of the grey-zone, beyond what most Russian sources even show. Russian forces are operating in the fields north and northeast of Zapovidne, advancing towards the forests further west.
Hulyaipole/Omelnyk direction: Russian forces are operating in southern Vodzyvzhivka and in the fields west of the village, expanding their zone of infiltration. Other information from open sources suggests Russia does not have any control in the village itself, but I cannot personally confirm nor deny this.
All information published here comes directly from reliable sources on the ground from the Ukrainian side. Their authenticity is confirmed. The true scale of Russian control and infiltrations is larger than what is shown here, as this report does not include non-exclusive, open-source information. You can view the full frontline on my interactive map at amkmapping.com, which includes open-source information. I have overlayed these zones onto the Deepstate map to outline how they try to manipulate the frontline situation to serve a narrative and cater to an audience.
Vovchansk direction: Russian forces have full control over Vovchansk, have cleared out the last pockets of Ukrainian resistance in Vilcha, and have almost captured the village of Lyman. There are no Ukrainian positions in Vovchansk itself anymore.
Kupyansk direction: Eastern Kupyansk is under full Russian control. Most of Kucherivka is under Russian control. Most of central Kupyansk is under Russian control. Most of northern Kupyansk is under Russian control. Heavy fighting is underway for the northwestern suburbs, where Ukrainian forces are counterattacking. (Note: Some of this information is from a little over a month ago, so it may not accurately reflect the current situation anymore).
Slovyansk direction: No specific information on control here, but I can confirm Russian infiltrations and the expansion of the grey-zone, beyond what most Russian sources even show. Russian forces are operating in the fields north and northeast of Zapovidne, advancing towards the forests further west.
Hulyaipole/Omelnyk direction: Russian forces are operating in southern Vodzyvzhivka and in the fields west of the village, expanding their zone of infiltration. Other information from open sources suggests Russia does not have any control in the village itself, but I cannot personally confirm nor deny this.
All information published here comes directly from reliable sources on the ground from the Ukrainian side. Their authenticity is confirmed. The true scale of Russian control and infiltrations is larger than what is shown here, as this report does not include non-exclusive, open-source information. You can view the full frontline on my interactive map at amkmapping.com, which includes open-source information. I have overlayed these zones onto the Deepstate map to outline how they try to manipulate the frontline situation to serve a narrative and cater to an audience.
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Ansarallah announced carrying out a drone attack on the Aramco Oil Refinery in Jazan, Saudi Arabia, in response to Saudi drones breaching Yemeni airspace in the Sadah and Hajjah Governorates.
Earlier, the Saudi Ministry of Energy confirmed that a fire broke out at the oil refinery, resulting in no injuries. At the time, they did not specify that the fire was caused by a Houthi attack.
Earlier, the Saudi Ministry of Energy confirmed that a fire broke out at the oil refinery, resulting in no injuries. At the time, they did not specify that the fire was caused by a Houthi attack.
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator โ MES
I think I said this before, but I will say it again because itโs so noteworthy.
The fact that Yemen is now casually hitting Aramco refineries in retaliation for Saudi drones entering their airspace, is an insane equation.
The fact that Yemen is now casually hitting Aramco refineries in retaliation for Saudi drones entering their airspace, is an insane equation.
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