The likelihood of a new Russian operation in Chernihiv Oblast has increased significantly following the Russian army’s deployment of significant resources near the border over the last two months. The situation for the Ukrainian army is becoming markedly more serious. From what I have been able to gather, Ukrainian forces barely have the capacity to maintain their advance in the Donbas, having deployed their troops to Zaporizhia, Dnipropetrovsk and Kharkiv to secure political victories, but without altering the overall trend.
The opening of a new front in Chernihiv would leave Ukrainian forces facing the difficult decision of either abandoning one front or continuing to hold the entire line with fewer troops, thereby accelerating a simultaneous retreat without halting the gradual Russian advance.
The CIA meeting in Moscow may be linked to an offer from Washington to halt the war along the current front lines, in the knowledge that, following the strain caused by the regional conflict with Iran, they will be unable to maintain the current level of support for Kyiv next year. This offer is likely to be rejected by the Kremlin as it fails to meet the objectives of the so-called ‘Special Military Operation’.
If the Chernihiv front opens up, the battle for the Donbas will draw to a close more quickly than expected, and with it, possibly the end of this conflict (at this stage). 🇷🇺🇺🇦

Reminder: https://t.me/AMK_Mapping/36399

3 Iskander-Ms on Poltava

Further to Kremenchuk Refinery

One is flying to Kamianske, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast

Iskander-M on Zaporizhzhia

Approaching Kryvyi Rih

These are Kn-23 ballistic missiles from Voronezh Oblast

Explosions in Kremenchuk and Kryvyi Rih

Explosions in Zaporizhzhia City

Threat of repeated Kn-23 ballistic missile launches from Voronezh Oblast.

Strikes were carried out on Kremenchuk, Kryvyi Rih, and Zaporizhzhia. All from Kn-23 ballistic missiles. At least 7 launches occurred from Voronezh Oblast.

There is also a possible threat to Kyiv for the near future.

Correction:

4 Kn-23 ballistic missile strikes on Kryvyi Rih
2 Kn-23 ballistic missile strikes on Zaporizhzhia
2-3 Kn-23 ballistic missile strikes on Kremenchuk

This is at least part of the upcoming attack I warned about. Specifically with Kremenchuk. There was no information about pottential strikes on Zaporizhzhia or Kryvyi Rih at the time.

Odesa is under another large attack. At least 4 S8000 Banderol cruise missiles attacked the city a short time ago.

Now, tactical aviation is detected over Crimea, consisting of at least 2 Su-34s which may launch cruise missiles to Odesa.

Launch maneuvers were carried out from over the western Black Sea.

A large fire is burning in Zaporizhzhia City following at least two Russian Kn-23 ballistic missile strikes.