To Brovary/eastern Kyiv

4 missiles

6

Approaching eastern Kyiv

Southeastern Kyiv

City centre

Others are flying to western suburbs

Impacting now

Explosions in Kyiv

All clear now

At least 26 missiles have been launched by Russia so far, including:

14 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles
10 Kn-23 ballistic missiles
2 Oniks supersonic cruise missiles.

Targets were hit in Kyiv, Odesa Oblast, Kremenchuk, Poltava Oblast, Kryvyi Rih, and Zaporizhzhia City. ~12 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles targeted Kyiv in total.

Most/all of the missiles impacted.

Correction for Kyiv:

No Iskander-M ballistic missiles were launched to the city. Only modified S-400 ballistic missiles were used.

Most of them were shot down by Patriot interceptors, but I’m still clarifying the exact interception rate. Modified S-400 missiles are much easier to shoot down than Iskander-Ms.

A few hours before this attack, I reported that Russia may carry out a smaller attack on Kyiv aimed at wasting newly-delivered Ukrainian Patriot PAC-3 interceptor missiles, before launching a large-scale attack in the days after.

It appears that this has indeed happened. Russia launched 9 modified S-400 ballistic missiles from Bryansk Oblast to Kyiv. Ukraine launched a total of 9 PAC-3 interceptor missiles - one for each Russian missile, and managed to shoot down 8 of them. One of the S-400s impacted its target.

The reason for the high interception rate is because modified S-400 missiles are much easier to shoot down than Iskander-M ballistic missiles. They also have low accuracy, and sometimes miss their targets.

Therefore, Russia was able to get Ukraine to launch 9 interceptors from their new small package of Patriots that was delivered this week, without having to use a single Iskander-M ballistic missile. Because of this, there is a high threat of a larger-scale Iskander-M and Zircon attack on Kyiv in the coming days, especially this weekend. Ukraine does not currently have sufficient Patriot interceptor stockpiles to counter such an attack, especially after tonight.

A Russian Geran-4 jet-drone is flying over Kyiv. Possibly carrying out reconnaissance on the aftermath of today's attack.

Footage showing the impact of two Russian Iskander-M ballistic missiles equipped with cluster warheads at the Kremenchuk Oil Refinery, Poltava Oblast.

Video credit: @falconintel

The target hit by a single modified S-400 ballistic missile in Kyiv last night was the "AB TECHNOLOGIES" industrial equipment factory.

This location was previously targeted by Iskander-M ballistic missiles and modified S-400s on June 28 and July 11. The Russian Ministry of Defence has previously claimed that the facility is involved in the production of mid-to-long-range drones.

Coordinates: 50.432642, 30.625185

Last night, Russia launched another large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine.

Missiles launches:

~8 RM-48U modified S-400 ballistic missiles from near Klintsy, Bryansk Oblast.

~4 Kn-23 ballistic missiles launched from near Liski, Voronezh Oblast.

~2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installation(s) near Liski, Voronezh Oblast.

~2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installation(s) near Fatezh, Kursk Oblast.

~2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installation(s) near Taganrog, Rostov Oblast.

~2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installation(s) near Tim, Kursk Oblast.

~2 P-800 Oniks supersonic cruise missiles launched from north of Sevastopol, Crimea.

-----------------------

Total missiles launched:

~8 RM-48U modified S-400 ballistic missiles
~8 Iskander-M ballistic missiles
~4 Kn-23 ballistic missiles
~2 P-800 Oniks supersonic cruise missiles

~22 missiles in total.

-----------------------

Ukrainian air defence work:

As of the time of writing, it appears Ukrainian air defence was able to shoot down a *minimum* of 7 RM-48U modified S-400s.

-----------------------

The following locations were hit:

Kremenchuk Oil Refinery, Poltava Oblast (49.17168, 33.46524) by Iskander-Ms with cluster warheads.

A (likely) gas-related target near Reshetylivka, Poltava Oblast by Iskander-Ms.

"Lelyaki" 110 kV electrical substation near Pryluky, Chernihiv Oblast (50.58408, 32.65280) by Iskander-Ms.

"AB TECHNOLOGIES" industrial equipment factory in Kyiv by RM-48U modified S-400s.

Yuzhnyi Port in Odesa Oblast by Oniks supersonic cruise missiles (46.61759, 31.00643).

Unknown target in Kryvyi Rih by Kn-23s.

Unknown target(s) in Zaporizhzhia City by Kn-23s and Iskander-Ms.

-----------------------

Keep in mind, the numbers of missiles launched may be slightly higher than what I've listed, as the number of missiles detected is sometimes lower than actual launches. These numbers may be adjusted in the coming hours as more information comes available.