I didn't expect to be agreeing with Stubb on something today

Ok, nevermind...

According to available information, Russia may attempt to attack the western regions of Ukraine with Geran-4 jet-drones in the coming days, with the highest risk being to Lviv, Chernivtsi, Rivne, and Ivano-Frankivsk Oblasts.

The potential targets include logistics warehouses, "Epicentr" shopping centres, and electrical substations.

Russian Geran-4 jet-drones have repeatedly demonstrated their long-range capabilities in recent days, with a new record being set for an ~980 km long flight to Rivne Oblast two days ago.

A Russian Su-34 is detected over central Crimea, flying west to the Black Sea.

It is likely carrying out a patrol over Crimea.

The Su-34 is likely coming in for landing at Saki Airbase.

Current speed: 700 km/h

Edit: nevermind, it's flying further to the Black Sea

Currently detected north of Sevastopol, entering the waters of the western Black Sea.

It is likely carrying out a patrol there.

Altitude: 6,000 metres

I wonder where he's going? 🤔

Maneuvering in this area.

Should I post more of these sorts of maps?
👍 yes
👎 no

Based on multiple new geolocations of Ukrainian positions being hit that have surfaced (which are confirmed to be new videos), I have adjusted the grey-zone in western Kostyantynivka in favour of Ukraine.

Ukrainian forces still retain some positions of significant in the area of Lomonosova Street and adjacent residential blocks, where they remain overlapped with Russian positions.

Russian forces remain present in positions of significance throughout all parts of the city, while Ukraine only remains in positions of significance in around a quarter. Ukraine does not "control" any part of Kostyantynivka as the remaining areas are in a large grey-zone, however the city shouldn't be marked as fully Russian controlled either.

Hundreds of Ukrainian drones are currently flying towards Leningrad Oblast and St Petersburg in a large-scale attack.

The first drones are entering the region now. Russian air defence is working extensively both in Leningrad Oblast and in the regions which the drones are transiting through.

🚨GEOLOCATION CLARIFICATION 🚨

Recently in the information space there have been attempts to change the current understanding of the on-going battle of Kostyantynivka. Most notably being the geolocator Audax posting his "D-Day of geolocations" to disprove Russian claims of capturing the entire city. While his claim is true that the Russians still do not control the entirety of the city, his subsequent geolocations also do not prove that the situation is perfect or beautiful for Ukraine either. Therefore I have decided to undergo one of these mega-geolocation projects where I will attempt to find the approximate date each video was filmed using Copernicus data. The results are unsurprising in the fact that over 75% of the geolocations are archive footage and have little meaning to the current situation at the moment. The only accurate geolocations I've found reside on the northwestern portion of Kostyantynivka while all of the others are archives dating between 2-5 months in the past.

At least 2 new Geran-4 jet-drones and 3 new Geran-2 drones are flying to Kyiv from two directions.

The first ones are about 100 km away.

The 2 Geran-4 jet-drones were intercepted by Ukrainian air defence near Drabiv, Cherkasy Oblast.

The Israeli Air Force carried out a targeted assassination strike on what the IDF claims was a commander of an elite Hamas "Nukhba" unit and another Hamas operative in the area of Jabalia, Northern Gaza.

The IDF claims that these two militants took part in the October 7 attacks on Israel, and have been working to restore Hamas' military capabilities.

In the last 3 hours, Russia has attacked Kyiv with additional Geran-4 jet-drones.

One strike was carried out on an unknown target in the Holosiivskyi district of southern Kyiv, resulting in a large fire breaking out. Another drone impacted something near the city of Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast. Another 6 drones are flying towards Kyiv now.