I agree with this assessment. Unfortunately, a lot of these "analysts" (advocates) probably do see this, but are just trying to paint the narrative that Ukraine's strike campaign didn't backfire, considering how widely publicised and promoted it was.
I think another issue contributing to this unfounded belief is that these massive Russian retaliatory attacks are hardly even reported on by independent analysts, let alone western media. They have been reported on several times less than the Ukrainian strike campaign, even though they are much larger and more destructive.
I think another issue contributing to this unfounded belief is that these massive Russian retaliatory attacks are hardly even reported on by independent analysts, let alone western media. They have been reported on several times less than the Ukrainian strike campaign, even though they are much larger and more destructive.
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Iran attacked 7 different American military bases in 4 different countries with dozens of ballistic missiles and drones yesterday, and it appears that the U.S. is not going to respond.
Iranian deterrence has been re-established, as America faces continued critical interceptor missile stockpiles. Meanwhile, Iran retains the majority of its ballistic missile launchers, thousands of ballistic missiles in their underground cities, and is actively expanding its ballistic missile production sites once again.
Despite claiming to have carried out a large wave of strikes on Iranian military targets yesterday, the CENTCOM footage only showed a couple of valuable targets being hit in southern Iran, and nothing else. Iran still maintains their ability to strike any ship in the Strait of Hormuz, and can also strike any American military base due to the lack of interceptor missile stockpiles.
The American humiliation ritual continues...
Iranian deterrence has been re-established, as America faces continued critical interceptor missile stockpiles. Meanwhile, Iran retains the majority of its ballistic missile launchers, thousands of ballistic missiles in their underground cities, and is actively expanding its ballistic missile production sites once again.
Despite claiming to have carried out a large wave of strikes on Iranian military targets yesterday, the CENTCOM footage only showed a couple of valuable targets being hit in southern Iran, and nothing else. Iran still maintains their ability to strike any ship in the Strait of Hormuz, and can also strike any American military base due to the lack of interceptor missile stockpiles.
The American humiliation ritual continues...
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Russian Geran-4 jet-drones struck three logistics warehouses and one distribution centre in Odesa Oblast.
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At least 12 craters from Russian KAB glide-bomb strikes are visible on today's release of Sentinel-2 satellite imagery (between August 30 and September 2), confirming continued Ukrainian control over the eastern part of Lyman, despite various claims by Russian sources of Russian control.
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I'll be posting the frontline changes for August a little later.
Post your predictions for the net gain (or loss) for Russia in the comments.
Post your predictions for the net gain (or loss) for Russia in the comments.
Changes on the frontline in Ukraine for August 2026:
Yellow = Russian advances
Light blue = Ukrainian advances
Russian advances:
Donetsk Oblast: ~198.3 km²
Kharkiv Oblast: ~106.9 km²
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: ~98.1 km²
Sumy Oblast: ~17.0 km²
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: ~12.7 km²
Total: ~433 km² (up by 11.83% compared to July)
Ukrainian advances:
Donetsk Oblast: ~203.1 km²
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: ~42.5 km²
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: ~27.5 km²
Kharkiv Oblast: ~11.3 km²
Luhansk Oblast: ~9.3 km²
Sumy Oblast: ~1.7 km²
Total: ~295.4 km² (up by 151.83% compared to July)
Note: The main figures (not including the section below) covers net gains for each side. Ukrainian advances that took place on territory Russia occupied within this month will simply be subtracted from the Russian total, and vice versa.
Net changes overall (Russian advances minus Ukrainian advances):
+137.6 km² in favour of Russia (down by 49.02% compared to July).
Yellow = Russian advances
Light blue = Ukrainian advances
Russian advances:
Donetsk Oblast: ~198.3 km²
Kharkiv Oblast: ~106.9 km²
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: ~98.1 km²
Sumy Oblast: ~17.0 km²
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: ~12.7 km²
Total: ~433 km² (up by 11.83% compared to July)
Ukrainian advances:
Donetsk Oblast: ~203.1 km²
Dnipropetrovsk Oblast: ~42.5 km²
Zaporizhzhia Oblast: ~27.5 km²
Kharkiv Oblast: ~11.3 km²
Luhansk Oblast: ~9.3 km²
Sumy Oblast: ~1.7 km²
Total: ~295.4 km² (up by 151.83% compared to July)
Note: The main figures (not including the section below) covers net gains for each side. Ukrainian advances that took place on territory Russia occupied within this month will simply be subtracted from the Russian total, and vice versa.
Net changes overall (Russian advances minus Ukrainian advances):
+137.6 km² in favour of Russia (down by 49.02% compared to July).
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Large fires are burning at warehouses belonging to a pharmaceutical company near the city of Boryspil, Kyiv Oblast, following a Russian Geran-4 jet-drone strike.
The Russian Ministry of Defence claims it was used to store and transport military supplies.
The Russian Ministry of Defence claims it was used to store and transport military supplies.
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Aftermath of overnight Russian Geran-4 jet-drone strikes on two enterprises in Khmelnytskyi Oblast, western Ukraine.
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Sochi Port, Krasnodar Krai, is under attack from Ukrainian drones.
Columns of smoke can be seen rising following drone impacts.
Columns of smoke can be seen rising following drone impacts.
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AMK Mapping
Another large-scale, combined Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine is expected towards the end of the week, this time involving strategic bombers. 5 Russian Tu-95MS strategic bombers are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Ukrainka Airbase in…
Additional information about the upcoming combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine involving strategic bombers:
3 Tu-160M strategic bombers from Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East will be used in this attack, rather than 2. A 3rd one is redeploying to Engels-2 Airbase to be equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles right now.
As of now, it is known of 5 Tu-95MS strategic bombers equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Ukrainka Airbase. It's possible that a 6th will be equipped in the next 48 hours. These aircraft will then fly back to Olenya Airbase in Murmansk Oblast, which will be their staging ground for the combat mission.
It still seems like Saturday or Sunday nights between 12am and 6am are the most likely period when this attack will take place.
3 Tu-160M strategic bombers from Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East will be used in this attack, rather than 2. A 3rd one is redeploying to Engels-2 Airbase to be equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles right now.
As of now, it is known of 5 Tu-95MS strategic bombers equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Ukrainka Airbase. It's possible that a 6th will be equipped in the next 48 hours. These aircraft will then fly back to Olenya Airbase in Murmansk Oblast, which will be their staging ground for the combat mission.
It still seems like Saturday or Sunday nights between 12am and 6am are the most likely period when this attack will take place.
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Ukraine frontline update video coming soon on my Youtube channel.
Subscribe if you haven't already: https://www.youtube.com/@AMK_Mapping?sub_confirmation=1
Subscribe if you haven't already: https://www.youtube.com/@AMK_Mapping?sub_confirmation=1
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