On the four-year anniversary of the Ukrainian 2022 Kharkiv counteroffensive that saw them recapture Lyman, Russia has once again retreated from Lyman.

And some say history never repeats itself lol

The Russian Ministry of Defence issued a statement regarding their overnight Geran-2/4 drone attacks on port infrastructure in Odesa Oblast.

They claimed to have hit the "Mavka" dry cargo vessel in Chornomorsk Port; a production and loading complex at Izmail Port used for unloading military cargo supplied from western countries; and a patrol boat of the Ukrainian Navy used to escort cargo ships.

Russian Geran-4 jet-drone strike on a Ukrainian FP-2 mid-range drone launch position near Oleksiivka, Kharkiv Oblast.

A Russian Su-35 is trying to shoot down a Ukrainian aircraft west of Slovyansk using an R-37/77 air-to-air missile. The Ukrainian aircraft was launching glide-bombs at the Chasiv Yar area.

The air-to-air missile was detected flying west over Bakhmut at 3,900 km/h.

The interception attempt was likely unsuccessful.

The Russian R-37/77 air-to-air missile (which was launched by a Su-35 near Debaltseve, Luhansk Oblast) disappeared from radars between Bakhmut and Chasiv Yar, presumably after self-destructing.

The Ukrainian aircraft was launching glide-bombs from the green circle on the map, west of Slovyansk.

6 Russian Tu-95MS strategic bombers are in the air right now, redeploying from Ukrainka Airbase to Olenya Airbase - their staging ground for the upcoming large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine. They will land in the next couple of hours. 3-4 Tu-160M strategic bombers are also equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East.

With the 3-day cessation of strikes on Kyiv set to end in a little over 12 hours, Russia may launch their large-scale attack as soon as tonight, just after midnight local time. If not, they will probably launch their attack tomorrow night.

The highest threat is to Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast between 12am and 6am, although other regions will likely also be targeted. It is also not ruled out that Russia attacks western Ukraine with Kh-101 cruise missiles as well.

The following missiles may be used in this attack:

- 40-50 Kh-101 cruise missiles;
- 10-30 Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles;
- (possibly) 8-16 Kalibr cruise missiles;
- (possibly) several Kh-59/69 cruise missiles;
- S8000 Banderol cruise missiles;
- Geran-2 drones and Geran-4 jet-drones.

Now when you search "Lyman" on Twitter, all you see is my map.

It shows how fucked the Ukraine war information space is. None of my maps showing Russian advances in Dobropillya or elsewhere got even one-tenth of the traction.

But when its positive news for Ukraine, people all of a sudden blindly trust what I say. If it's positive news for Russia, I'm automatically a Kremlin propagandist.

Update: Russia likely plans to launch at least 45 Kh-101 cruise missiles in this upcoming attack, potentially as many as 60. If so, it would make it their largest attack using strategic aviation in years.

Two of the Tu-160M strategic bombers, for the first time ever, may each be carrying 12 missiles - their maximum capacity.

Additionally, there is an added threat to the central regions of Ukraine (Cherkasy, Poltava, Dnipropetrovsk & Kirovohrad Oblasts), along with Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast.

I will update you all in the morning my time after I get some sleep.