Based on available information, this attack will be larger than usual. We could see up to 60 Kh-101 cruise missiles used if all 8 Tu-95MS + 4 Tu-160M strategic bombers launch.

According to western intelligence provided to Ukraine, up to 34 ballistic missiles (Kn-23 + Iskander-M) and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles could be used. This number does not include RM-48U modified S-400s.

Geran-4 jet-drones will continue to harass Ukrainian airspace for the next few hours to try drain Ukrainian air defence ahead of the cruise missiles, although no attacks on Kyiv will occur for at least another two hours, as the “Kyiv air ceasefire” has not yet ended.

The “Kyiv air ceasefire” is set to end in around 50 minutes.

Two Russian Su-35S fighter jets collided mid-air while on a combat mission in Kursk Oblast today.

One of the pilots was killed, while the other was injured.

During the last 6 months, Russia 🇷🇺 dropped more than 10 000 FAB bombs in the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 controled Donbas

Russian offensive continues in the region on 3 main axes, east of Kramatorsk, south of Drujkivka and north-west of Pokrovsk.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️

The 72-hour “Kyiv air ceasefire” is set to end in around 25 minutes.

For those curious, the communications between Olenya Airbase and strategic command and control in Moscow are occurring on 4330 CW kHz. This is the most common combat frequency to be used for this time of year.

Alright, I'm ready for the strike coverage now 😁

The 72-hour “Kyiv air ceasefire” has officially ended.

In the last few hours, Russian Geran-2 drones and Geran-4 jet-drones targeted the following locations:

Kryvyi Rih, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
Hlevakha, Kyiv Oblast
Boryspil, Kyiv Oblast
Zhmerynka, Vinnytsia Oblast

Iskander-M/Zircon threat from Kursk

A missile is detected in Sumy Oblast near Yunakivka. Might be Russian air defence.

Explosions are heard in Kursk City.

Russian S-300 air defence is trying to shoot down Ukrainian drones both over Kursk and over Sumy Oblast as they enter Russian airspace.

The first several Russian Geran-4 jet-drones are approaching Kyiv

Kyiv Iskander threat from Bryansk

4 Iskander-Ms may have been launched

This is also likely Russian S-300 air defence launches against Ukrainian drones, which are flying to Moscow right now.

Up to 8 Tu-95MS have departed Olenya Airbase, flying south to their launch lines in western Vologda Oblast.

2-3 Tu-160Ms are continuing to fly west to Vologda Oblast as well.

There is a high threat of Iskander-M ballistic missile and Zircon hypersonic cruise missile launches to Kyiv for the next 90 minutes, starting now.

Current movements of Russian Tu-95MS and Tu-160M strategic bombers.

Up to 8 Tu-95MS are airborne, along with 4 Tu-160Ms. They will reach their launch lines in western Vologda Oblast in around an hour.