The Zapad fuckup in Lyman continues, and is now extending further south, as the Ukrainian counteroffensive enters its 5th month.

Ukrainian forces have the initiative are now advancing along a 70 km-long front, reversing over a year of Russian progress. Counterattacks have now spread to the Slovyansk direction too, where progress is being made.

Ukrainian forces have now recaptured around 532 km² of previously Russian-controlled territory and grey-zones in the Lyman direction, as a result of their last 4 months of counteroffensive operations and some smaller clearing operations in early 2026.

Of this, around 479 km² were in Donetsk Oblast, ~32 km² were in Luhansk Oblast, and ~21 km² were in Kharkiv Oblast. The large Russian bridgehead west of the Zherebets River has now been reduced to four smaller bridgehead, including one larger section connected to the Slovyansk direction, and 3 smaller, partially-isolated footholds further north. All four of these remaining bridgeheads are shrinking day-by-day

Extremely heavy Ukrainian artillery and MLRS shelling, along with intense drone attacks, continue on Russian positions close to the frontline, as well as in the tactical and strategic rear, supporting the ongoing offensive operations.

Reminder: I have an active and moderated group chat on Telegram with over 4.5k members, where anyone interested in the war or other current events can join and discuss things with others.

It's one of the only large non-echo chamber chats on this app, and we recently did a big purge of disruptive pro-Russian and pro-Ukrainian fanatics, so I encourage you to join if you're interested! It's also connected to my channel, and serves as a comment section for it as well.

Join here: https://t.me/+wYt1EC0HCiQzMWJh or by clicking the join request button in the comments

Russian Geran-4 jet-drones struck 5 more dry cargo ships in the western Black Sea and at ports in Odesa Oblast.

Russian Geran-4 jet-drones struck several more rear Ukrainian targets, including two petrol stations, a (claimed) drone storage warehouse, an industrial enterprise of an unspecified type, and an electrical substation.

The Russian Ministry of Defence issued a statement regarding their overnight combined missile and drone attacks on Kyiv City and Odesa Oblast.

In Kyiv, the Russian MoD claims the following was hit:

- An industrial enterprise used for producing components for mid-to-long-range drones, and for preparing ground robotic complexes for deployment.

- A workshop used to produce and store mid-to-long-range drones, including aircraft-type UAVs.

- An industrial enterprise used to produce and store components for mid-range drones, including "Hornet" drones.

- A transport and logistics centre allegedly used to store and distribute mid-to-long-range drones.

- Two telecommunications centres belonging to the "Kyivstar" and "Parkovy" Companies, which allegedly provided communications services and computing power for the Ukrainian military.

In Odesa Oblast, the Russian MoD claims the following was hit:

- Two logistics centres in Odesa City allegedly used to store and distribute military and dual-purpose goods sent by European countries.

- An oil tanker in the western Black Sea heading to Chornomorsk Port, which was allegedly transporting fuel and lubricants for the Ukrainian military.

Aftermath of an overnight Russian missile strike on a Nova Poshta terminal in Kyiv.

NASA FIRMS data indicates that a large fire broke out at Kanatove Airbase, Kirovohrad Oblast, following yesterday's Russian Geran-4 jet-drone strikes.

Coordinates: 48.56640, 32.38796

For over a year, this NAFO account @.notafella69 has been working with other people to try get me arrested for "working with the Russian FSB".

As ridiculous as it sounds, this is indeed what they are trying to do. All because I don't report what they want to read, and question the official narrative.

I'm not worried about it because I have nothing to hide, and it obviously won't go anywhere, but I thought I would mention this because of how incredibly psychotic and insane it is.

Guess what post would be required to achieve such a screenshot of complete polar opposites

I understand that Russia remains committed to prolonging the war of attrition at the cost of fewer casualties and even further territorial losses, but time continues to take its toll on troop morale and public support for the war. Losing the Lyman salient has not been particularly costly for Russia, as it ordered a swift withdrawal, and it is highly likely that the Ukrainian advance will be halted at Zherebets; the issue is the impact on the morale of troops who have seen almost a year’s work undone in a matter of weeks, without noticing any substantial change in the dynamics of the war. This is compounded by the lack of reinforcements on certain fronts, the failure to implement countermeasures, and the absence of intensified attacks on the Ukrainian rear.
The disaster of 2022 will not be repeated, but neither do the advances of 2024–2025 seem likely to be, unless Moscow decides to take more radical measures to accelerate the deterioration of the Ukrainian armed forces – something that could be carried out now that the Russian parliamentary elections have concluded.
Local setbacks are not a cause for concern at present, but their accumulation will eventually take its toll on Russian morale and, consequently, on the conduct of military operations, which could lead to a genuine stalemate on the front by 2027.🇷🇺🇺🇦

Z-fanatics are now hallucinating two different encirclements: one in northeastern Kharkiv Oblast, and one in Dobropillya.

Neither are anywhere near encircled, especially Dobropillya where Russian infiltrations behind the city remain very limited and sporadic.