The IDF claims to have arrested a Palestinian involved in an attempted stabbing attack in the town of Rammun, Israeli-occupied West Bank.

The other Palestinian was killed by an Israeli settler during the attack.

A large fire is burning in Kyiv Oblast (likely near Hostomel) following a Russian Geran-4/5 jet-drone strike.

NASA FIRMS fire data indicates that fighting has intensified near Dobropillya, Kramatorsk, Lyman, Druzhkivka, and Kostyantynivka in the last 48 hours, with Russia carrying out heavy strikes on Ukrainian positions, including within Kramatorsk itself.

❗️The upcoming combined Russian missile and drone attack that I was warning about will likely take place tonight. It will be combined with strategic bombers.

During the night, 3 Tu-160M and 6 Tu-95MS strategic bombers were redeployed from Ukrainka Airbase in the Far East. The Tu-160s flew to Belaya Airbase, and the Tu-95MS flew to Olenya and possibly Engels-2. Most/all of them are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles, which were delivered to Ukrainka Airbase with an An-124-100 military transport aircraft yesterday.

In addition, 2 Buyan-M corvettes were re-equipped with Kalibr cruise missiles in the Caspian Sea following the earlier "Centre-2026" exercises. They are stationed at Kaspiysk Naval Base, Republic of Dagestan.

Furthermore, up to 40 missiles of various types (Iskander-M, RM-48U, Oniks-M, Kn-23, & Zircon) are ready in Bryansk, Kursk, Voronezh, & Rostov Oblasts after another dozen or so were delivered in the last few days. Up to one-third of these missiles are Kn-23 ballistics. Not all of the ~40 missiles will be used in this upcoming attack; some will be reserved for a future attack.

Hundreds of Geran-2 drones, Geran-4 jet-drones, Geran-5 jet-drones, and S8000 Banderol cruise missiles are also ready for use at launch points surrounding Ukraine. They will likely be launched over a longer period of time to exhaust Ukrainian air defences.

The main target of this attack will likely be energy infrastructure. The highest threat is to Kyiv City, Kyiv Oblast, Dnipro City, and Kremenchuk (Poltava Oblast), as well as the western regions of Ukraine (especially Rivne, Volyn, Ivano-Frankivsk, and Lviv Oblasts).

The threat window for missiles (excluding Banderols) is from 12am-8am. As usual, ground-based missiles will be used first, and air-launched cruise missiles (Kh-101s) will be used second.

It is not 100% guaranteed that an attack will indeed take place tonight, however the threat is much higher than previous nights when increased threat levels were issued.

An Israeli drone strike targeted a bicycle in Gaza City, killing one person and injuring multiple others.

Kramatorsk, Donetsk Oblast.

Despite constant Russian drone, artillery, and glide-bomb strikes, and the nearby frontline, Ukrainian firefighters continue to operate in the city.

Russian Geran-4 jet-drones struck an oil depot and a cargo ship at Chornomorsk Port, Odesa Oblast.

A Russian Mi-8 helicopter crashed in Kamchatka Krai while transporting cargo today, due to an onboard accident. The aircraft is lying on its side, with the rotor blades damaged.

The three crewmembers were not seriously injured.

The Russian Ministry of Defence issued a statement regarding their overnight strikes on Odesa Oblast.

They claim to have struck a warehouse containing rocket and artillery weapons in the city of Chornomorsk; a dry cargo ship docked at Chornomorsk Port allegedly transporting dual-purpose cargo for the Ukrainian military; and berthing infrastructure at Izmail Port allegedly used to unload and store military cargo.

Today was the 87th consecutive day of Russian missile and drone strikes against Odesa Oblast.

Explosion in Kryvyi Rih, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

Russian S8000 Banderol cruise missile strike.

Another explosion was just in Kryvyi Rih.

The city of Slovyansk, Donetsk Oblast, is under attack from Russian KAB glide-bombs. Strong explosions can be heard.

The Ukrainian European Solidarity party has expelled MP and delegation to the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe Oleksiy Honcharenko, after he called for peace negotiations with Russia to end the war, citing "ideological differences".

Honcharenko previously stated that Ukraine was losing the war and should accept territorial concessions to preserve Ukrainian statehood. He also advocated for a phased removal of sanctions on Russia, in exchange for Russia halting their strikes on Ukrainian critical infrastructure and a freeze to the fighting on the frontline.

Honcharenko also recently revealed that Russia withdrew from northern Ukraine and Kyiv Oblast due to the Istanbul agreements, contradicting the official Ukrainian narrative that they were forced out by the Ukrainian Armed Forces, sparking significant political debate and criticism.

Sadly, we have reached a point in this war where the information space is so fucked that, Ukrainian sources (such as Deepstate) will maintain large grey-zones as long as there's still one wounded and abandoned Ukrainian soldier stuck in a basement, and Russian sources will map massive advances up to where a single Russian infiltrator is killed by an FPV drone.

And then the fanatic supporters of each side will cheer it on, blindly consuming and trusting the news that makes them feel the most comfortable. This is made possible by the increasing centralisation of the Russian and Ukrainian information spaces.

If I were Honcharenko, I would leave Ukraine asap. We all know what is unlikely, but possible.

Ansarallah announced targeting Abha International Airport in southwestern Saudi Arabia with a ballistic missile, disrupting air traffic at the airport.

After being expelled from the European Solidarity Party, Ukrainian MP and delegation to the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe Oleksiy Honcharenko has been added to the controversial "Myrotvorets" list.

The Myrotvorets list is a database of individuals considered enemies of Ukraine, who they claim are working against Ukraine's national interests. It has been repeatedly criticised by human rights organisations as violating press freedoms and endangering journalists. Some critics have characterised Myrotvorets as a "kill list", and alleged it is funded by the Ukrainian SBU.

The website described Honcharenko as a "professional provocateur", and accused him of taking actions "in the interests of the Russian-fascist invaders, aimed at disrupting mobilisation events in Ukraine." It explicitly mentioned his recent advocation for peace negotiations and statements that Ukraine is losing the war.

Myrotvorets also listed a number of other "Russian narratives" Honcharenko allegedly spread in the past, including the following:

- Advocating for parents to be allowed to determine for themselves whether their children should study in Russian or Ukrainian in 2011;

- His statements in 2019 that Ukrainian culture is bilingual and that he does not wish for Russian to die out as a language in the future;

- His attempts to grant Russian the status of a second state language and expand its presence in school education in 2011, during his work in the work in the Odessa regional council.