Rolling blackouts have been implemented across most of Kyiv and parts of Kyiv Oblast today, to help limit energy consumption following repeated Russian attacks.

Various other regions of Ukraine are also experiencing scheduled power outages, which are expected to grow in length as energy infrastructure gets hit harder.

Only the most compelling analysis from JJ 🤣

Due to the deteriorating security situation, all public transport in the city of Slovyansk, Donetsk Oblast, and nearby settlements, will be suspended starting today.

There is no information on whether public transport will remain suspended in Kramatorsk too.

The Russian Ministry of Defence claims that another dry cargo ship was struck by a Geran-4 jet-drone in the western Black Sea today.

Russian Geran-4/5 jet-drones are once again attacking the Trypillya Thermal Power Plant in Kyiv Oblast.

This power plant was also attacked last night.

Ukrainian long-range drones are currently attacking the Ukhtinsky Oil Refinery in the Komi Republic. Multiple impacts have been recorded.

Sorry guys, been super busy.

I'll try to be back to posting tomorrow. Hopefully I haven't missed much.

Forward Ukrainian assault groups and DRGs are now less than 7 km from the outskirts of Velyka Novosilka.

Prior to these counterattacks, the frontline was over 21 km from the town.

IRGC has finally hired some Gen Z video editors.

For the first time ever yesterday, the city of Druzhkivka was mentioned in the daily Ukrainian General Staff report as an area where Russian forces conducted assault operations.

New geolocated footage showing a series of Russian FPV drone strikes on a Ukrainian self-propelled artillery system southwest of Lyman indicates that, as a result of the counteroffensive, Ukraine has managed to bring some artillery pieces across the Siverskyi-Donets River.

This location (48.97106, 37.75538) was previously directly on the frontline and within Russia's infiltration zone, but is now around 12 km from the frontline (and 14 km from the nearest Russian-controlled territory) due to the recent Ukrainian advances.

The amount of new people using Sentinel-2 satellite imagery to try map the frontlines in Ukraine and getting everything wrong has massively increased recently.

The vast majority of posts I see of newer mappers showing Sentinel-2 imagery, and claiming it supports their analysis of a given frontline change are completely incorrect in their assessments.

I've been using it for this purpose for over two years now - since well before it was commonly used for mapping frontline changes - and I didn't properly implement it into my map updates until a little over a year ago when I was fully confident in my abilities, and had observed enough changes to confirm my hypotheses on what each oddity on the imagery could mean. There are also a lot of limitations to using such low resolution satellite imagery, and a lot of the time you will simply be forced to ignore certain oddities shown just because there is no conclusive evidence. One of the strongest and most important things an analyst can say is "I don't know".

I understand that due to the increased centralisation of the Russian and Ukrainian information spaces, there is a desperate need for additional sources to keep maps up to date, but I sincerely ask those trying to use satellite imagery to actually learn how it works and what each oddity means, BEFORE using it for their mapping. I've lost count of the number of times people mix up Ukrainian artillery shelling craters with Russian KAB glide-bomb craters; grass fires caused by summer heat or individual drone strikes with large MLRS suppressive fire; and trees losing their leaves or changing colour due to changing seasons, with artillery shelling.

Your lack of experience is resulting in a massive new wave of misinformation, that influences what is being spread in the information space, resulting in complete hallucinations of counteroffensives or advances. I estimate that up to 50% of the false posts made by accounts that copy-paste reports from others can be traced back to mappers "misusing" satellite imagery. You are responsible for the information you put out, and a lack of prior knowledge is not an excuse for spreading misinformation.

By tomorrow, I plan to be back to my usual posting schedule - once I have completed a number of unrelated tasks outside of my reported that I had lined up.

Tomorrow I plan to release a full series of much-needed frontline map updates from the last few weeks in Ukraine for each sector, and will likely go into some deeper tactical-level analysis on specific areas which need some more attention.

I'll also return to posting about each side's mid-to-long-range strikes on most days, and will probably begin talking more about the situation in the Middle East again, with a focus on the Gaza Strip, Yemen, the West Bank, and the Persian Gulf.

Thank you for your patience!

The ruins of Lyman, Donetsk Oblast. October 2026.

3 battles and nearly 2 years of fighting since May 2022.

The most recent estimates indicate up to 1,600 civilians remain in the city, despite all the destruction and seemingly endless back-and-forth fighting.