Russia currently has at least 40 missiles deployed in Bryansk/Kursk/Rostov/Voronezh Oblasts, ready to be used in attacks on Ukraine.

These consist of around 30 Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles, Oniks-M supersonic cruise missiles, and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles; as well as at least 10 Kn-23 ballistic missiles.

So far tonight, only around 6 Rm-48U modified S-400 ballistic missiles have been used. Additional launches may occur in the coming hours.

Not all 40 missiles are expected to be used tonight, as some/most are reserved for the upcoming large-scale attack involving strategic bombers, which is still being prepared.

Renewed ballistic missile threat from Bryansk.

Edit: No launches

As usual, some of the Russian RM-48U S-400 ballistic missiles missed their targets, falling in open areas.

A Su-34 covered by a Su-35 conducted a launch maneuver over the western Black Sea, possibly launching KAB glide-bombs to Odesa Oblast.

2 KAB glide-bombs are flying to Chornomorsk, Odesa Oblast.

Around 7 mins until impacts.

Current flight routes.

These are UMPB-5 jet-powered glide-bombs.

A second Su-34 is flying past Crimea to its launch lines to launch glide-bombs towards Odesa Oblast.

Edit: They also conducted launch maneuvers

They are approaching Chornomorsk, Odesa Oblast.

10 km from the coast.

Interceptor launches

Explosions in Chornomorsk.

Additional UMPB-5 jet-powered glide-bombs are flying to Chornomorsk.

Interceptor launches.

Glide-bombs are 30 km away, 3 km altitude.

The glide-bombs are approaching the area south of Chornomorsk.

Altitude: 600 metres

These ones fell in the sea too. Around 15 km from the coast.

The first two fell around 10 km from the coast.

All clear now.

Yunakivka 👀

Building on their previous successes over the last month, Ukrainian forces likely recaptured the town of Yunakivka in Sumy Oblast.

Currently I'm unable to confirm Ukrainian consolidation over the northern part, but the town centre is under Ukrainian control and the northern streets are at the very least a grey-zone.

It took Russia 15 months to capture Yunakivka following the end of Ukraine's Kursk operation. Ukraine re-entered the town a little under a month ago.