The IRGC is attacking vessels in the Strait of Hormuz with anti-ship cruise missiles or drones.

Explosions were heard southwest of Qeshm Island.

Ahead of the missile attack, Russia has launched yet another large-scale attack on Ukraine using Geran-2 drones and Geran-4/5 jet-drones. Over 250 drones have been launched in the last 8 hours, over two-thirds of which were Geran-2 drones.

The primary target has been energy infrastructure, which will be hit even harder once the missiles start flying later tonight. Among the targets hit were the Dnіstrovska Hydroelectric Power Plant and Chernivtsi 330 kV electrical substation in Chernivtsi Oblast, as well as the Zhytomyr 330 kV substation - both in western Ukraine. Widespread power outages have affected both Zhytomyr and Chernivtsi Oblasts, with most of Zhytomyr City being left without electricity.

During this attack (which is still ongoing), explosions were heard in/near the following locations:

- Nadvirna, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast
- Kitsman, Chernivtsi Oblast
- Novodnistrovs'k, Chernivtsi Oblast
- Khmelnytskyi City
- Sharhorod, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Kryzhopil, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Vinnytsia City
- Tal'ne, Cherkasy Oblast
- Kaniv, Cherkasy Oblast
- Cherkasy City
- Kyiv City
- Pukhivka, Kyiv Oblast
- Vasylkiv, Kyiv Oblast
- Hlevakha, Kyiv Oblast
- Luhyny, Zhytomyr Oblast
- Zhytomyr City
- Manevychi, Volyn Oblast
- Poltava City
- Shakhtarske, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
- Dnipro, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
- Troyandy, Zaporizhzhia Oblast
- Vilnyansk, Zaporizhzhia Oblast
- Nyzy, Sumy Oblast
- Sumy City

According to available information, ballistic missiles and other ground launched systems will be used in 1-2 hours from now, approximately between 1:30-2:30am local time.

Up to 30 missiles (RM-48U, Iskander-M, Oniks-M, & Zircon) could be used in total. The highest threat is to Kyiv City, Kyiv Oblast, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Kharkiv Oblast, and Poltava Oblast.

There is also the possibility of up to 10 Kn-23 ballistic missiles being launched from near Liski, Voronezh Oblast, in around this same timeframe.

Currently, approximately 40 Geran-2/4/5 drones are detected in Ukrainian airspace.

Sorry, got the timing wrong on the strategic bombers. The Tu-95MS are expected to take off from Olenya Airbase in around an hour.

Some of the Tu-95MS strategic bombers are already airborne from Olenya Airbase, having taken off a few minutes ago.

They are flying south to their launch lines in western Vologda Oblast, which they will reach in around 1.5 hours. The 5 Tu-160M strategic bombers are expected to reach these same launch lines at around the same time.

From there, it will take a little under 2 hours for the Kh-101 cruise missiles to enter Ukrainian airspace. Up to 70 missiles will be launched in waves towards Ukraine.

At least 6 Tu-95MS are airborne.

Approximate flight routes of the Russian Tu-95MS and Tu-160M strategic bombers airborne right now.

They will reach the launch lines in western Vologda Oblast in around 90 minutes, and launch 50-70 Kh-101 cruise missiles towards Ukraine (Sumy/Kharkiv Oblasts) in several waves.

For the next hour, there is an increased threat of ground-launched missile strikes against Ukraine.

Russia may launch up to 30 Iskander-M and RM-48U modified S-400 ballistic missiles; as well as Zircon hypersonic and Oniks-M supersonic cruise missiles. Up to 10 Kn-23 ballistic missiles could also be launched alongside this.

Additionally, there is a possibility of 8-24 Kalibr cruise missiles being launched from either the Black Sea (Novorossiysk Naval base) or the Caspian Sea (Kaspiysk Naval Base) during this period, although they may be timed to enter Ukrainian airspace alongside the Kh-101 cruise missiles.