There is a possibility of Russia carrying out an attack on Ukrainian energy infrastructure using Iskander-K cruise missiles later today.

4 groups of Kh-101 cruise missiles launched by a single Tu-160 are entering Ukrainian airspace via Luhansk Oblast, flying past Kharkiv Oblast.

They flew past Izyum towards the Dnipropetrovsk-Poltava regional border.

~10 missiles in total

They are slowly making their way towards Dnipro from the northeast.

65 km from Dnipro

40 km from Dnipro.

Altitude: ~300 metres

8 missiles total

20 km from Dnipro

Fighter jets are trying to shoot them down.

8 km from Dnipro. 15 km from the TPP

Explosions in Dnipro.

Kh-101 cruise missile impacts to the Prydniprovsky Thermal Power Plant

Repeated impacts to the Prydniprovsky Thermal Power Plant in Dnipro.

All clear now

Approximate flight routes of the missiles used in last night's massive Russian combined missile attack on Ukraine:

The following was launched:

~70 Kh-101 cruise missiles
~17 Iskander-M ballistic missiles
~6 Kn-23 ballistic missiles
~4 Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles
~2 Oniks-M supersonic cruise missiles

~99 missiles in total.

The following was struck:

- The Prydniprovska Thermal Power Plant in Dnipro by ~17 Kh-101s, ~6 Iskander-Ms, and ~4 Kn-23s.

- The Ladyzhyn Thermal Power Plant in Vinnytsia Oblast by ~20 Kh-101s and ~4 Zircons.

- The Zmiivska Thermal Power Plant in Kharkiv Oblast by ~5 Iskander-Ms.

- The TEC-5 Thermal Power Plant in Kharkiv City by ~4 Iskander-Ms (and ~6 KAB glide-bombs).

- The Kryvyi Rih Thermal Power Plant in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by ~4 Kh-101s and ~2 Kn-23s.

- The Kaniv Hydroelectric Power Plant in Cherkasy Oblast by ~2 Iskander-Ms.

- An unknown target near Pryluky, Chernihiv Oblast, by ~2 Oniks-Ms.

As of the time of writing, it appears that Ukrainian air defence was able to shoot down a *minimum* of 29 Kh-101 cruise missiles.

Ukraine's interception rate was much lower than usual for this attack. Only around 29 out of ~70 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched were shot down.

In my opinion, this was due to a combination of poor weather conditions, a complete overwhelming of air defences due to the sheer number of missiles used all at once, an exhaustion of air defences from the ~2,000 Geran-2/4/5 drones used over the 72 hours prior, and a lack of interceptor missiles. The vast majority of the interceptions were carried out by F-16 and Mirage-2000 fighter jets.

❗️Russia likely intends to carry out another large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukrainian energy infrastructure in the next 72 hours, this time targeting Kyiv:

During tonight's massive Russian combined missile attack on Ukrainian energy infrastructure, only 2 Iskander-M ballistic missiles were launched from Bryansk.

Prior to this attack, it was known that Russia had accumulate approximately 25-30 Iskander-M and RM-48U modified S-400 ballistic missiles in Bryansk Oblast alone. Kyiv itself was also not targeted by a single missile.

Therefore, for the next 3 days, there is a high risk of a large-scale ballistic missile and Zircon/Oniks-M attack being carried out on energy infrastructure in Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast. The highest threat for the next two nights after tonight. Potential targets include the CHP-4/5/6 Combined Heat and Power Plants, the "Kyivska" 750 kV electrical substation, the Kyiv Hydroelectrical Power Plant, and the Trypillya Thermal Power Plant.

.@hey_itsmyturn, citing a source in one of the foreign ministries, reports that Iran has not changed its stance on the nuclear issue or the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran reportedly continues to demand that sanctions must be lifted and frozen assets handed over before real talks begin.

Kramatorsk City Centre yesterday.

There are still a lot of civilians around.

The filming location (48.736990, 37.587373) is less than 12 km from the frontline.

Ukrainian forces have recaptured the village of Lypivka, Slovyansk direction, Donetsk Oblast (Bakhmut District).

Pre-war population: ~15.
Total land area: ~0.24 km².

The third battle for Lypivka lasted approximately two weeks.

#Ukrainemap