STRATEGY Q1 EARNINGS RECAP 🔎
Strategy just gave traders the exact blueprint for their next move.
The 2-Minute Drill:
🔹 The New Level: 1.22x mNAV. Above this, they buy BTC. Below this, they might sell BTC to buy back MSTR or pay dividends.
🔹 The Arb: If MSTR drops to 1.22x mNAV, the Long MSTR/Short BTC trade becomes the professional play to capture the narrowing discount.
🔹 STRC Credit: The 11.5% preferred dividend is well-covered. $2.25B in cash reserves covers 1.5 years of obligations, while BTC reserves cover debt for 43 years.
🔹 BTC Impact: The infinite bid narrative is dead, but so is the "forced liquidation" fear. Strategy is now a sophisticated allocator, which lowers long-term tail risk for BTC.
The Bottom Line: Watch 1.22x. It’s the difference between a BTC accumulation proxy and a capital structure arb.
Strategy just gave traders the exact blueprint for their next move.
The 2-Minute Drill:
🔹 The New Level: 1.22x mNAV. Above this, they buy BTC. Below this, they might sell BTC to buy back MSTR or pay dividends.
🔹 The Arb: If MSTR drops to 1.22x mNAV, the Long MSTR/Short BTC trade becomes the professional play to capture the narrowing discount.
🔹 STRC Credit: The 11.5% preferred dividend is well-covered. $2.25B in cash reserves covers 1.5 years of obligations, while BTC reserves cover debt for 43 years.
🔹 BTC Impact: The infinite bid narrative is dead, but so is the "forced liquidation" fear. Strategy is now a sophisticated allocator, which lowers long-term tail risk for BTC.
The Bottom Line: Watch 1.22x. It’s the difference between a BTC accumulation proxy and a capital structure arb.
❤7👏6🔥1
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Kicking off the new week with a mid-May metric watch 🔢
Think you got our top traders beat? You know how to prove it 😉
Think you got our top traders beat? You know how to prove it 😉
👏5❤2
THE BUTTERFLY TOUCH 🛑🦋
The bull market is caressing the soul of the market.
In the newest edition of CTD Arthur Hayes provides the latest macro brief:
🔹 The AI Loop: US/China see AI as national security. CAPEX is expanding indefinitely. This requires massive credit expansion (money printing) from the Fed and PBOC. 🤖💸
🔹 The War Factor: The US-Iran war (started Feb 28) is structurally inflationary. Nations are swapping "fugazi" USD assets for real pipelines and food stockpiles. 🛢️🌾
🔹 The Fed's Response: To prevent a USD fire sale, the US is opening swap lines and loosening banking regs (eSLR). Translation: Financial conditions will stay loose. 🏦🔓
🔹 The Crypto Target: BTC $126k is the goal. $BTC is outperforming Gold and Tech because it is the most sensitive to fiat expansion. 🚀
🔹 The Next Play: Maelstrom is at maximum risk. Favorites: $HYPE, $ZEC, and the next focus—$NEAR.
The Bottom Line: Close your eyes and press the buy button. It's time to degen. 🛡️⚡
The bull market is caressing the soul of the market.
In the newest edition of CTD Arthur Hayes provides the latest macro brief:
🔹 The AI Loop: US/China see AI as national security. CAPEX is expanding indefinitely. This requires massive credit expansion (money printing) from the Fed and PBOC. 🤖💸
🔹 The War Factor: The US-Iran war (started Feb 28) is structurally inflationary. Nations are swapping "fugazi" USD assets for real pipelines and food stockpiles. 🛢️🌾
🔹 The Fed's Response: To prevent a USD fire sale, the US is opening swap lines and loosening banking regs (eSLR). Translation: Financial conditions will stay loose. 🏦🔓
🔹 The Crypto Target: BTC $126k is the goal. $BTC is outperforming Gold and Tech because it is the most sensitive to fiat expansion. 🚀
🔹 The Next Play: Maelstrom is at maximum risk. Favorites: $HYPE, $ZEC, and the next focus—$NEAR.
The Bottom Line: Close your eyes and press the buy button. It's time to degen. 🛡️⚡
❤9
Another week, another #BitMEXHumpDayHack: The easiest $500 of your life is just 2 clicks away thanks to our Hyperliquid copy trading integration.
Don't miss out. Start copying now and keep your eyes peeled for some more copy trading fun on the way soon 👀
Don't miss out. Start copying now and keep your eyes peeled for some more copy trading fun on the way soon 👀
❤5👍1
🔔 Never Miss a Move with Custom Price Alerts
Always stay on top of markets. Enable Custom Price Alerts to get the notifications that matter to you most.
✅ Index Price Precision: Triggers on global Index Price (no "scam wicks")
✅ Momentum Tracking: Set alerts for % moves over 1h or 24h windows
✅ One-Tap to Trade: Go from notification straight to the order book
How to Start:
1. Head to More on your BitMEX Mobile app. Click Notification Hub.
2. Click Custom Price Alerts.
3. Create Alert for a contract of your choice and the metric you’d like to see.
4. Start receiving customised notifs on your homescreen.
Always stay on top of markets. Enable Custom Price Alerts to get the notifications that matter to you most.
✅ Index Price Precision: Triggers on global Index Price (no "scam wicks")
✅ Momentum Tracking: Set alerts for % moves over 1h or 24h windows
✅ One-Tap to Trade: Go from notification straight to the order book
How to Start:
1. Head to More on your BitMEX Mobile app. Click Notification Hub.
2. Click Custom Price Alerts.
3. Create Alert for a contract of your choice and the metric you’d like to see.
4. Start receiving customised notifs on your homescreen.
👍4❤1
THE NEAR RERATE 🛑⚡
NEAR has evolved from an L1 to an AI and Privacy execution layer.
Here’s your macro brief:
🔹 The Hayes Signal: After HYPE and ZEC, Arthur Hayes named NEAR his next favorite. Why? Because Privacy + Intents = Positive Cash Flow.
🔹 The Fee Machine: NEAR Intents is currently generating 18x the fees of LayerZero ($ZRO). Yet, NEAR trades at 1/3rd of ZRO’s fee multiple.
🔹 The AI Call Option: Co-founder Illia Polosukhin is an AI pioneer. NEAR is building the "AI Cloud" and "Agent Market" where bots handle the bridging and gas via Intents.
🔹 The Valuation: At a 56x annualized fee multiple, NEAR is cheaper than ETH, SOL, and most major L1 peers.
🔹 The Tokenomics: Inflation cut to 2.5% + supply burning from transaction fees.
The Bottom Line: NEAR has the narrative (AI/Privacy) and the numbers (Intents Revenue). If fees keep growing, a massive market re-rate is on the cards.
NEAR has evolved from an L1 to an AI and Privacy execution layer.
Here’s your macro brief:
🔹 The Hayes Signal: After HYPE and ZEC, Arthur Hayes named NEAR his next favorite. Why? Because Privacy + Intents = Positive Cash Flow.
🔹 The Fee Machine: NEAR Intents is currently generating 18x the fees of LayerZero ($ZRO). Yet, NEAR trades at 1/3rd of ZRO’s fee multiple.
🔹 The AI Call Option: Co-founder Illia Polosukhin is an AI pioneer. NEAR is building the "AI Cloud" and "Agent Market" where bots handle the bridging and gas via Intents.
🔹 The Valuation: At a 56x annualized fee multiple, NEAR is cheaper than ETH, SOL, and most major L1 peers.
🔹 The Tokenomics: Inflation cut to 2.5% + supply burning from transaction fees.
The Bottom Line: NEAR has the narrative (AI/Privacy) and the numbers (Intents Revenue). If fees keep growing, a massive market re-rate is on the cards.
❤4👍1
Copy and Conquer with Just One Click
Looking to save up for that special summer vacation? We’ve got you covered.
Join the BitMEX Copy and Conquer Campaign and win your share of a 50,000 USDT prize pool 💰
📅 14 May - 14 June
🤝First time Copy and Reverse Copy Traders can enjoy $50 in loss protection on copy trades and $50 in profit matching on reverse copy trades.
Looking to save up for that special summer vacation? We’ve got you covered.
Join the BitMEX Copy and Conquer Campaign and win your share of a 50,000 USDT prize pool 💰
📅 14 May - 14 June
🤝First time Copy and Reverse Copy Traders can enjoy $50 in loss protection on copy trades and $50 in profit matching on reverse copy trades.
🔥4❤2👍1
Cable is a Coiled Spring 🏛️💷
Speculators are betting £3.8 Billion that the Pound will fall. 🥊💷
But with the Bank of England’s Chief Economist voting for a rate hike and UK yields outperforming the US, a massive short squeeze is loading.
We’re eyeing a break toward 1.40 while the rest of the market sleeps.
The Highlights:
📉 Crowded Bets: Specs are net short £3.8B at the top of the range.
🏦 Hawkish Pivot: BoE vote leans toward a hike to 4%.
⚖️ Yield Advantage: UK Gilts pay more than US Treasuries.
🏎️ 24/7 Access: Trade the May 21 CPI print with 100x leverage on BitMEX.
Don't get squeezed. Be the one doing the squeezing.
Speculators are betting £3.8 Billion that the Pound will fall. 🥊💷
But with the Bank of England’s Chief Economist voting for a rate hike and UK yields outperforming the US, a massive short squeeze is loading.
We’re eyeing a break toward 1.40 while the rest of the market sleeps.
The Highlights:
📉 Crowded Bets: Specs are net short £3.8B at the top of the range.
🏦 Hawkish Pivot: BoE vote leans toward a hike to 4%.
⚖️ Yield Advantage: UK Gilts pay more than US Treasuries.
🏎️ 24/7 Access: Trade the May 21 CPI print with 100x leverage on BitMEX.
Don't get squeezed. Be the one doing the squeezing.
❤7👍1
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The journey to BTC Pizza Day is officially underway 🍕
While we get ready to cook up some slices, have a look at our top traders' performances last week.
Think you got them beat? You know what to do 🤝
While we get ready to cook up some slices, have a look at our top traders' performances last week.
Think you got them beat? You know what to do 🤝
❤5👍1
BitMEX x GinArea: Backtesting Now Live
Risk mitigation on BitMEX just got a structural upgrade.
Professional-grade backtesting on GinArea is now live for all BitMEX traders.
📊 1 year of tick-by-tick market data for ETHUSDT, BTCUSDT, and BTCUSD. No more candle guesswork.
🤝 Free access. All you need is to verify your BitMEX account and maintain a balance > 0. 🛡️
🏆 Deploy your winning bots and earn up to 4,000 USDT in rebates until 31 May 2026. Also earn up to an additional $100 in trading credits for volume generated by your bots.
In a 24/7 market, the only way to stay ahead is to test, refine, and automate.
Risk mitigation on BitMEX just got a structural upgrade.
Professional-grade backtesting on GinArea is now live for all BitMEX traders.
📊 1 year of tick-by-tick market data for ETHUSDT, BTCUSDT, and BTCUSD. No more candle guesswork.
🤝 Free access. All you need is to verify your BitMEX account and maintain a balance > 0. 🛡️
🏆 Deploy your winning bots and earn up to 4,000 USDT in rebates until 31 May 2026. Also earn up to an additional $100 in trading credits for volume generated by your bots.
In a 24/7 market, the only way to stay ahead is to test, refine, and automate.
❤7👍2🤩1
THE 2026 CARRY TRADE
The carry trade isn't dead—it's just gotten more professional.
Here’s your 2-minute macro brief:
🔹 The Setup: Borrow JPY (0.75%), Buy USD (4.00%+). The ~325bps spread is the widest in the G10.
🔹 The Narrowing: Fed is cutting, BOJ is hiking. The "Carry Cushion" is smaller than 2024. This makes the trade more sensitive to sudden Yen spikes.
🔹 The Warning: In 2024, USD/JPY dropped 12% in 3 weeks. Size your positions for the crash, not the daily interest.
🔹 The BitMEX Edge: Traditional brokers take a cut of your swap. BitMEX FX Perps have 0% swap fees. You get pure price exposure with 24/7 liquidity.
🔹 The Rule: Never trade the carry without a stop loss. A 300-500 pip buffer is the minimum requirement for 2026.
The Bottom Line: The yield is there, but the "steamroller" is idling nearby.
The carry trade isn't dead—it's just gotten more professional.
Here’s your 2-minute macro brief:
🔹 The Setup: Borrow JPY (0.75%), Buy USD (4.00%+). The ~325bps spread is the widest in the G10.
🔹 The Narrowing: Fed is cutting, BOJ is hiking. The "Carry Cushion" is smaller than 2024. This makes the trade more sensitive to sudden Yen spikes.
🔹 The Warning: In 2024, USD/JPY dropped 12% in 3 weeks. Size your positions for the crash, not the daily interest.
🔹 The BitMEX Edge: Traditional brokers take a cut of your swap. BitMEX FX Perps have 0% swap fees. You get pure price exposure with 24/7 liquidity.
🔹 The Rule: Never trade the carry without a stop loss. A 300-500 pip buffer is the minimum requirement for 2026.
The Bottom Line: The yield is there, but the "steamroller" is idling nearby.
👍3❤1
BitMEX x Insilico: 50,000 USDT Rebates
3 years of partnership, one massive reward campaign.
💰50,000 USDT Rebate: Earn 0.005% back on all fees for volume placed via Insilico Terminal until 30 June.
🏎️💨Instant VIP 5: Already an Insilico user? Check your account. You’ve been fast-tracked to VIP 5 status (0.032% Taker / 0.015% Maker).
💻 The Tech: Use the programmable CLI and institutional order types to dominate the 24/7 TradFi and Crypto markets.
3 years of partnership, one massive reward campaign.
💰50,000 USDT Rebate: Earn 0.005% back on all fees for volume placed via Insilico Terminal until 30 June.
🏎️💨Instant VIP 5: Already an Insilico user? Check your account. You’ve been fast-tracked to VIP 5 status (0.032% Taker / 0.015% Maker).
💻 The Tech: Use the programmable CLI and institutional order types to dominate the 24/7 TradFi and Crypto markets.
🔥3❤2👍2
Boost your trading margin with our Deposit and Earn Campaign:
🔹 New Users: Deposit $100+, make 5 trades, hold 7 days ➡️ Get $10.
🔹 Existing Users: Deposit $100+, hold 7 days ➡️ Get 5% match (up to $50).
🔹 Whales: Deposit $10k+, hold 7 days ➡️ Get $50.
⚠️ Rewards apply to Net Deposits only (Deposits - Withdrawals).
Slots capped for the first 1,000 users.
🔹 New Users: Deposit $100+, make 5 trades, hold 7 days ➡️ Get $10.
🔹 Existing Users: Deposit $100+, hold 7 days ➡️ Get 5% match (up to $50).
🔹 Whales: Deposit $10k+, hold 7 days ➡️ Get $50.
⚠️ Rewards apply to Net Deposits only (Deposits - Withdrawals).
Slots capped for the first 1,000 users.
👍5❤4
Bringing you yet another episode of #BitMEXHumpDayHacks, this time with a 5,321% upside on a protected $100 copy trade 🫨
Copy top BitMEX and Hyperliquid traders with just a click and win your share of a $50,000 prize pool.
Making money's never been easier, don't miss out.
Copy top BitMEX and Hyperliquid traders with just a click and win your share of a $50,000 prize pool.
Making money's never been easier, don't miss out.
❤3👍2🥰1
NVDA EARNINGS PREVIEW
The world's most important stock reports on Wednesday. Here’s your macro brief:
🔹 The Setup: NVDA is the #1 company globally ($5.47T). After 3 months of sideways trading, the Q1 print on 20 May will trigger the next major market move.
🔹 The Numbers: Revenue consensus is $78.4B. The market wants a "beat and raise" with Q2 guidance topping $87B.
🔹 The Demand: Hyperscaler capex is hitting $720B this year. MSFT and AMZN are "capacity constrained," meaning they want more chips than Jensen can currently make.
🔹 The Tech: Watch for news on Rubin, the next-gen chip designed to crush inference costs.
🔹 The Trade: Trade NVDAUSDT Equity Perps on BitMEX. 20x leverage, 24/7 liquidity, and crypto collateral. Trade the print while legacy brokers are asleep.
The Bottom Line: Nvidia needs excellence to avoid a "sell the news" event.
The world's most important stock reports on Wednesday. Here’s your macro brief:
🔹 The Setup: NVDA is the #1 company globally ($5.47T). After 3 months of sideways trading, the Q1 print on 20 May will trigger the next major market move.
🔹 The Numbers: Revenue consensus is $78.4B. The market wants a "beat and raise" with Q2 guidance topping $87B.
🔹 The Demand: Hyperscaler capex is hitting $720B this year. MSFT and AMZN are "capacity constrained," meaning they want more chips than Jensen can currently make.
🔹 The Tech: Watch for news on Rubin, the next-gen chip designed to crush inference costs.
🔹 The Trade: Trade NVDAUSDT Equity Perps on BitMEX. 20x leverage, 24/7 liquidity, and crypto collateral. Trade the print while legacy brokers are asleep.
The Bottom Line: Nvidia needs excellence to avoid a "sell the news" event.
❤3👍1
The Yield Panic & The Bitcoin Supercycle 🛑⚡
Sovereign bond volatility is signaling the end of traditional monetary discipline.
Here’s your macro brief:
🔹 The Yield Shock: The US 30-year yield has surged past 5.14%, while the Japanese 10Y JGB has hit a multi-decade high of 2.80%. The global carry trade is unwinding as Japanese capital repatriates.
🔹 The Debt Wall: With the US debt past $39 Trillion, traditional rate hikes are dead. Aggressive monetary tightening would cause sovereign interest expenses to instantly consume the entire federal tax base.
🔹 The Stealth Bailout: Expect central banks to inject liquidity through the backdoor using regulatory plumbing—such as eSLR exemptions to force commercial banks to hold government debt.
🔹 The Trading Edge: Expect sharp, short-term liquidations across all risk positions as traditional funds cover bond losses. Use these flushes to structurally accumulate Bitcoin, which is primed as the apex global liquidity sponge.
Sovereign bond volatility is signaling the end of traditional monetary discipline.
Here’s your macro brief:
🔹 The Yield Shock: The US 30-year yield has surged past 5.14%, while the Japanese 10Y JGB has hit a multi-decade high of 2.80%. The global carry trade is unwinding as Japanese capital repatriates.
🔹 The Debt Wall: With the US debt past $39 Trillion, traditional rate hikes are dead. Aggressive monetary tightening would cause sovereign interest expenses to instantly consume the entire federal tax base.
🔹 The Stealth Bailout: Expect central banks to inject liquidity through the backdoor using regulatory plumbing—such as eSLR exemptions to force commercial banks to hold government debt.
🔹 The Trading Edge: Expect sharp, short-term liquidations across all risk positions as traditional funds cover bond losses. Use these flushes to structurally accumulate Bitcoin, which is primed as the apex global liquidity sponge.
❤4👏1