/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
The appointment was made likely sometime in late July/early August as that is when Kpler crude oil data about ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz stopped being corroborated by satellite imagery and news reports confirming that only a small number of ships are able to enter and exit the Persian Gulf each day.
It has gotten to the point where Kpler now reports a partial restoration of ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz even though the diesel crack spread is rising, gas prices all over the world are increasing and countries all over the globe continue to release barrels from their strategic petroleum reserves according to new EIA estimates.
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Forwarded from AMK Mapping
The New York Times, citing a Russian document allegedly intercepted by Ukraine, reports that Russia intends to use up to 1,000 drones, missiles, and glide-bombs against Ukrainian energy and water infrastructure in winter, especially in Kyiv, Kharkiv, and Odesa. Russia will also reportedly target the electrical switchyards at the Rivne, Khmelnytskyi, and South-Ukraine Nuclear Power Plants.
In Kyiv, Kharkiv, and Odesa, Russia reportedly plans to cut electricity and heating by 90%, while causing significant disruption to their water sewerage system. The strike campaign will reportedly take place in three stages, starting with targeting electrical substation near the western borders of Ukraine used to transfer European-supplies electricity, before moving to hydro-electric power plants, and then targeting nuclear power plants at the end.
In my opinion, 1,000 missiles, drones, and glide-bombs is a massive undercount. According to available information, Russia has over 12,000 Geran-2 drones in reserve, a portion of which they will likely use during the winter for strikes on energy targets. I believe that when counting drones, missiles, and glide-bombs, Russia could use up to 10,000 munitions (mainly Geran-2/4 drones) to attack energy infrastructure.
In Kyiv, Kharkiv, and Odesa, Russia reportedly plans to cut electricity and heating by 90%, while causing significant disruption to their water sewerage system. The strike campaign will reportedly take place in three stages, starting with targeting electrical substation near the western borders of Ukraine used to transfer European-supplies electricity, before moving to hydro-electric power plants, and then targeting nuclear power plants at the end.
In my opinion, 1,000 missiles, drones, and glide-bombs is a massive undercount. According to available information, Russia has over 12,000 Geran-2 drones in reserve, a portion of which they will likely use during the winter for strikes on energy targets. I believe that when counting drones, missiles, and glide-bombs, Russia could use up to 10,000 munitions (mainly Geran-2/4 drones) to attack energy infrastructure.
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
The Metro Bridge in Western Kiev has traffic restricted. Combined, the loss of three out of 5 bridges caused a massive traffic jam across Kiev today.
Russia will likely target other bridges over the Dnieper river and try to get the Ukrainian capital and other cities to halt.
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇫🇷⚡️- BREAKING: The French Interior Ministry has deployed the BRAV-M in Paris, a motorized police unit specialized in heavy repression.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇫🇷⚡️- BREAKING: The French Interior Ministry has deployed the BRAV-M in Paris, a motorized police unit specialized in heavy repression.
🇫🇷⚡️- The French Interior Ministry has banned any gatherings around schools throughout France.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇫🇷⚡️- Rioters of Arabic and African descent are multiplying their assaults on calm parts of France. This morning, they set fire to the entrance of the Roger Verlomme High School, located in the 15th Parisian District, a notably wealthy area.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
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🇫🇷⚡️- A masked African youth lights a middle-aged woman's face on fire for opposing rioters in Marseilles.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
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🇫🇷⚡️- Violence from rioters of African and Arabic origins keeps ramping up today against the police in France. In the video, a murder attempt is carried out on a police officer in Belfort.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
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🇫🇷⚡️- A caricature of the civilizational traitor is seen impeding police work in France, losing her temper and visibly crying as the rioters "are too young, this is too much, they are kids, you have no right to do so".
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
The Trump administration has been taking steps to turn China's dependence on US aviation suppliers into leverage for trade negotiations, according to people familiar with the matter.
Efforts to slow vital goods to China show how the US is working to strengthen its hand in trade talks as Washington works to loosen Beijing's grip on rare earth minerals needed for a wide range of US industries, including vehicle manufacturing, chipmaking and aerospace. Two sources said the US Department of Commerce is positioning itself to increase pressure on Beijing, should the administration call upon it to do so.
The slowdown has taken several forms. The Commerce Department slowed export licensing for airplane parts bound for China in recent weeks, two other sources told Reuters.
Officials have also expressed interest in issuing an export regulation that could make it easier to restrict landing gear and other aircraft parts to China, two sources said. A draft version included a new licensing requirement on aviation hydraulic fluid shipped by US suppliers like ExxonMobil one of the people said.
And the Commerce Department has been limiting the number of parts licensed to be shipped to China's state-owned planemaker, COMAC, to keep the company from stockpiling, another source said.
With Chinese President Xi Jinping in Washington last week, the two countries entered a new period of détente, agreeing to reduce tariffs on a variety of goods imported from each other and extend a trade truce set to expire on November 10, giving negotiators until January 10, 2027, to tackle tougher issues.
The effort to constrain the flow of commercial aircraft parts between the world's two largest economies, after a heated tug of war over parts last year, has raised industry concerns over planes as weapons for trade talks.
Aerospace has been largely unscathed by US President Donald Trump's tariffs, which have been slapped on multiple sectors and trading partners globally. But the industry has wrestled with shortages of parts and materials due to geopolitical tensions. Producers of thermal coating sprays used to protect jet engines, for example, continue to struggle with Chinese controls of rare earth materials that have led to delays.
Meanwhile, China has sought several years' worth of spare parts for 200 Boeing jets it agreed to purchase last spring, sources said, in what would be the US planemaker's first major deal with Chinese carriers in nearly a decade. But the US has been reluctant to provide guarantees, seeing the parts as leverage that could be used to secure future concessions, the sources said.
It is unclear where China's request for the spare parts stands.
Access to parts manufactured by US aerospace suppliers is critical for Boeing and Airbus jets operated by Chinese carriers, as well as COMAC, which wants to ramp up production of its own commercial jets.
The US imposed new export restrictions on aircraft products last year as the trade war between Washington and Beijing intensified. In late spring, the US suspended licenses for GE Aerospace's jet engines, Honeywell Aerospace navigation systems and other parts for COMAC. It also sent letters to manufacturers of hydraulic fluid used in airplanes in China, saying the fluid was subject to a new — but ultimately short-lived — export license requirement.
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
The average pump price of a litre of diesel fuel hit £2 ($2.64) in Britain for the first time on Friday, according to data compiled by the RAC motoring organisation, the latest landmark in a global surge in fuel prices.
($1 = 0.7573 pounds)
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Forwarded from South Africa Reports
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The background is that Ukraine apparently violated a confidentiality agreement on the repatriation of two North Korean soldiers it had captured, who were handed over to South Korea.
According to Lee, it was Ukraine that asked for the transfer to stay secret, and Seoul agreed - then Kiev went ahead and revealed the transfer unilaterally. When South Korea called them out on this, Ukraine straight up denied the agreement existed, essentially saying that Lee was a liar. And, when asked to apologize, Ukraine bizarrely warned about an imminent DPRK-ROK clash resulting in this public callout by the ROK president.
Jae Myung Lee threatened Kiev with "additional measures" if the Ukrainian side doesn't retract its statements and issues a public apology
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (Deigo)
The precise quantity is still unknown.
Europe has just agreed to release a massive amount of their heavily stocked Diesel Oil. The process will begin immediately. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DJT
@GeoPWatch
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
The massive SPR release will be coordinated with the IEA.
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
Everything is fake. There are no “one weird tricks” to solve this mess. Headlines are purely for chud-consumption and oil futures manipulation.
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