📊 🇸🇪 🚷 Sweden’s Institute for Remigration (IFR) has developed a rather striking mathematical model projecting where and when migrants could outnumber native populations across Europe.

If current trends continue, Switzerland would be the first country on the list, followed by Belgium, Germany and Austria. Between 2050 and 2060, France, Spain, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands and Ireland could also lose their native majorities.

The project’s authors stress that this is only a forecast — although, in their view, it is based on fairly substantial grounds.

https://demography-dashboard.eu/en/intro

📎 NEXTA

📊 🇸🇪 🚷 Sweden is only 63% Swedish.

Sweden dropped from 96.5% Swedish in 1950 to 63.8% Swedish in 2026.

In 20 years Swedes will be minority.

📎 swenstone

🇾🇪❌🇸🇦 — NEW: Saudi Arabia’s General Authority of Civil Aviation says Abha International Airport and King Khalid International Airport in Riyadh were struck in separate Houthi (Ansarallah) attacks on Tuesday and Wednesday.

At Abha Airport, two women of Moroccan and Algerian nationality were killed and 28 people were injured, including Saudi citizens and Bangladeshi and Filipino residents.

At King Khalid Airport, a Sudanese resident was killed, and eight others were injured, including five Saudis, two Egyptians, and one Pakistani.

GACA said both attacks caused "some property damage." Authorities are assessing the damage and safety of the airport facilities.

🌀 🇺🇸 📍 Las Vegas is officially in the cone ahead of Hurricane Rachel

📎 Bryce Shelton

🌀 🇺🇸 📍 Chicago is officially in the cone ahead of Hurricane Isaias

📎 Bryce Shelton

🗳 🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The White House has asked the Pentagon to develop strike options against Iranian targets that could be exercised ahead of the midterms, according to two administration officials. -The Atlantic

https://www.theatlantic.com/national-security/2026/10/trump-iran-strike-midterms/688910/

https://archive.ph/5Em1d

📎 Faytuks News

🇪🇹 🇪🇷 🇪🇹 Several credible reports (including AFP and DW) confirm that Eritrean forces are not only inside Ethiopia but also expanding in northern and central Tigray, digging trenches and more.

In its attempt to create strategic depth in Ethiopia, the Eritrean government is making Ethio-Eritrea war a self-fulfilling prophecy.

https://www.chathamhouse.org/2026/10/war-has-returned-tigray-time-it-may-not-stay-ethiopia

📎 Abel Abate Demissie

🇰🇷❌🇺🇦 South Korea recalled its ambassador from Ukraine after Kiev failed to issue the requested apology to the South Korean government.

The ROK Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated however that it will keep a door open so that Kiev and Seoul may resolve this dispute in the future.

Recall that Ukraine violated a confidentiality agreement with South Korea over the repatriation of two DPRK prisoners, refused to take accountability and called the ROK ambassador a liar by denying they even signed such an agreement and refused to apologise for everything.

🔗 https://www.yna.co.kr/view/AKR20261008180000504?section=politics/all&site=topnews02

🇫🇷🇩🇪⛽️ France and Germany say diesel promise to Trump won’t require new stock release

The G7 pledge to release a further 100 million barrels of crude oil and fuel stocks to temper rising gas prices is being reframed by Paris and Berlin as part of a previous commitment made under the IEA back in March at the outset of the 3rd Gulf War when all IEA members pledged to release 400 million barrels of crude oil and fuel.

That 400 million barrel release commitment has still not been fulfilled as IEA member states are continuing releasing barrels of crude oil and fuel.

As many have noticed at the pump, those releases had virtually no effect on gas prices.

🔗 https://www.politico.eu/article/france-and-germany-say-diesel-promise-to-trump-wont-require-new-stock-release/

🇮🇷💰🛢 Kpler Suspects Gulf Producers Are Paying Iran for Safe Passage

Middle East crude exports have rebounded toward pre-war levels, but Brent remains near $100 as costly rerouting, tanker shortages, STS transfers and military escorts keep delivered oil expensive.

Analysts suspect Iran may be quietly collecting tolls for safe passage through Hormuz, potentially taking 10%–20% of some cargoes, although the claims remain unverified.

Any Iranian transit fees would face major legal and geopolitical challenges, while the Gulf’s vessel-intensive shuttle system continues to drive freight rates higher and tighten global tanker availability.

Kpler estimates Middle East crude and condensate exports averaged roughly 16.5 million barrels per day (bpd) in September and exceeded the pre-war average of 18 million bpd on several days during the final week of the month. That recovery has done surprisingly little to bring oil prices back down, as we noted earlier this week. Producers are moving more crude through alternative pipelines and ports, while tankers moving through Hormuz increasingly rely on U.S. military escorts and vessel-intensive chains of ship-to-ship (STS) transfers. Brent crude is still trading around $100 per barrel, nearly $30 per barrel above its pre-war level. Iran could be quietly collecting tolls from ships transiting through the Strait of Hormuz, with exporters passing on these costs to consumers. According to Michelle Brohard, head of policy and geopolitical risk at Kpler, certain Gulf nations could have quietly struck deals with Iran to keep their oil flowing on fears that they cannot rely indefinitely on Washington to keep Tehran at bay.

“I suspect there is a toll that’s being paid, which is giving these ships safe passage,” Brohard said in an interview with energy analyst Rory Johnston last week. “I also suspect that these countries know that this is unsustainable from a perspective of [the] US escorting [ships], and also unsustainable from them paying Iran 10 percent of their cargo, or 20 percent of their cargo. So you’re starting to see like what I would call like a race to get out as much as possible, as quickly as possible before the war restarts,” she added.

🔗 https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Kpler-Suspects-Gulf-Producers-Are-Paying-Iran-for-Safe-Passage.html