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๐Ÿฆ Bank of Japan raises rates tonight. What happens to BTC?

Drop your take in the comments โ€” the best argument wins 3 months of Telegram Premium ๐ŸŽ
Anonymous Poll
33%
๐Ÿ”ด Dumps hard - same as August 2024
20%
๐Ÿ“‰ Dips but recovers fast
30%
๐Ÿ˜ Nothing - already priced in
16%
๐Ÿš€ Short squeeze triggers a rally
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๐Ÿ”ฅ BULLISH: Standard Chartered predicts $UNI could surge 40x from $2.50 to $100 by end-2030, as tokenised assets in DeFi grow 37x.

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๐Ÿ”ฅ HUGE: Elon Musk's net worth surged $164.8B in a single trading day, pushing him to $1.3T.

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๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต BoJ to 1% but crypto didnโ€™t care this time. Hereโ€™s why:

The Bank of Japan hiked 25bp to 1.0% today, the highest since September 1995.

After this, Nikkei punched through 70,000 for the first time ever, USD/JPY held above 160, and BTC barely flinched at ~$66k.

In August 2024, a same-sized surprise hike dragged BTC from $65k to $50k in a week.

Four reasons the playbook broke:

1. The hike was already priced in. Polymarket sat at 98โ€“99% pre-meeting.

2. Carry is structurally smaller. The fast hedge-fund leg blew up in 2024, with net JPY shorts collapsing from ~180k to flat in 5 weeks. Todayโ€™s 145k shorts are extreme but hedged carry has been negative since mid-2022.

3. BTC is already low. 50% off October highs, $4.4B of ETF outflows over 13 sessions cleared the leverage.

4. Real rates remain deeply negative. The carry isnโ€™t dead, itโ€™s just no longer the marginal driver of BTC.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท TRUMP: "We are not investing any money in Iran."

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๐Ÿšจ JUST IN: Binance's EU MiCA license application is reportedly facing rejection, per Reuters.

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๐Ÿ”ฅ JUST IN: SpaceX overtakes Microsoft to become the world's fourth most valuable company by market cap.

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๐Ÿ”ฅ JUST IN: Coinbase to launch 1:1 backed tokenized U.S. stocks.

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Media is too big
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โ€œI think Saylor is a maniac.โ€

AltcoinDailyโ€™s Austin Arnold weighs in on Michael Saylor, Bitcoin, and where the market goes next.

Full interview drops in one hour.

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๐Ÿ”ฅ BIG: Elon Muskโ€™s net worth has reportedly surpassed the market capitalization of Bitcoin following SpaceXโ€™s explosive rally.

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๐Ÿšจ UPDATE: The U.S. will allow Iran to immediately resume oil sales and waive banking, transport, and insurance sanctions as part of the Trump-Iran peace deal, according to WSJ.
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