📈BTC Short-Term Analysis - Feb 02, 2026

✅ Trend: DOWNTREND (M15)

Current Price: 76,276 USDT - BTC is retesting Supply zone after sharp drop

Key Levels
Supply (Resistance): 77,000 - 78,500
Support: 74,560 - 75,000 | 69,000 - 70,000

Two Scenarios
Scenario 1: Rejection at Supply (Higher Probability)

- Price fails to break 77,000-78,500 → Continue dumping to 69,000 - 70,000

Scenario 2: Break Above Supply

- Price breaks 77,000-78,500 → Short-term pump to 82,000-83,500

- Note: Only a minor corrective wave, main trend remains bearish
​

Strategy
➡️ Main trend: BEARISH - Prioritize shorts at resistance levels

⚠️ Watch: H12 close below 78,000 → High probability dump to 69k-70k range

💎 Maintain strict risk management in this high-volatility period

🔥 MAJOR MARKET NEWS (FEB 02 – FEB 06, 2026)

ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Job Openings, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Claims, Average Hourly Earnings m/m, Non-Farm Employment Change, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment, Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations

⚠️ Trading Warning:
Expect high volatility and "price spikes" during the news release. Manage your trades strictly and wait for the market to confirm its direction

SCALP LONG $MORPHO (10x Leverage)

Entry Zone: $1.2512

Take Profit Targets:

- TP1: $1.2849

- TP2: $1.3290

- TP3: $1.3779

- TP4: $1.4222

Stop Loss: $1.1891

⚠️ Risk Management: Use maximum 5% of total portfolio per trade

Done TP1 + 23%, Close 20% Vol. Move SL to Be

💎 SCALP LONG | $UB/USDT
⚡️ Leverage: 7x

🎯 Entry Zone
$0.03323 - $0.03324

🚀 Take Profit Targets
- TP1: $0.03444
- TP2: $0.03608
- TP3: $0.03806

🛡 Stop Loss
$0.03142

⚠️ Risk Management
Maximum position size: 5% of total portfolio

📈 XAU/USD Analysis - Feb 03, 2026

💰 Current Price: 4,940 USD/oz
​

🎯 Market Status
Trend: STRONG UPTREND - Gold up 69.79% from lows
​
Current Level: Testing near 4,940-4,950 resistance

Value Area High: ~4,940 (from previous session)
​

📊 Two Scenarios
🟢 Scenario 1: Pullback Then Continue (Preferred)

Minor retracement to 4,900-4,920 support area

Then resume uptrend toward 5,000+
​

Healthy consolidation before next leg up

🟢 Scenario 2: Direct Breakout

No pullback - continue rising immediately
​

Break above 4,940-4,950 confirms strength
​

Target: 5,040+ extension
​

💡 Trading Strategy
✅ Uptrend intact - Buy-on-dip favored
​
🎯 Key support: 4,900-4,920 (strong buying zone)

📈 Resistance: 4,940-4,950 → Break opens 5,000+
​
💎 Momentum: Bullish structure remains strong

Done TP1 +26%, CLose 20%. Move SL to BE

TP2 Soon $UB, +57%. Close 30%. Move SL to BE

Done TP2 $UB +70%. Close 30% profit

Done TP3 😋 +110% $MERL, Close 20%. You can add TP4 to let profits run

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💎 SCALP LONG | $CVX/USDT
⚡️ Leverage: 7x

🎯 Entry Zone
$1.973 - $1.902

🚀 Take Profit Targets
TP1: $2.063
TP2: $2.188
TP3: $2.298
TP4: $2.412

🛡 Stop Loss
$1.832

⚠️ Risk Management
Maximum position size: 5% of total portfolio

XAU moon +1700 pips 🚀🚀🚀. Gold went according to my prediction yesterday, perhaps today gold will continue to rise to around the $5200 level

📈 BTC Quick Update - Feb 04, 2026

💰 Current Price: 76,549.5 USDT

📍 Market Structure
M15 Supply Zone: 80,700 - 82,000 (major resistance overhead)
M5 Trend: Bullish recovery in progress
Current Resistance: 77,000 - 77,500 (key decision zone)

🎯 Two Trading Setups

🟢 Scenario 1: LONG Setup (Preferred)

BTC is rising on M5 but currently at resistance

If price breaks above 77,500 → LONG bias activated

First target: Yesterday's high (~79,000+)

Extended target: M15 supply zone at 80,700 - 82,000

🔴 Scenario 2: SHORT Setup

Wait for rejection at current resistance zone

Enter short only if M5 structure breaks down

Lower risk/reward vs LONG setup

💡 Action Plan
⚠️ Critical level: Watch 77,000 - 77,500 resistance
💎 Breakout above = High probability move to yesterday's peak
📊 Don't chase - Wait for clear M5 confirmation before entry

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📈 GOLD (XAU/USD) Quick Update - Feb 04, 2026

💰 Current Price: 5,038.79 USD

📍 Market Structure
M15 Trend: Strong uptrend intact
Recent pullback: Just a correction wave - not a reversal
M5 Demand Zone: 5,010 - 5,026 (tested and holding)
Key Breakout Level: 5,055 (critical resistance)

🎯 Two Trading Setups

🟢 Scenario 1: LONG Setup (Preferred)

Price retested M5 demand and showing recovery

If gold breaks and confirms above 5,055 → LONG activated

First target: Today's high (~5,091)

Extended target: 5,150 - 5,200 range (major upside potential)

🔴 Scenario 2: SHORT Setup

Only if price fails at 5,055 and breaks below demand

Wait for clear M5 structure breakdown

Not recommended against the strong M15 uptrend

💡 Action Plan
⚠️ Watch 5,055 breakout level - This is the trigger zone
💎 M15 uptrend remains valid - Dips are buying opportunities
📊 Confirmation above 5,055 = High probability rally to 5,150 - 5,200
🎯 Stay patient - Let price break and confirm before entry

Prices rose as forecasted +200pips $XAU