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BIG | 🇱🇾🇹🇷‼️‼️ Libya’s eastern-based House of Representatives has reportedly approved the maritime agreement with Turkey, reversing years of opposition and signaling a major shift in relations between Ankara and the political camp backed by military commander Khalifa Haftar.

The agreement was originally signed in November 2019 between Turkey and Libya’s internationally recognized Government of National Accord in Tripoli. Libya has since remained divided between rival administrations, with the internationally recognized government led by Abdul Hamid Dbeibah in the west and a parallel administration supported by the House of Representatives and Haftar’s forces in the east. Eastern Libyan authorities had long opposed the agreement because Turkey supported their political and military rivals. The reported approval therefore represents a significant departure from their previous position.

The decision could substantially strengthen Turkey’s strategic position in the Eastern Mediterranean, where maritime boundaries and rights to offshore energy resources remain disputed. More importantly, closer relations with Haftar’s camp would allow Ankara to expand its influence beyond western Libya and potentially develop deeper military and economic cooperation with both sides of the country’s political divide. This shift could also reshape regional diplomatic calculations involving Greece, Egypt, and other Mediterranean powers.

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Open Source Intel
Footage released by Houthis shows its fighters capturing Jabal Han, west of Taiz, after heavy clashes with forces loyal to Yemen's Presidential Leadership Council. The mountain is now reportedly under Houthi control. https://x.com/OSINTWarfare/status/2112538447189565775/video/1
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Nuno Felix
Excellent, one less…

My son has 'disappeared off the face of the earth' fighting for Russia https://bbc.in/3U74ABx
- BBC News (World)
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Open Source Intel
Multiple Israeli artillery attacks and strikes reported across southern Lebanon, targeting the areas of Barashit, Mifdun and Qantara. https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2112543682784346144/photo/1
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Nuno Felix
RT @Restitutor_: Holy moly 🧵

‼️ Leaked AfD emails show party bosses approving money for lawyers to stop a story, a "legal way out" pitched to Alice Weidel, a 2,000-name list of "antifascists" and a candidate who bugged a bedroom with an Alexa.

A call for an armed Reichstag takeover.

The 12 biggest finds 🧵 https://twitter.com/IntCyberDigest/status/2112292377285320828/photo/1
- International Cyber Digest
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OSINT
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Status-6
RT @JohnH105: Last week the HUR said Russia is developing a version of the Kinzhal missile that swaps out the penetrating HE warhead for an HE frag warhead, likely because the latter requires less accuracy. According to HUR, Russia had suspended Kinzhal production at least partly due to accuracy issues and shifted resources to 9M723 Iskander production (see below).

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/10/12/8057546/index.amp

HUR deputy head Vadym Skibitskyi says Russia is currently exceeding its monthly production targets for key missiles.
- Monthly target for 9M723 Iskander is 60, but produced 65 in July.
- July and August production targets for Kh-101 = 72 missiles per month, but produced 87 in July.
- July and August production targets for Kalibr = 26 missiles per month, but produced 29 in July.
- Reached annual target for Tsirkon (33 missiles) and Oniks (60 missiles) in seven months. Oniks was upgraded to accuracy against ground targets and to increase range and warhead.
- Fulfilled July target for Kh-35 by 200%
- August production target for RM-48U is ~40 missiles. Estimated stockpile of 400 missiles. Mach 6 velocity.

Russia achieved this increase in production partly by simplifying quality-control requirements and by “suspending” [or just reducing?] production of Kh-32 and Kinzhal since April. For more details on decrease in Kinzhal production: https://x.com/JohnH105/status/2062596899102703956). “They had been working to improve the accuracy of the Kh-32. However, the results of several combat tests showed that they were unable to do so, so the Russians sent the missiles back for further development and suspended their serial production. They have similar issues with Kinzhal missiles. We can hardly recall a case when this missile hit its target accurately. For an effective missile, the deviation from the target should not exceed 5-7 meters, while theirs is 30 meters or more.”

The Russians "are not really drawing down their stockpiles. Almost everything being used now is coming straight off the production line. The only exception is the Kalibr missiles - most of them are currently being allocated to other Russian fleets, since all new Russian warships and submarines are equipped with these systems. In effect, those missiles are going into reserve stockpiles... According to military intelligence, as of August 5, the stockpile allocated to the Russian military grouping stood at around 130 9M723 missiles."

Russia launched 61 ballistic missiles in April, 107 in May, 134 in June, and 198 in July. For cruise missiles, July ranked second in 2026 (with 153) behind February (157). Russia began using more Banderol and Dan-T this year. 

Russian barrages are currently focused on 1) Ukraine’s defense industry (particularly ballistic missile and UAS production) and 2) logistics (railways, port infrastructure, shipping, Rozetka/Nova Poshta, etc). Moscow also seeks to destabilize Kyiv politically, coupling strikes with information operations saying Ukrainian authorities cannot defend the country. 

https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/interview/d-1786341590.html
- John Hardie
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BIG | 🇮🇱🇸🇾‼️‼️ Israeli forces are reportedly establishing a military installation on Jabal al-Arab in Syria’s southern Suwayda province, potentially including advanced radar systems and surveillance equipment.

A local source told Syria 360 that dozens of Israeli military helicopters had transported substantial quantities of weapons, equipment, and advanced technology to the mountainous area over the past 72 hours. According to the report, the operation is intended to support the construction of a military base near the summit. Local Druze authorities have also reportedly prohibited civilians from approaching the facilities or taking photographs. The reported deployment and construction activities have not been independently verified.

A military installation on Jabal al-Arab could provide Israel with a strategically valuable position for monitoring southern Syria and detecting potential aerial threats. The mountainous terrain would offer advantages for radar coverage, surveillance, and early warning capabilities. A permanent Israeli military presence in the area, however, would also raise serious questions about Syrian sovereignty and could further complicate the already fragile security situation in southern Syria.

See the latest updates with us: @visionergeo
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Open Source Intel
Trump on Iran:

We could win the war tomorrow.

Frankly, we could leave today
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Open Source Intel
Lebanese sources to Al Hadath:

Hezbollah raising the threat ceiling will not deter the state from performing its duty as much as it can.

There are those in Hezbollah who do not understand that its members are under the authority of the law.
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Open Source Intel
Israeli Defense Minister Katz: "If Hezbollah joins an Iranian attack on Israel, it will be dealt a severe blow."

He said the IDF is ready to push into more territory near Nabatieh and the Litani, ground that would be emptied of residents and folded permanently into Israel's security zone in Lebanon.
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Open Source Intel
Pakistan's Foreign Minister:

mediation efforts to ease tensions between Tehran and Washington are ongoing.

ISNA
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Open Source Intel
Trump:

Already our prices are much lower.

By the way, our oil is much lower. Food prices have come way down. The groceries, so to speak, have come way down.
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BIG | 🇺🇦🇷🇺‼️ Ukraine says the city of Dobropillia remains firmly under Ukrainian control, rejecting Russian claims that its forces have captured the strategically important city in Donetsk Oblast.

According to Kyrylo Budanov, the commander of Russia’s Central Grouping of Forces is providing Vladimir Putin with misleading battlefield reports while assigning unrealistic objectives to subordinate units in an effort to claim the capture of Dobropillia at any cost. Budanov emphasized that Ukrainian defense forces continue holding their positions and that Moscow’s claims do not reflect the situation on the ground.

Russia’s attempts to portray Dobropillia as captured highlight the growing importance of battlefield narratives alongside military operations. Ukrainian forces continue defending the area, while unsupported Russian claims of territorial gains risk creating a misleading picture of the actual frontline situation.

See the latest updates with us: @visionergeo
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Open Source Intel
Qatar and Pakistan have presented Washington with a new proposal: $6 billion in frozen Iranian funds released in exchange for IAEA inspector access to Iran's nuclear sites. Both the American and Iranian sides are said to be receptive. The proposal surfaced during the Pakistani army chief's visit to Tehran, per Al-Araby Al-Jadeed.
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: BIG | 🇺🇦🇷🇺‼️ Ukrainian forces under General Andrii Biletskyi have halted Russian advances along the Sloviansk–Kramatorsk axis and launched counteroffensive operations after stabilizing a critical section of the frontline.

According to Biletskyi, commander of Ukraine’s Center Group of Forces, improved coordination between the 3rd and 11th Army Corps has enabled Ukrainian troops to stabilize a strategically important sector and transition from defensive operations to offensive action.

“This is a key sector at this stage of the war, accounting for 26% of the entire frontline. In other words, every fourth kilometer of the front is now directly under our group’s responsibility,” Biletskyi stated.

He also reported positive operational developments across all three corps operating under his command.

🔥 Stabilizing the Sloviansk–Kramatorsk axis is strategically significant because the area forms part of Ukraine’s remaining defensive network in Donetsk Oblast. Improved coordination between Ukrainian corps could strengthen defensive resilience, enable more effective deployment of reserves and create opportunities for localized counterattacks. The reported transition to offensive operations suggests that Ukrainian commanders are seeking not only to contain Russian advances but also to regain the battlefield initiative in selected sectors.

See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: BIG | 🇺🇦🇷🇺‼️ General Kyrylo Budanov has firmly rejected Russian claims of advances into Dobropillia, declaring that the city remains under Ukrainian control and that any suggestion of its capture by Russian forces is unfounded.

Budanov, head of Ukraine’s Presidential Office, accused the commander of Russia’s Central Group of Forces of providing misleading information to Vladimir Putin while assigning unrealistic objectives to subordinate units. According to Budanov, the Russian commander is attempting to report the capture of Dobropillia at any cost, regardless of the actual battlefield situation. He emphasized that Ukrainian Defense Forces continue to hold their positions and that false Russian declarations cannot change the reality on the ground.

🔥 Control of Dobropillia remains strategically important to Ukrainian defensive operations in the Donetsk region. Budanov’s allegations also raise questions about the reliability of battlefield reporting within Russia’s military command structure. Inflated territorial claims and unrealistic operational objectives can create additional pressure on frontline formations, while the actual military situation ultimately depends on territorial control rather than official declarations.

See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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