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OSINTdefender
Middle East oil flows averaged more than 24 million barrels per day (BPD) in the week through October 18th, above the prewar average of 23.3 million BPD, according to Kpler ship tracking data reported by The Wall Street Journal.
To accomplish this, tankers load inside the Persian Gulf and run through the Strait of Hormuz, often with their automatic identification system (AIS) off and under U.S. air cover along Oman’s coast, then transfer cargo to other ships near Oman before returning. That route moved about 14 million barrels a day, or 82% of prewar levels, in preliminary figures. Pipelines across Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and other alternative routes carry the rest of the regional total, or up to 10 million BPD. Kpler estimates about 40% of non Iranian Gulf crude oil bypassed the strait in September, up from 17% before the war.
The Journal counts about 30 attacks on ships this month. Brent crude was around $108 a barrel yesterday.
Source: https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/more-oil-is-now-coming-out-of-the-persian-gulf-than-before-the-iran-war-6a6d1670
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Middle East oil flows averaged more than 24 million barrels per day (BPD) in the week through October 18th, above the prewar average of 23.3 million BPD, according to Kpler ship tracking data reported by The Wall Street Journal.
To accomplish this, tankers load inside the Persian Gulf and run through the Strait of Hormuz, often with their automatic identification system (AIS) off and under U.S. air cover along Oman’s coast, then transfer cargo to other ships near Oman before returning. That route moved about 14 million barrels a day, or 82% of prewar levels, in preliminary figures. Pipelines across Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and other alternative routes carry the rest of the regional total, or up to 10 million BPD. Kpler estimates about 40% of non Iranian Gulf crude oil bypassed the strait in September, up from 17% before the war.
The Journal counts about 30 attacks on ships this month. Brent crude was around $108 a barrel yesterday.
Source: https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/more-oil-is-now-coming-out-of-the-persian-gulf-than-before-the-iran-war-6a6d1670
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Open Source Intel
A Russian Su-30SM multirole fighter has crashed in the Chernyakhovsk district of Kaliningrad Oblast. Both crew members ejected.
https://x.com/OSINTWarfare/status/2112885532925587838/video/1
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A Russian Su-30SM multirole fighter has crashed in the Chernyakhovsk district of Kaliningrad Oblast. Both crew members ejected.
https://x.com/OSINTWarfare/status/2112885532925587838/video/1
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Nuno Felix
RT @FaytuksNetwork: The WSJ reports that the Kremlin warned Berlin through a back channel that the failed August attack on Leipzig-Halle Airport would not be the last.
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RT @FaytuksNetwork: The WSJ reports that the Kremlin warned Berlin through a back channel that the failed August attack on Leipzig-Halle Airport would not be the last.
German officials reportedly considered invoking NATO’s Article 5 collective-defense clause if the August drone attack on Leipzig-Halle Airport had caused mass casualties, the WSJ says. tweet
X (formerly Twitter)
Faytuks Network (@FaytuksNetwork) on X
German officials reportedly considered invoking NATO’s Article 5 collective-defense clause if the August drone attack on Leipzig-Halle Airport had caused mass casualties, the WSJ says.
Nuno Felix
Solution: Berlin allows KSK some leeway in transferring some people back to Russia…..
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Solution: Berlin allows KSK some leeway in transferring some people back to Russia…..
The WSJ reports that the Kremlin warned Berlin through a back channel that the failed August attack on Leipzig-Halle Airport would not be the last. tweet
X (formerly Twitter)
Faytuks Network (@FaytuksNetwork) on X
The WSJ reports that the Kremlin warned Berlin through a back channel that the failed August attack on Leipzig-Halle Airport would not be the last.
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Nuno Felix
RT @slantchev: Another Mearsheimer fan. Their confidence is only rivaled by how wrong they are.
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RT @slantchev: Another Mearsheimer fan. Their confidence is only rivaled by how wrong they are.
German AfD Leader Alice Weidel:
There is a history of NATO's encroachment toward the Russian border. Russia emphasized this problem several times.
Why did nobody listen to Russian concerns when missile systems were being placed near its borders, especially in Romania, capable of carrying nuclear devices? tweet
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Nuno Felix
The puppet of the Kremlin speaks
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The puppet of the Kremlin speaks
German AfD Leader Alice Weidel:
There is a history of NATO's encroachment toward the Russian border. Russia emphasized this problem several times.
Why did nobody listen to Russian concerns when missile systems were being placed near its borders, especially in Romania, capable of carrying nuclear devices? tweet
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Nuno Felix
RT @BulwarkOnline: Trump says Russia has been “fine” on Ukraine while Putin bombs civilians and abducts Ukrainian children.
@michaeldweiss and @Mpolymer unload on Trump's grotesque whitewashing of Russian atrocities:
"The worst fucking piece of shit on the planet." https://twitter.com/BulwarkOnline/status/2112737151028711699/video/1
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RT @BulwarkOnline: Trump says Russia has been “fine” on Ukraine while Putin bombs civilians and abducts Ukrainian children.
@michaeldweiss and @Mpolymer unload on Trump's grotesque whitewashing of Russian atrocities:
"The worst fucking piece of shit on the planet." https://twitter.com/BulwarkOnline/status/2112737151028711699/video/1
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Open Source Intel
Germany’s Chancellor Merz:
My biggest concern at the moment is not our economy, is not the European Union, is not America, is not China.
My biggest concern is the impact of Russia on our society and how they are succeeding in destabilizing our societies.
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Germany’s Chancellor Merz:
My biggest concern at the moment is not our economy, is not the European Union, is not America, is not China.
My biggest concern is the impact of Russia on our society and how they are succeeding in destabilizing our societies.
For the first time, the Bundeswehr has rated the risk of Russian sabotage against its own troops and facilities as "significant," the second-highest level on its internal scale.
Behind the shift: a crashed drone carrying highly explosive material, found in mid-September just metres from an aircraft at Wunstorf airbase in Lower Saxony. BKA technical analysis indicates it may have been lying near the base for roughly two years. Investigators believe the target was military aircraft, not civilian ones.
The assessment says Moscow almost certainly has the capability and very likely a growing intent to hit German military sites and Ukrainian personnel in Germany.
WDR and Süddeutsche Zeitung. tweet
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Open Source Intel (@Osint613) on X
For the first time, the Bundeswehr has rated the risk of Russian sabotage against its own troops and facilities as "significant," the second-highest level on its internal scale.
Behind the shift:…
Behind the shift:…
OSINT
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Visioner
RT @NSTRIKE1231: BIG | 🇺🇦🇷🇺‼️ Ukrainian forces have pushed Russian troops back near Dobropillia in Donetsk Oblast following a joint operation by the Skelia Regiment and the Azov Corps.
Russian forces had reportedly been concentrating troops in the area in an attempt to reach key Ukrainian supply routes, create conditions for the encirclement of Druzhkivka, and continue their advance toward Dobropillia.
According to the Ukrainian report, coordinated operations near Hruzke and Novomykolaivka forced Russian troops to retreat from their positions.
🔥 Russia’s push toward Dobropillia is about more than capturing another town. Moscow is trying to threaten Ukrainian logistics and put additional pressure on the wider Donetsk defensive line. Pushing Russian troops back around Hruzke and Novomykolaivka disrupts those plans and gives Ukrainian defenders more room to hold their positions. Maintaining that pressure will be essential to preventing Russia from turning local advances into a broader breakthrough.
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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RT @NSTRIKE1231: BIG | 🇺🇦🇷🇺‼️ Ukrainian forces have pushed Russian troops back near Dobropillia in Donetsk Oblast following a joint operation by the Skelia Regiment and the Azov Corps.
Russian forces had reportedly been concentrating troops in the area in an attempt to reach key Ukrainian supply routes, create conditions for the encirclement of Druzhkivka, and continue their advance toward Dobropillia.
According to the Ukrainian report, coordinated operations near Hruzke and Novomykolaivka forced Russian troops to retreat from their positions.
🔥 Russia’s push toward Dobropillia is about more than capturing another town. Moscow is trying to threaten Ukrainian logistics and put additional pressure on the wider Donetsk defensive line. Pushing Russian troops back around Hruzke and Novomykolaivka disrupts those plans and gives Ukrainian defenders more room to hold their positions. Maintaining that pressure will be essential to preventing Russia from turning local advances into a broader breakthrough.
See the latest updates with us: @NSTRIKE1231
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Open Source Intel
Fire and explosions were seen at the Iranian Aluminium Company (IRALCO) plant in Arak on Tuesday, according to footage circulating online.
Arak's governor, Abdoreza Hajialibeigi denied reports of an explosion in line 6 of the factory:
“There was no explosion. Just smoke and steam, following a “technical” incident.” https://x.com/mhmiranusa/status/2112884755687469108/video/1
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Fire and explosions were seen at the Iranian Aluminium Company (IRALCO) plant in Arak on Tuesday, according to footage circulating online.
Arak's governor, Abdoreza Hajialibeigi denied reports of an explosion in line 6 of the factory:
“There was no explosion. Just smoke and steam, following a “technical” incident.” https://x.com/mhmiranusa/status/2112884755687469108/video/1
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WarTranslated
During the meeting with Witkoff, Putin added that in addition to diesel, Russia could also supply fertilizers to the United States. This is also a manipulation targeted at American farmers, whose support Trump is losing as well.
So, are we to expect new exemptions from US sanctions?
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During the meeting with Witkoff, Putin added that in addition to diesel, Russia could also supply fertilizers to the United States. This is also a manipulation targeted at American farmers, whose support Trump is losing as well.
So, are we to expect new exemptions from US sanctions?
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Open Source Intel
Some more unverified videos from ships that may have been involved in the attack early this morning attack. Current reports from locals in the region suggest atleast three tankers may have been targeted.
Contributed by: @live_ais_com https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2112897246249550164/video/1
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Some more unverified videos from ships that may have been involved in the attack early this morning attack. Current reports from locals in the region suggest atleast three tankers may have been targeted.
Contributed by: @live_ais_com https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2112897246249550164/video/1
Early reports indicate that there may be as many as 3 vessels involved with the incident. UNVERIFIED footage from one of the tankers suggest it may have been drone(s). https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2112881243314667706/video/1 tweet
OSINTdefender
According to U.S. President Donald J. Trump, Stephen Hubbard, a 74 year old U.S. citizen living in Ukraine, who was taken from his home by Russian soldiers when Izium, Ukraine fell, was released by Russia and is on his way home. Per the president, nothing was given to Russia by the U.S. in order to secure his release, but minutes later the president claimed that the sanctions waivers given to Russia were implemented to ensure Hubbard’s release, directly contradicting his prior statements.
Analyst Comment:
It should be noted that, despite President Trump’s statements to the contrary, it’s unlikely that Hubbard’s release was the driver for the implementation of sanctions waivers, instead being the administration’s wider efforts to alleviate the oil and gas markets from the conflict in the Middle East
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According to U.S. President Donald J. Trump, Stephen Hubbard, a 74 year old U.S. citizen living in Ukraine, who was taken from his home by Russian soldiers when Izium, Ukraine fell, was released by Russia and is on his way home. Per the president, nothing was given to Russia by the U.S. in order to secure his release, but minutes later the president claimed that the sanctions waivers given to Russia were implemented to ensure Hubbard’s release, directly contradicting his prior statements.
Analyst Comment:
It should be noted that, despite President Trump’s statements to the contrary, it’s unlikely that Hubbard’s release was the driver for the implementation of sanctions waivers, instead being the administration’s wider efforts to alleviate the oil and gas markets from the conflict in the Middle East
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