Implied volatility across all strikes is now sitting near multi-year lows—even below summer 2023 levels 📉🔴. Compression is no longer isolated to short-dated maturities but is visible across the full volatility surface 💪.

The options market is pricing in very little expectation of large directional moves, with subdued positioning and hedging demand now broad-based ⚡️🎯👀.

#BTC WEEKLY TF UPDATE:

#BTC experienced a sharp sell-off this week, reaching all the way down to the key support area. The price rejected the zone, and we expect it to hold. However, due to the sharp downward momentum, the chances of a reversal are very low, so stay away from early longs.

#US30 UPDATE:

#US30 is struggling to move higher and is moving sideways after hitting new all-time highs. The index has retraced slightly and is expected to drop to the support area around 49,600. Looking at the momentum, if the price sustains above the 50,000 mark, we can expect an all-time high this week.

Strategy has acquired 1,550 BTC for $101 million to increase our $BTC Reserve to ₿845,256. We have also increased our USD Reserve by $100 million to $1.0 billion. 🚀📈

Bitcoin’s recent 13% decline has pushed the price well below the True Market Mean ($77.8k), a key level that often separates bull and bear market conditions. At around $67k, Bitcoin is now trading between the True Market Mean and the Realized Price ($53.9k), reinforcing the current bearish market structure.
The Short-Term Holder Cost Basis ($76.4k) has also fallen below the True Market Mean, a pattern last seen in early 2022. This suggests newer investors are buying at lower prices, reflecting weaker market sentiment and increasing pressure on investor confidence.

#BTC is slowly retracing toward the major resistance area after being tapped from the major support zone. Price is also forming a small bear flag pattern and may dip back to major support, potentially forming a double bottom as well.

#GOLD failed to complete the pattern and flipped below support, now moving through the area as a retest. Price can still go lower and is expected to reach around $4,245 - $4,251. Take a short in LTF after the retest.

Price pulling back toward $67K — approaching the lower band of supply accumulated since February 📉🔴. Short-term holders who bought between $78K–$82K near local top now facing immediate pressure as unrealized gains compress toward breakeven 💪.

Whether they hold or capitulate will determine if current levels absorb selling or give way to a deeper leg down ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC broke the flag pattern and started moving lower, expected to reach the major support drawn. Don't rush for buys and let the market stabilize.

#BTC.D UPDATE:

#BTC.D retraced this week and is again slowly bending lower. The index can fall further lower, but #BTC also remains stable. Do not jump in early to execute trades; instead, wait for clarity in the market.

Here's the analysis of #EDEN:

#EDEN kept holding the supporting trendline and, after seeing solid rejection from the key resistance, looks bearish as of now and is starting to break. Take shorts; selling can be good enough after an LTF closure.

#BTC is moving sideways between the two major levels. It is not a good position for any openings; however, we need to wait for more clarity in the market.

#SAGA has dropped 35.75% in profits. The price is still near the same level and may go to a new lower low soon. Book a decent amount of profit here and let the runner run.

#BTC rally stalled almost precisely at aggregate #SpotETF cost basis near $83K — previous support flipping into clear #Resistance 📉🔴. Underwater ETF investors using recovery to exit at breakeven, supply outweighing new demand 💪.

ETF cost basis remains a key level to watch — decisive reclaim puts average ETF investor back in profit and improves sentiment. Until then, ETF positioning remains a headwind with investors de-risking into strength ⚡️🎯👀

#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE:

#BITCOIN has been sideways all week following the rejection at support. Liquidity was swept from the previous lower lows, and the price is slowly making higher highs and higher lows internally. A small range break is needed.