#BTC gave the shallow break of the small channel moving up towards the resistance area too. Still the market is very slow, so more waiting is needed.

#BTC.D retraced and is back to the pattern break, and now it is more prone to move up towards the resistance area at 59.90% - 59.94%. This means altcoins can see a drop in price again, so hold the shorting opportunity.

Beneath the surface, capital keeps choosing the leader. Every altcoin tier has spent years falling against Bitcoin, and that long bleed flattened out this spring into the most constructive altcoin floor of the downtrend. Over the past week the slide quietly resumed, small caps giving ground against BTC as the market pushed higher.

That is the healthy version of the rotation. Bitcoin-led advances concentrate capital in the asset with the deepest bid before strength spills outward; alt-led strength this early in a repair is usually froth. The floor holding while Bitcoin leads is the sequence a durable recovery wants.

#BTC slowly moved into the resistance area. It is now at a decision point: it could be rejected from the zone, or a clear weekly candle close could be really good for the bullish intention.

#BANANA is forming a bull flag pattern following the break of the downtrend channel pattern. Now, place stops in the break of the pattern and take the long and short positions depending on the closing side.

Smart money is buying this bear market. Retail is selling into it.

BTC whale balances climbed to ~3.06M coins through 2026, accumulating as price broke below $60K.

ETH shows a clear split: large cohorts (10k+) at record highs, while smaller wallets keep distributing.

BTC and XRP are trading near realized price, ETH is already below it, the zone that's historically marked cycle lows.

#BTC again experienced a short-term rejection from the resistance area, and a move lower may be imminent. However, anticipating this too early would be premature; wait for the candlestick confirmation on the Daily TF.

#SNX gave a break of the consolidation and formed the small range there too. Its a sign for short-selling but market is trying to sustaining at the bottom of the range. If it break the small range too (Blue Box) then get into the short positions too.

Last week Bitcoin outran the equity indices, absorbing an oil shock that left stocks flat and finishing ahead of both. That relative strength has faded. Bitcoin spent this week sliding while US and European stocks sat still, and the break came on Monday: from that session onward it has not been level with stocks again. Oil gave last week's spike back and ended the week the weakest of the four.

One week of relative weakness is not a regime change. It does take away one of the few things this market had going for it through the June repair, when Bitcoin was being bought on days equities did nothing.

#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE:

#BITCOIN has slowly retraced the entire week, moving up and up, still following the range with nothing happening. Nothing can be anticipated here; we need to wait for the price to move in either direction or for clarity.

#BTC WEEKLY TF UPDATE:

#BTC is still moving sideways, bounded within the Weekly Key area. This means we need to wait an additional week to see a breakout of the zone.

#US30 UPDATE:

#US30 is moving as per the plan and has reached a new all-time high, up around 3%. Hold your positions if you have taken longs and are expecting a new ATH.

Strategy increased its USD Reserve by $650M and repurchased $109M of $STRC. This increased USD Duration by 143 days to 2.7 yrs and tightened STRC's BTC Credit by 10 bps. As of 8/9/26, we hold ₿840,447 in our BTC Reserve and $4.65B in our USD Reserve.

The FOMC decides today, and the bond market has already made up its mind. The 2-year Treasury yield, the cleanest read on where policy goes next, has been sitting above the Federal Funds Rate since April, and the gap is the widest it has been since November 2022. That is not the pricing of a market waiting for a cut; it leans toward the next move being a hike.

A cut today would surprise most of that positioning, and it would sit naturally alongside the soft core inflation print this report flagged last week. The reaction would matter more than the move: should the market fail to hold a bid on good news it was not expecting, that would say more about the absence of a marginal buyer than the decision itself.

#BTC goes sideways and dropped hard and strongly yesterday at the NY Open. Price is still unclear and there is not much to do here. LTF turns bearish; now we can expect a short-term drop in the market.

#GOLD showed a triangle pattern breakout and a sideways market breakout. Price provided an entry opportunity and moved into profit. Price can still move higher, and a re-entry could be possible.

#BTC attempting to move back up towards the resistance area again, might be on the verge of breaking the zone. Once the zone is flipped and the weekly candle closes, this could be a good sign for the bullish move to start. We'll see additional confirmation on the way to be strong on bias.