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The Value Odd Club project was operational in this channel since 2016 providing tips, model outputs and analysis on football, tennis and baseball. With main focus on football over the last three years.
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🌍 FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022
Info on odds movement

Tunisia - France (16h00)
One hour before the game started the odds were at 1.45 for France to win and went live at 1.65 for France.
This shift is mainly due to lineups as France is playing with 9 subs of which half haven't played in the World Cup yet.
On the other side, Tunisia is also playing with about half their team as subs or players that haven't tried the Qatar pitches.

With Tunisia's lineup priority in experienced defenders and goalkeeper, the market "Total Goals - Under" might be good to explore for the first half or until minute 70.
Follow the game live to reduce risk.

🌍 FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022
(25') Australia 0-0 Denmark
URL: https://statsnbet.com/match/87713

Denmark pressure indicator is quite high. Not many chances created but accumulated expected goals of 0.20
Australia has a very high conversion rate as they scored from very few chances, mainly against Tunisia.
Denmark looking good to take the win at current momentum.

Suggestions:
▪️Half-Time » Asian Handicap -0.25 Denmark @ 2.05
OR
▪️Total Goals First Half Over 0.5 @ 1.77
⛔️

Analysis was correct with the suggestion for Under Goals getting applied and France lineup showing a good impact on the game. Tunisia takes the win 1-0. ✅

Although quite a few chances for Denmark on the first half. Australia organised and balanced the game a bit more even without much possession. Australia takes the win 1-0.

🌍 FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022
(30') Canada 0-2 Marocco
URL: https://statsnbet.com/match/87842

With Canada out of the World Cup in the group phase and Marocco scoring two goals with accumulated expected goals of 0.35 not much is expected of the game.

Suggestions:
▪️Total Goals Under 4 @ 1.6 ✅

🌍 FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022
18'
Argentina 0-0 Croatia
URL:
https://statsnbet.com/match/91489

Croatia showing a lot of quality in holding the ball and playing the possession game.
Argentina struggling to get the ball.
No chances or any danger so far as none of the teams are willing to risk.
This game is good for unders, but the Goals Market for unders seems a bit too much explored already.
Corners and Cards unders are a good option.

Suggestions:
▪️Total Corners First Half Under 3.5 @ 1.60 ⛔️
▪️Total Yellow Cards First Half Under 0.5 @ 2.45 ⛔️

3 Corners after minute 38
2 Yellow Cards on the Penalty

Argentina takes the win by 3 to nil.
The penalty condicionted the game as there were no dangerous chances and no shots on target until the penalty that opened the scoreboard for Argentina.
Croatia reacted well to the goal but a few minutes after the penalty Alvarez scores a goal on a counter after winning three rebounds 😁.
Croatia has a good team, but misses quality when getting closer to the opponent's goal.
Croatia was trying to reduce and gave a lot of spaces to Messi, as an experienced and football genius he took advantage of that and had a beautiful display on the second half.

Argentina will play the final versus Morocco or France.
The opponent will be known tomorrow, game starts at 19h00 GMT.

🌍 FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022
France vs Morocco
URL: https://statsnbet.com/match/91597

Morocco is showing us this world cup that possession doesn't really matter when it comes to winning a game. Regragui (Morocco's coach) even openly admited he doesn't care about having possession or chances as long as they win their games.

Let's take a quick peek at their past few games this world cup:

Morocco vs Portugal -> 27% possession
Morocco vs Spain -> 23% possession
Canada vs Morocco -> 41% possession
Belgium vs Morocco -> 33% possession
Morocco vs Croatia -> 35% possession

Looking at this we can conclude that Morocco prefer to not have possession against 'theoretical stronger' opponents.

Thus I suggest the following pick for tonight's game:
▪️France to have over 64.5% possession @ 1.89 ⛔️

Morocco, truly an example for all teams in this competition.
An early goal by France forced them to change their strategy and they did very well... effort, dedication and very good transitions.
The Atlas Lions played head to head with France and had a few chances to draw the game.
France wins two to nil, but the performance of the current world cup champions will not stay long in our memories.

The final is defined:
Argentina - France

INPLAY Australian A-league, Australia
Brisbane Roar (1-1) Western Sydney Wanderers
o4 Brisbane Roar Corners @ 1.65 ✅
Stake 1%

INPLAY English Premier League, England
Brentford (2-1) Tottenham
u7.5 Brentford Corners @ 1.5 ✅
Stake 1%

INPLAY English Premier League, England
Leicester (0-2) Newcastle
u10.5 Total Corners @ 1.64 ✅
Stake 1%

INPLAY English Championship, England
Cardiff (0-0) QPR
o6.5 Total Corners @ 1.72 ✅
Stake 1%

INPLAY English Premier League, England
Arsenal (0-1) West Ham United
Arsenal or Draw @ 1.5 ✅
Stake 1%

INPLAY English Premier League, England
Chelsea (2-0) Bournemouth
u5.5 Chelsea Corners @ 1.58 ❌
Stake 1%

INPLAY French Ligue 1, France
Auxerre (0-0) AS Monaco
o4.5 AS Monaco Corners @ 1.52 ❌
Stake 1%

INPLAY Turkish Super Lig, Turkey
Sivasspor (0-1) Galatasaray
Galatasaray Wins on Corners @ 2.1
✅
Stake 1%