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Crypto analyst Dan Gambardello has announced a change in his view on the “four-year cycle” approach, long considered a fundamental point of reference in Bitcoin and the crypto market. Gambardello, who for years used the four-year cycle linked to Bitcoin halving events in his analyses, stated that he now believes the crypto market is primarily influenced by global economic expansion and contraction patterns, rather than a calendar cycle.
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Have you checked your allocation
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Forwarded from Watcher Guru
FUN FACT: 10 years ago today, Bitcoin was $612

@WatcherGuru
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Payments and asset transfers could settle together under a pending $XRP Ledger (XRPL) upgrade, reducing the risk that only part of a trade completes. The change implements XLS-56, the standard for grouped execution. Its corrected version, BatchV1_1, replaces an earlier implementation after a security flaw was discovered.
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In the past week, DogeOS launched a public test network for Ethereum-style trading, lending and other applications using $DOGE, an attempt to give Dogecoin holders more ways to use their coins beyond payments and price speculation.

Dogecoin Foundation director Timothy Stebbing highlighted this milestone in a recent X post, noting an "absolute avalanche" of new projects building on the Doge/EVM chain.
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Aave’s [$AAVE] recent pullback from its latest high of approximately $188 is in fact testing the breakout responsible for the run-up in price at this level. The price of Aave initially sliced past $176 after hitting a new high of $188 before retracing back down towards $180.51.

In other words, the price of Aave remained above previous resistance. This makes this significant since a break below $176 will be the first opportunity for the buyers to demonstrate if they can maintain the recent gains.

On the other hand, the rising trendline connecting the large lower highs since the 16th of September, when the token bottomed near $111, continues to indicate a biased upward structure.
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$XRP has recovered to around $1.50 on Oct. 4 as buyers defend $1.45 support and the $XRP Ledger approaches two possible protocol activations on Oct. 8 and Oct. 9.

CoinGecko shows $XRP trading near $1.50, up roughly 1% over 24 hours but down about 2.5% during the past seven days. Its market capitalization stands near $94.7 billion, while 24-hour trading volume is close to $1.02 billion.

The token has struggled to extend its late-September recovery. CoinGecko historical data put $XRP at $1.57 on Sept. 25 before it slipped to $1.48 on Oct. 2 and $1.49 on Oct. 3.
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Best Altcoins To Buy And Hold Till 2030: Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick Names Top 4


Standard Chartered’s head of digital assets research, Geoffrey Kendrick, says tokenization is now “100% locked in.”

As traditional finance moves on-chain, he expects four altcoins to capture a large share of the money that follows:

- Uniswap ($UNI),
- Aave ($AAVE),
- Morpho (MORPHO)
- and Arbitrum ($ARB).
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Solana price has entered October near $121 after gaining 14.6% in September, leaving a break above 124–125 as the main technical condition for extending the recovery toward $148.

According to CoinGecko, $SOL trades around $121.27 on Oct. 4, up roughly 1.6% over 24 hours but down 2.5% over seven days. Its market capitalization stands near $71.3 billion, while 24-hour trading volume is approximately $1.7 billion.

The current move follows two strong months. Historical price data show $SOL gained around 41.5% in August before rising another 14.6% in September. September opened near $103 and finished around $118, with the token reaching above $124 late in the month.
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Bitcoin $BTC$86,205.31 is down today, but its wider trend is telling a different story.

The simple moving averages of its price over the past 50-, 100- and 200-days are one “crossover” away from a full bullish alignment, where the cryptocurrency’s short-, medium-, and long-term trends al point higher at once. It would be the first since 2025.
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The CoinMarketCap Fear and Greed Index, which measures investor sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, fell by 1 point from the previous day to 69. Despite the limited decline in the index, market sentiment remained in the “greed” zone.
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$XRP holders have increasingly focused on exchange balances as a potential catalyst for higher prices, arguing that continued withdrawals could eventually leave trading platforms short of tokens. However, $XRP’s wider supply structure shows why falling exchange reserves alone do not guarantee a supply shock. Ripple still controls billions of $XRP, while scheduled escrow releases continue adding tokens to the company’s available holdings.

The argument does require an important correction: Ripple no longer controls half of $XRP’s original 100 billion supply.
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The leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, made a strong start to October, a month historically known for its bull run. At this point, BTC closed the week above $86,000, marking its highest closing level in the last eight months.

However, Bitcoin, unable to surpass the $87,000 level, fell back below $86,000 due to selling pressure.
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Bitcoin is about to get a major bullish signal it hasn't had in over a year
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As of October 5, 2026, the Cardano price trades at $0.2724 on Binance, sitting just above its daily R1 pivot. $ADA presses toward the upper edge of its daily Bollinger Band, with hourly RSI in the high-70s and the Fear & Greed Index at 70, in Greed territory.
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$ICP price is entering a crucial phase after a strong recovery lifted the token from its summer lows. The rally has pushed $ICP back above $3, but buyers are now approaching a resistance level that has repeatedly limited upside.

At the same time, network activity is picking up, giving the recovery stronger on-chain support. $ICP has also continued to record major network usage, recently surpassing 300 billion cumulative transactions.

With price now close to $3.50, the next breakout or rejection could determine the direction of the next major move.
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Will Sui price reach $2 as AI and stablecoin use grows?

Sui price has climbed 4.43% to $1.23 as Mysten Labs co-founder Adeniyi Abiodun outlined a strategy centered on global payments, stablecoins and AI-agent transactions, while traders watch $1.27 as the next technical hurdle.

Wu Blockchain published the interview on Oct. 5, with Abiodun arguing that Sui should be viewed as payment infrastructure capable of moving money globally instead of simply another Layer 1 blockchain.

CoinGecko data showed $SUI near $1.23 during the session, with a market value close to $5 billion and roughly $878 million in 24-hour trading volume. The token had traded between approximately $1.17 and $1.26 during the day.
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Hyperliquid has significantly expanded its revenue sources. In August, the protocol activated the AQAv2 framework.

Under the agreement, 90% of the interest earned on idle $USDC on the platform is returned to the protocol. As per the arrangement, the yield accrued on a 30-day cadence and was automatically routed to the Assistance Fund after eight days.
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