Walter Bloomberg
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BRENT, U.S. WTI CRUDE FUTURES TURN NEGATIVE FALL NEARLY 3% AFTER US PRESIDENT TRUMP SAYS US WILL STOP PAYING ISRAEL AFTER YEAR-END
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TRUMP SAYS US SHOULD PAY LOWEST INTEREST RATES IN WORLD
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TRUMP SAYS REPUBLICAN MIDTERM RESULTS MAY BE BETTER THAN EXPECTED
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ZELENSKIY CONFIRMS UKRAINE, RUSSIA, US MEETING IN ABU DHABI ON NOV 10-11
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US–IRAN: REPORTS SIGNAL POTENTIAL DIPLOMATIC BREAKTHROUGH

Washington has reportedly approved a draft memorandum of understanding presented to Iran by Qatari mediators, according to Al-Araby Al-Jadeed, citing sources close to the mediation team.

Discussions are reportedly underway over arrangements for a simultaneous announcement by both sides.

Negotiators are said to be discussing the first steps toward an interim agreement, followed by a resumption of US–Iran talks.

The reports remain unconfirmed, with no official agreement announced.
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US–IRAN: NEW REPORTS DETAIL POTENTIAL NUCLEAR CONCESSIONS AND FROZEN FUNDS DEAL

Iran may announce concessions on its nuclear program in exchange for Washington releasing part of Tehran's frozen funds, according to Al-Araby Al-Jadeed, citing sources close to the negotiating team.

Sources suggest a new memorandum of understanding could be announced using a format similar to last June's agreement.

The proposed announcement reportedly aims to allow both Washington and Tehran to claim victory in the conflict.

The reports remain unconfirmed, with no official agreement announced.
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*ACKMAN SAYS NETFLIX STOCK 'INCREDIBLY CHEAP'
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*ACKMAN SAYS MORE LIQUID PREDICTION MARKETS OFFER BETTER FORECAST SIGNALS
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OIL AND GAS SLIDE ON US–IRAN DEAL REPORTS

Energy prices fall sharply after Al-Araby Al-Jadeed reported progress toward a US–Iran agreement involving nuclear concessions and frozen funds.

Market reaction:

πŸ”Έ Brent: -2.8% to $101.80
πŸ”Έ WTI: -1.8% to $94.73
πŸ”Έ TTF Gas: -6.7% to €88.49/MWh

Caution: Reports remain unconfirmed. The outlet previously reported diplomatic progress that failed to materialize.
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ANTHROPIC ENGINEERS FOUND CLAUDE CUTS TIME TAKEN TO DESIGN CHIPS COMPARED TO THEIR ESTIMATES OF WORKFLOWS AT DESIGNERS SUCH AS NVIDIA, AMD- THE INFORMATION
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IRAN: STRAIT OF HORMUZ WILL REMAIN CLOSED UNTIL US MEETS SEVEN CONDITIONS

Rezaee says Washington's response to Iran's demands has been insufficient, insisting that the US must explicitly address and fulfill all seven Iranian conditions.

He stressed that the Strait of Hormuz will only reopen once those conditions are fully met.
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U.S. TREASURY YIELDS RISE SLIGHTLY AFTER ECONOMIC DATA; YIELD ON 10-YEAR TREASURY NOTE LAST UP 5.36 BASIS POINTS AT 4.948%

TWO-YEAR U.S. TREASURY YIELDS LAST UP 3.13 BASIS POINTS AT 4.614%
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US FACTORY ORDERS SURGE 1.8%, BEATING EXPECTATIONS

US factory orders rose 1.8% in September, exceeding the 1.2% consensus forecast and accelerating from August's upwardly revised 0.3% gain.

Orders excluding transportation increased 1.3%, while orders excluding defense jumped 2.0%, signaling broad-based manufacturing strength.

Durable goods orders were revised higher to +1.9%, and core capital goods orders improved to +0.6%, with shipments rising 1.2%.
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US JOB OPENINGS RISE TO 7.52 MILLION IN SEPTEMBER

US job openings increased to 7.523 million in September, up from an upwardly revised 7.190 million in August, signaling stronger labor demand.

Hiring rose to 5.402 million, while voluntary quits climbed to 3.365 million, pushing the quits rate to 2.1% from 1.9%.

Meanwhile, layoffs declined to 1.641 million from 1.768 million, with the layoff rate falling to 1.0%.
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US–IRAN: WASHINGTON REPORTEDLY APPROVES QATARI PROPOSAL

The US has informed Qatar's mediator that it approves the submitted proposal, Al Arabiya English reports, citing a senior source.

Mediators are now awaiting Iran's response.

The report partially supports earlier claims from Al-Araby Al-Jadeed that Washington had approved a draft agreement involving potential nuclear concessions and frozen Iranian funds.

However, those additional details remain unconfirmed, while Iranian official Rezaee has described Washington's response as insufficient.
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DEMOCRATIC SWEEP? UBS SEES 50% ODDS.

UBS assigns a 50% probability to Democrats winning both chambers, while prediction markets put Democratic control of the House at 94% and Senate at 77%.

UBS warns a sweep could complicate Trump's fiscal agenda and 2027 debt-ceiling negotiations, while tariffs and AI investment remain largely insulated.
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GREENLAND'S PARLIAMENT APPROVES SECURITY DEAL WITH THE UNITED STATES
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*ISRAEL INTEL MET WITH ALARM, SKEPTICISM BY US OFFICIALS: NYT
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*ISRAEL TELLS US IRAN WEIGHING CHEMICAL ARMS USE: NYT

*NYT CITES US, REGIONAL OFFICIALS ON ISRAELI INTEL ON IRAN
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