ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 14 20:00-Jun 15 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
Ilia Topuria
Peak net: +52.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?
Pizza Hut
Peak net: +28.7c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +23.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jun 14 20:00-Jun 15 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?
Ilia Topuria
Peak net: +52.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?
Pizza Hut
Peak net: +28.7c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Will Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Peak net: +23.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 15 20:00-Jun 16 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?
Pizza Hut
Peak net: +47.5c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +43.4c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +20.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jun 15 20:00-Jun 16 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?
Pizza Hut
Peak net: +47.5c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +43.4c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +20.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 16 20:00-Jun 17 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?
Pizza Hut
Peak net: +47.6c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +44.3c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting?
0
Peak net: +32.9c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jun 16 20:00-Jun 17 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Which Companies Will Be Acquired Before 2027?
Pizza Hut
Peak net: +47.6c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +44.3c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting?
0
Peak net: +32.9c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 17 20:00-Jun 18 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +32.8c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +20.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Where will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur?
Russia
Peak net: +12.6c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jun 17 20:00-Jun 18 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +32.8c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +20.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Where will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur?
Russia
Peak net: +12.6c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 18 20:00-Jun 19 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +19.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
Peak net: +11.8c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?
Drake
Peak net: +11.1c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jun 18 20:00-Jun 19 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +19.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
2. Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
Peak net: +11.8c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show?
Drake
Peak net: +11.1c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jun 19 20:00-Jun 20 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +31.0c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +19.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 5% and 10%?
Lula da Silva, 5-10%
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.
Window: Jun 19 20:00-Jun 20 20:00 PT
Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +31.0c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Naftali Bennett
Peak net: +19.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Will the margin of victory for Lula da Silva in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election be between 5% and 10%?
Lula da Silva, 5-10%
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.