ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 17 20:00-Jul 18 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +64.5c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +42.3c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +37.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +34.7c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +38.3c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 18 20:00-Jul 19 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +64.5c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +43.3c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +34.9c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +34.4c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +36.3c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 19 20:00-Jul 20 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +50.3c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +34.5c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
3,000 to 3,249.99
Peak net: +17.4c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +34.5c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +56.3c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 20 20:00-Jul 21 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +57.3c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +34.5c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +20.3c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +27.2c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +56.4c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +56.4c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 21 20:00-Jul 22 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +56.4c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +37.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +20.2c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +27.4c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +51.4c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 22 20:00-Jul 23 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +56.4c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +36.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +20.2c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +29.6c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +51.4c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Jul 23 20:00-Jul 24 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +50.4c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +39.7c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +22.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.