ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +29.7c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +29.1c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 13 20:00-Aug 14 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +48.3c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +29.1c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +17.2c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +17.2c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +47.7c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 14 20:00-Aug 15 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +47.7c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +28.8c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +17.2c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +17.2c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +15.3c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 15 20:00-Aug 16 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +47.6c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +28.6c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +15.3c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +28.6c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +49.3c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 16 20:00-Aug 17 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,250 to 2,499.99
Peak net: +49.3c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +28.6c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
2,750 to 2,999.99
Peak net: +16.2c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?
1,500 to 1,749.99
Peak net: +28.9c
Route: Buy YES on Kalshi / Buy NO on Polymarket
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 17 20:00-Aug 18 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +13.8c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. Which CEOs Will Be Out Before 2027?
Sam Altman - OpenAI
Peak net: +10.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
3. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +7.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
:: Democratic
Peak net: +12.0c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Which CEOs Will Be Out Before 2027?
Sam Altman - OpenAI
Peak net: +76.9c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Opinion
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 18 20:00-Aug 19 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Which CEOs Will Be Out Before 2027?
Sam Altman - OpenAI
Peak net: +76.9c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open
2. Will Wesley So win the 2026 Sinquefield Cup chess tournament?
Wesley So
Peak net: +28.0c
Route: Kalshi YES / Polymarket NO
Open
3. Who will win the governorship in Alaska?
:: Democratic
Peak net: +17.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.

ArbLense Opportunity

1. Which CEOs Will Be Out Before 2027?
Sam Altman - OpenAI
Peak net: +76.9c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Opinion
Open

ArbLense Opportunity

1. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +11.8c
Route: Buy YES on Polymarket / Buy NO on Kalshi
Open

ArbLense Market Desk - 24h Cross-Venue Brief
Window: Aug 19 20:00-Aug 20 20:00 PT

Best dislocations
1. Number of Fed Rate Cuts in 2026
Exactly 0 cuts
Peak net: +14.5c
Route: Opinion YES / Polymarket NO
Open
2. What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?
Kansas City
Peak net: +13.0c
Route: Polymarket YES / Kalshi NO
Open
3. Which CEOs Will Be Out Before 2027?
Sam Altman - OpenAI
Peak net: +10.2c
Route: Polymarket YES / Opinion NO
Open

Desk note: The cleanest signal came from cross-venue pricing dislocations.
Verify live depth before routing; spreads can move quickly.