All day, Russia launched a large number of Geran-4 jet-drones to Kyiv, following 2 main roads, one coming from Donetsk airport and one coming from the north, along the border with Belarus. Geran-2 drones are much fewer and concentrated on the frontline. t.me/Strategicaviat

Tonight, an ammunition depot was hit west of Kyiv by a Geran drone. Remember that it's not the first time such event happens this summer.

Multiple warehouses continue to be attacked in Kyiv suburbs, after Brovary and Boryspil, it was the time for Vyshneve.

For Ukraine, it's very worrying that Russian drones are able to fly in the sky of the capital city to scout for targets and assess the results of previous strikes.

Despite fewer drone launchs this month, Russia increased the use of Geran-4 that are much more precise and more difficult to destroy. Here, some videos of strikes on Kyiv, filmed from the drones themselves, which is a worrying trend ahead of next winter.

I have something very important for Ukraine's military and air-defense teams, since I know where some of the air-defense systems are located : With Geran drones flying with their cameras, it will be very easy to target air-defense systems, including Patriot launchers...

At the same time, both gas infrastructure (white) and oil infrastructure (red, including gas stations, oil storage and tanks) have been relentlessly hit. This complicates Russia's logistic situation, since most of the gas stations have no fuel and cities no electricity.
At the same time, Ukraine continues to hit air-defense systems, as well as radars and electronic warfare equipements, including inside Russia.

Railway logistics continue to be targeted (all connexions in the south continue to be disrupted due to the destruction of bridges. Road logistics (trucks and vehicles) continue to be targeted at a regular pace with mid-range drones. I will soon update my map, but the numbers from screenshots remain similar for the 3rd consecutive month.

These mid-range strikes continue despite fewer attention. Their effect is important on logistics and energy capacities, they however need to be scaled to have a significant impact on Donbas offensive. I'm working on a better mean to update my maps and have detailed statistics for Ukrainian strikes the same way I'm doing for Russian strikes.

I already started as you can see here with detailed examples, but it still requires a lot of time.

In the next few days, the results of the Lyman "counter-attack" should be announced by various pro-ukrainian 🇺🇦 media outlet

The operation is still ongoing, but the most important was done. OPSEC was very well conducted and managed to avoid any attention on the operation, which means Russian command didn't send any reinforcement at the crucial moment 2 months ago (which were obviously needed). Now, it is too late to save anything. Many Russian mappers started updating there map (mainly with old information).

All the maps I have seen for now on the situation are partially or totally wrong. The dates of offensive, the main axes and secondary ones are often not mapped correctly, as well as the current situation (I've seen some good analysis on Russian Telegram chanels recently). Approximately 200 km2 (or maybe more, fighting is ongoing) that were under Russian control are currently lost, with a part of those controled by Ukraine.

This is a big blow for the Kremlin, since it will further complicate the offensive on Lyman and Izium and buy time to defend Sloviansk. Since the 3rd AC is now in charge of Sloviansk defense, it already seems the situation can improve, after months of a very difficult situation. This city has favorable ground to be defended, securing a Borova-Lyman-Mykolaivka line is thus very important to protect the Sloviansk-Izium road, one of the best for logistics in to the city.

OPSEC has not been lifted, but examples such as this picture shows that it will soon be. I prepared a long text to post a thread with the information I have. I still need to clarify some other things about this offensive.

Geran-4 attack on Kyiv right now, again, again, again for the 3rd consecutive day

Обстановка по реактивним "Гераням" станом на зараз. Усі у бік Київщини.

2/2 J'ai rassemblé quelques vidéos du conflit, avec des frappes de drones Houthis d'abord, contre l'infanterie yéménite et un char saoudien, puis les compilations de frappes de l'armée yéménite, qui font beaucoup de dégâts aux rebelles Houthis sur le front de Marib. L'utilisation du drone a des fins militaires est vraiment différente suivant les conflits. La dernière fois, nous avions vu l'impréparation israélienne face aux FPV (en particulier à fibre optique) du Hezbollah, cette fois, nous observons un conflit ou le drone est omniprésent depuis longtemps dans sa version kamikaze de taille moyenne ou grande (côté Houthis pour mener des frappes contre l'Arabie Saoudite), navale (exemple d'un drone naval Houthis frappé dans la seconde vidéo) et les drones MALE (américains, saoudiens, émiratis...). Mais le petit drone, le FPV et la technique du "drone drop" étaient très peu visibles.