Clément Molin
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French Analyst, following the war in Ukraine and other conflicts
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In the last 3 months, at least 350 Russian strikes 🇷🇺 have been recorded in Kyiv 🇺🇦 and around

▫️July 2026 : 112 strikes including 70 missiles
▫️August 2026 : 124 strikes including >21 missiles
▫️September 2026 : 117 strikes including >25 missiles

It's worth noting that a big part of missile strikes in August and September will take time to be recorded, since many targeted industries and critical infrastructure. Also, numbers for July are +/- complete but not for August and September.

What is Russia targeting in Kyiv ?
▫️Mainly warehouses : 31 in July, 52 in August and 62 in September
▫️Industries, military bases and very often civilian targets, including debris, crash, downed drones/missiles and misses.

Analysis : due to the lack of Patriot missiles and the mass arrival of jet drones (Geran-4/5) guided with Mesh network in July, Russia started a massive bombing campaign of Ukraine's capital city. Most of the missiles get through and many drones manage to target critical industries and warehouses.
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Forwarded from AMK Mapping
Russia's large-scale Geran-2 drone attack on western Ukraine continues.

In the last 6 hours, explosions have been reported in/near the following locations:

- Sarny, Rivne Oblast
- Zlazne, Rivne Oblast
- Hoshcha, Rivne Oblast
- Lutsk, Volyn Oblast
- Kremenets, Ternopil Oblast
- Volochys'k, Khmelnytskyi Oblast
- Narkevychi, Khmelnytskyi Oblast
- Khmelnytskyi City
- Starokostyantyniv, Khmelnytskyi Oblast
- Bar, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Zhmerynka, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Vinnytsia City
- Ladyzhyn, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Kozyatyn, Vinnytsia Oblast
- Zhytomyr City

Additionally, Russian Geran-2/4 drones attacked other locations in Ukraine, including Odesa City, Fastiv (Kyiv Oblast), Kipti (Chernihiv Oblast), Romny (Sumy Oblast), and Malynivka (Kharkiv Oblast).

The attack is ongoing, with several dozen drones still detected in Ukrainian airspace and new ones constantly entering.
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Russian campaign against Europe 🇷🇺🇪🇺

🔹This morning, at least four Russian drones violated Moldovan airspace 🇲🇩; at least one crashed in a field.
🔹Another Russian drone (Gerbera) violated Romanian airspace 🇷🇴 and crashed near Suceava. Two F-16s were scrambled to intercept it. Separately, two Spanish F-18s had taken off earlier after Russian drones approached the border.
🔹In Poland 🇵🇱, a fire also broke out at a Starlink transmission station (linking Ukraine and Poland) following the sabotage of a generator.

These events occurred amidst a massive wave of Russian strikes against western Ukraine 🇺🇦 overnight and this morning. A number of Geran-2 drones managed to cross Ukrainian airspace to attack targets in the center and west of the country. As of now, at least 25 Russian Geran-2/4 drones are in Ukrainian airspace, with launches continuing since yesterday.

Map link : t.me/StrategicaviationT
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1/3 This remained largely undercover, but Russia 🇷🇺 is trying to isolate Ukraine 🇺🇦 from Romania 🇷🇴 and the southern part of Odessa oblast. Russia is targeting border outposts, gas stations, bridges and ports in this "southern Bessarabia" region.

In 2022, there were already scenarios of how Russia would use this region to attack Odessa from the south. It never happened because Russian forces were defeated in Mykolaiv and their navy couldn't do anything.

This year, I did some uchronic scenarios of how Russia would use Transnistria to invade southern Bessarabia, support an offensive coming from the east or a Ukrainian operation in Transnitria. Today, I believe none of them (apart the UA one ?) are possible.

Today, only two bridges are connecting Odessa with the southern part of the oblast or with Romania/Moldova.

🔹Mayaki bridge (one bridge, part of the road goes through Moldova) + 2 new bridges
🔹Zatoka road/rail bridge, heavily targeted by drones, missiles, KABs...
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2/3 On September 19th, a Russian Geran-4 drones targeted the new bridge in Mayaki. This shows how important targeting bridges is, since there are only a few of them.

In total, at least 14 gas stations have been targeted by Russia in Odessa region, mainly in the key road between the southern ports and Mykolaiv. These Russian attacks are being conducted by geran-4 drones. Map made thanks to @ShahedTracker that did a great geolocating work.

Ukraine is sharing one road border and a ferry crossing with Romania. Both of them were targeted this summer :

🔹August 20th 2026
🔹September 1st 2026

Additionally, Russia targeted at least 3 border post with Moldova :

-Vinohradivka - August 25th 2026 Mirnoe - August 20th 2026
-Starokozache - September 8th geoloc by @giK1893

Many of these strikes remain unreported, I will continue to keep an eye on those.

After bridges, border posts and gas station, which are all part of "Transport - Road" category, it's interesting to see the statistics for this year :
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