@clement_molin
Look at this map with the main supply roads targeted !

In total, I counted around 20 fuel trucks among those strikes. Is there any impact on the frontline ? Not yet, but Russian forces will eventually have shortage of supplies in multiple areas of the front.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHJfXi8iXoAI3ofh.jpg
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@clement_molin
What's next ?

This strike campaign is absolutely not isolated, it's growing, at the point multiple russian milbloggers have been alerting on the difficult situation.

This comes amid large difficulties for Russia this year.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHJfYZzzWsAAzHol.jpg
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@clement_molin
In fact, for the very first time since 2023, Russia will lose territory in Ukraine this month, after the grey zone increased near Komar, in favour of Ukraine.

Ukraine mid-strike campaign is part of the reason for that, with russian offensive experiencing difficulties.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHJfZ3oKXcAI1Z3T.jpg
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@clement_molin
Russian milbloggers are not very happy with the situation, here are what one of them said (source : @moklasen)
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHJfaeXCWcAMLU2p.png https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHJfapqfXAAobsG0.png https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHJfasV2WsAINGVg.png https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHJfauCQXQAYJhzl.png
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@clement_molin
What can Russia do ?

Not too much ! Putting an anti-drone net on all the main highways seems very difficult and costly.

Setting up air-defense post could work, but it would require much more troops, while Ukraine will strike those canon AD.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHJfbKOCWsAIuXw1.jpg
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@clement_molin
The consequences for Russia are massive. The kill zone will expand to 20, 30 or even 50km, drones will target any convoy to the Azov Sea and any offensive preparation will be easily targeted.

The difficult situation on the frontline will not immediately change, but russian forces will experience supplies shortages more often.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHJfc0I_XIAA3G_w.jpg
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@clement_molin
Ukrainian drones cannot be jammed and are too small to be seen on radar. The only solution for Russia is to scale drone based air-defense like Rubikon is doing. But for now, this has not been scaled and has nearly no effect.

Video
https://twitter.com/pic/amplify_video_thumb%2F2060358066214719494%2Fimg%2F1-Ipd0SpAflM-Sb3.jpg
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@clement_molin
Thus the logistical situation is becoming critical for Russia. If only a small proportion of trucks are currently being hit (probably 1 to 5% maximum on the most important roads), this is enough, if it continues, to create a difficult situation in the rear.
https://twitter.com/pic/media%2FHJfdjUhXoAMAJkV.jpg
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