How to Use the Bitcoin Cycle Repeat Chart 📈

The Bitcoin Cycle Repeat Chart projects the next 1,458 days by copying the price behavior of the previous 1,458 days. In simple terms, it assumes Bitcoin will follow the same cycle structure again. It also marks prior and projected cycle tops.

📊 In the image, the green line is price, the orange line is the 200-day moving average, and the blue line is the 1,458-day moving average. The chart is showing a projected path after the 2025 top near $124.7k, with the repeated cycle implying a deep bear market before the next recovery.

The main use of this chart is not precision. It is a way to visualize cyclical structure and ask where Bitcoin might be if prior timing repeated closely. That is useful for framing broad phases.

👉 If you believe strongly in Bitcoin cyclicity, the orange moving average is IMO more useful than the fractal itself. A moving average adjusts to current price behavior, while the repeated path assumes the next cycle will unfold almost the same way as the last one.

Right now, this chart suggests Bitcoin is in the middle of a bear market and could fall toward $25k before the cycle resets higher. That is a very aggressive projection and should be treated as theoretical, not predictive. It depends entirely on Bitcoin repeating past behavior with 100% accuracy ⚠️

#FAQ

In the last 24 hours we witnessed one of the most dramatic reversals in the history of the global oil market, -32% dump in less than 24 hours. Bitcoin even reached 70k during the relief rally 💸

The chart shows it clearly. Oil first ripped toward $120 as markets priced a real energy shock and the risk of a longer war around Iran. Then came the G7 reserve headlines, and after that even Trump started signaling that the conflict will be over soon. Oil collapsed fast.

‼️ Remember: When it comes to the US, politicians do not just move markets. Markets move politicians too. Once oil went vertical, the message was obvious: higher inflation, economic pain, and political backlash. Reports then came out that some of Trump’s advisers were privately urging him to look for an exit plan in Iran.

Iran understands this. It cannot beat the US and Israel in a direct military fight, but it can hit oil infrastructure and threaten shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. That alone is enough to damage markets and raise the cost of war for Washington.

🫢 And that is the trap here. Iran’s regime is very likely not going to fully surrender. The US and Israel can dominate from the air, but without boots on the ground they cannot force real regime change and install a stable replacement.

So both sides are now fighting through markets too. Iran is trying to weaponize energy flows and fear. Trump is trying to calm fears of a long Middle East war before oil and inflation spiral. The problem is that, despite quiet talk of an exit, the public line from Trump and the Pentagon is still that they intend to finish the job.

Two main realistic scenarios 👇

1️⃣The bullish scenario is simple. The US declares some form of 'victory', while Iran gets tired of watching its leadership and infrastructure blown apart, and agrees not to interfere with the Strait of Hormuz. Markets would take that and run with it.

2️⃣The bearish scenario is that the US gets trapped in a contest over Hormuz. Then Washington either has to escalate much harder to wipe out the remaining threats, or take an exit plan that leaves Iran with leverage over how oil and shipping move through the strait = uncertainty, very bad.

@Coin_Post

Turn ChatGPT into your personal stock research analyst 🔍

Want AI to do a clean, structured fundamental breakdown of any stock?

Use "GPT-5.4 Thinking" if you have it, it’s the best option for research and multi-step analysis. Free version or Auto can work too, but Thinking is preferable for this prompt.

💻 Then paste the prompt from the comments into a new chat and change just one word at the top — you need to insert the stock ticker or company name that interests you.

Once pasted, ChatGPT turns that chat into a stock research window. It explains what the company does, breaks down the key metrics, checks recent Wall Street sentiment, explains what drives the business, and ends with a conservative investment verdict.

An easy-to-copy version of this prompt can be found in the comments of this post 💬👇

New reports say U.S. intelligence is seeing that Iran is preparing to deploy some of its naval mines into shipping lanes in the Strait of Hormuz 💣

After a briefing, Senator Richard Blumenthal said the U.S. appears to be “on a path toward deploying American troops on the ground in Iran.”

🤔 It looks like Iran is doing exactly what we talked about in the previous post. Trap the U.S. into a worse choice. Either escalate and deal with the consequences of trying to secure one of the most important logistical arteries on earth, or back off and retreat from the original objectives of the military operation.

This is bearish for markets because oil likely goes higher again if that second scenario starts playing out. And people still underestimate one simple fact: you do not need hundreds of mines in the water to disrupt shipping. One is enough. Even a believable rumor can do the job 🤷‍♀️

@Coin_Post

The Most Bearish Bitcoin Call on Wall Street 🐻

Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, is sticking to his forecast that bitcoin falls below $10,000. That would be a 92% drop from the all-time high.

🤔 His argument isn't about crypto specifically. McGlone believes bitcoin has become increasingly correlated with other speculative assets as institutional money poured in, which killed the "uncorrelated hedge" narrative.

What's left, in his view, is an asset trapped in a broader macro unwind driven by deflationary pressure and excess speculative supply.

He thinks the correction in traditional risk markets isn't finished, and crypto won't bottom until the speculative excess gets purged. His trading advice: sell any rallies.

Anyone here as bearish as this dude? 💬

$50M In, $36k Out 🤣

Someone just swapped $50,437,218 worth of USDT through CoW Swap and got $36,457 worth of AAVE back. That's a 99.9% wipeout in a single transaction.

⚠️ The reason: they weren't swapping USDT for AAVE. They were swapping aEthUSDT for aEthAAVE — the LP tokens Aave hands you when you deposit assets into its lending protocol. These aren't the underlying assets. They're position tokens with almost no liquidity between them. CoW Swap filled the order anyway...

@Coin_Post

Every Magnificent Seven Stock Is Now Down Double Digits From Its High 📉

Not one of them is holding. The entire group is in correction territory, with three of them past 20% from their peaks.

🕯 These seven stocks drove most of the S&P 500's gains over the past two years. They carried the index up and now they're dragging it down. Nearly $1 trillion was wiped off the market in today's session alone.

@Coin_Post

Why Oil Price Is So Important 🛢

Oil matters because it sits underneath much more of the economy than most people realize. It is not only gasoline. It affects transport, shipping, aviation, plastics, chemicals, packaging, farming, construction, industrial production, etc.

📈 When oil rises, moving goods gets more expensive. Diesel, jet fuel, and freight costs go up, which pushes input costs higher across supply chains. That usually feeds into broader inflation with a delay.

Oil also matters because a lot of modern materials are made from it or from chemicals produced during oil and gas refining. Plastics, synthetic fibers, solvents, lubricants, resins, cable insulation, chip packaging, adhesives, coatings, and industrial chemicals all sit somewhere in the tech and manufacturing stack.

Even sulfur matters here: most global sulfur supply comes from oil and gas refining, and sulfur is used to make sulfuric acid, which is critical for extracting copper and cobalt. That links oil not just to fuel, but to transformers, EV batteries, power infrastructure, semiconductors, data centers and so so so much more... 😮

That is why oil often matters for markets far beyond the energy sector. Higher oil can lift inflation, pressure central banks, and tighten financial conditions. Lower oil can ease cost pressure, but if it falls too fast it can also signal weakening demand and slower growth.

👉 A simple chain often looks like this: oil up → inflation up → economy slows → risk appetite fades → stocks weaken → crypto usually drops harder.

The reverse can also happen: oil down moderately → inflation cools → policy pressure eases → risk appetite improves. But if oil drops because global demand is collapsing, that is a different signal 🐻

#FAQ

@Coin_Post

What Is the AAII Investor Sentiment Survey 📊

The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey is a weekly poll of individual investors run by the American Association of Individual Investors. It asks a simple question: do you expect stocks to be higher, lower, or unchanged over the next 6 months. The result is published as the percentage of bulls, bears, and neutral respondents.

👀 Traders watch it because it shows how retail positioning is leaning at extremes. Very high bullish readings suggest optimism is crowded. Very high bearish readings show fear is building. On its own, it is not a timing tool, but it is useful context for market regime and sentiment stress.

Right now, the bearish share has risen to 46.4%, the highest reading since November 2025. That is well above the long-term average near 31.3%, which tells you pessimism has increased sharply in a short period 📈

This matters because the survey still has pattern value at extremes. Over the past 8 years, at the start of 3 bear markets, bearish sentiment moved above roughly 47%, and the market kept falling afterward, sometimes for months, as happened in 2022. So a high bearish reading is not automatically a buying signal just because fear is elevated.

👉 The practical use is simple. AAII helps answer whether fear is already washed out, still building, or becoming extreme. A bearish spike can mark stress, but it does not confirm the bottom by itself. It tells you sentiment is stretched, not that price is finished going down.

#FAQ

@Coin_Post

Here's a way to make money by reading market positioning of smart and dumb money 🔍

Hyperliquid is a fully transparent DEX, so every position and every wallet is public. Hyperdash pulls that data and sorts all traders into cohorts by all-time PnL.

📊 Extremely Profitable, Very Profitable, all the way down to Very Unprofitable and Rekt. You can see how each group is positioned right now, net long or net short.

The pattern worth paying attention to: the top cohort and the Rekt cohort are often on opposite sides of the same trade. When the best traders are long and the worst are short.

😱 Best time to check is during extreme sentiment. When everyone is euphoric or convinced it's over, go this dashboard and see where smart and dumb money actually sit.

Don't copy individual wallets and don't use this as your only input. But if your bias lines up with the top cohort and against the Rekt one, that's a decent confirmation. If you're on the same side as the losing traders, at least you know before you enter 🤷‍♀️

#earn

@Coin_Post

New Super Earn: High APR on BTC, BNB, XRP and ADA 💸

Binance announced new Super Earn campaign. If you're already holding BTC, BNB, XRP or ADA, you can deposit your crypto to Binance and then deposit it in the Super Earn pools to earn good APR paid in NIGHT tokens daily.

‼️ A few things to know before depositing. Funds lock for 9 days. Early withdrawal takes 3 days to process and forfeits all rewards. Pools open for deposits in 1 hour and the event runs until March 24.

If you don't hold any of the four assets but want exposure, you can buy those tokens on spot and hedge the same size on futures to stay market neutral while collecting the yield.

Register on Binance — LINK

#earn

@Coin_Post

BTC cleared $74k overnight and even touched $76k. I opened a small short at $75,700, looking for a 4-6% move down. I'll add with DCA slowly if it keeps pushing higher 🤷‍♀️

My read is that this is a bear market rally, not a reversal. 90% confidence. Nothing has changed on the macro side, and some things have gotten way worse. The broader structure is bearish.

🔍 The 2022 chart is worth studying. While BTC was grinding down 77.5% from its ATH over more than a year, there were four separate retracements of 25-45%. Two of them lasted for months. Each one looked like a bottom of the bear market to someone.

Violent pumps are a feature of bear markets, I've talked about it in this post 👈

@Coin_Post

5 Crypto Research Tools Worth Bookmarking 🔍

🔖 Google Trends: free tool from Google that shows search interest over time. In crypto, it's a quick way to gauge where retail attention is and how far along any narrative is in its hype cycle.

🔖 TokenUnlocks: tracks token unlock schedules for any project, with dates, volumes, and recipient addresses visible well in advance. Worth checking before entering any altcoin position.

🔖 DeFiLlama: aggregates TVL, real revenue, and capital flows across DeFi protocols. Makes it easy to separate projects with actual usage from ones that exist purely on incentive emissions.

🔖 Artemis and Token Terminal: fundamental analytics platforms that track revenue, active users, and developer activity over time. The fastest way to check whether a protocol is growing on its own or being artificially propped up.

🔖 Arkham Intelligence: de-anonymizes blockchain addresses and links them to exchanges, funds, project teams, and known whales. Lets you track where large capital is moving before it becomes public information.

📌 Save for later

@Coin_Post